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Third-Party. In 2010, shortly before that year's midterm elections, when Americans were dissatisfied with government and elections when Americans were dissatisfied with the government and the Tea Party movement was emerging as a political force, 58%of American adults thought that a third major party was needed. In a recent Gallup poll, 60%of 1028Americans felt the same way, At the 10%significance level, do the data provide sufficient evidence to conclude that the percentage of all American adults who now think that a third major party is needed has changed from that in2010 ?

Short Answer

Expert verified

At the 10%level, the test results are not statistically significant.

As a result, the data does not provide adequate evidence to infer that the percentage of all persons in the United States who now believe a third major party is required has changed since .

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The significance level is 1%

Number of Americansn=1028

A number of American adults thought that a third major party is needed p0=0.58

02

Explanation

Calculate the value ofnp0

np0=(1028)(0.8)

=596.24

Calculate the value of

n1-p0=(1028)(1-0.58)

=431.76

Both these values are greater than 5.

So one proportion z-test is appropriate to use.

The null hypothesis is

H0:p0=0.58

The alternate hypothesis is

H0:p0≠0.58

The expression for zis

z=p^-p0p01-p0n

The zvalue is calculated as

z=0.60-0.580.58(1-0.58)1028

=0.020.0154

=1.30

Also α=0.10

The test is two-tailed

For α=0.05, the critical value of zfrom the standard table is

z0.05=±1.645

The test statistic is within acceptable bounds. As a result, the hypothesis H0is not ruled out.

At the 10%level, the test results are not statistically significant.

As a result, the data does not provide adequate evidence to infer that the percentage of all persons in the United States who now believe a third major party is required has changed since 2010.

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