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Random drug testing. A Harris Poll asked Americans whether state should be allowed to conduct random drug tests on elected officials, of 21355respondents, 79%said "yes"

a. Determine the margin of error for a 99%confidence interval.

b. Without doing any calculation, indicate whether the margin of error is large or smaller for a 90%confidence interval. Explain your answer.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The margin of error for a 99%confidence interval is 0.00717

(b The margin of error for a90%confidence interval will be smaller than for a 99%confidence interval.

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1: Given Information

Given in the question that, A Harris poll asked Americans whether states should be allowed to conduct random drug tests on elected officials. Of 21355respondents, 79%said yes. we have to Determine the margin of error for a 99%confidence interval.

02

Part (a) Step 2: Explanation

The formula of margin of error :

E=zα2p^×q^n

Here

p^=xn=0.79

n=21355

Confidence interval 99%

Therefore, significance level α=0.01,zvalue=2.576

The margin of error for population proportion given by

E=2.576(0.79)×(1-0.79)21355=0.00717

03

Part (b) Step 1: Given Information

We have to find out that Without doing any calculation, indicate whether the margin of error is large or smaller for a 90%confidence interval.

04

Part (b) Step 2: Explanation

When the level of confidence rises, the related critical value rises as well. The margin of error is the product of the statistic's critical value and standard error. As a result, as the level of confidence rises, so does the margin of error. Furthermore, the confidence interval grows bigger. In addition, as the level of confidence drops, the margin of error diminishes.

As a result, the margin of error for a90%confidence interval will be smaller than for a99%confidence interval.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Explain the relationships among the sample proportion, the number of successes in the sample, and the sample size.

In a newspaper or magazine of your choice, find a statistical study that contains an estimated population proportion.

In discussing the sample size required for obtaining a confidence interval with a prescribed confidence level and margin of error, we made the following statement: "... we should be aware that, if the observed value of p^is closer to 0.5than is our educated guess, the margin of error will be larger than desired." Explain why.

One-Proportion Plus-Four z-Interval Procedure. To obtain a plus four z-interval for a population proportion, we first add two successes and two failures to our data (hence, the term "plus four") and then apply Procedure 11.1on page 454to the new data. In other words, in place of p^(which is x/n), we use p~=(x+2)/(n+4). Consequently, for a confidence level of 1-α, the endpoints of the plus-four z-interval are

p~±za/2·p~(1-p~)/(n+4)

As a rule of thumb, the one-proportion plus-four z-interval procedure should be used only with confidence levels of 90% or greater and sample sizes of 10 or more.

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