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In this Exercise, we have given the number of successes and the sample size for a simple random sample from a population. In each case, do the following tasks.

a. Determine the sample proportion.

b. Decide whether using the one-proportion z-interval procedure is appropriate.

c. If appropriate, use the one-proportion z-interval procedure to find the confidence interval at the specified confidence level.

d. If appropriate, find the margin of error for the estimate of pand express the confidence interval in terms of the sample proportion and the margin of error:

x=10,n=40,90%level

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The sample proportion is 0.25.

(b) Because the total number of successes and failures exceeds 5, the one percentage z-interval procedure is applicable.

(c) The 90%confident interval lies between 13.7%and 36.3%.

(d) In terms of sample proportion and margin of error, the confidence interval is p∧±E, or (0.25±0.1127).

Step by step solution

01

Part(a) Step 1: Given Information

The probability of success is x=10, the sample size of a basic random sampling from a population is 40, and the probability of failure is 90%.

02

Part(a) Step 2: Explanation

The sample proportion is the percentage of the total number of members sampled who have a specific attribute and a sample size of n.

In the formula, replace xwith 10and nwith 40.

p∧=10/40=0.25

03

Part(b) Step 1: Given Information

The probability of success is x=10, the sample size of a basic random sampling from a population is 40, and the probability of failure is 90%.

04

Part(b) Step 2: Explanation

The confidence interval for a population percentage, p, is calculated using the one-proportion z-interval procedure.

Assumptions:

- A simple random sample should be used.

- Both the number of successes xand failures n-xshould be 5or larger.

The number of successes, in this case, is x=10, which is larger than 5.

The number of failures is,

n-x=40-10=30

The number of failures n-xexceeds 5.

05

Part(c) Step 1: Given Information

The probability of success is x=10, the sample size of a basic random sampling from a population is 40, and the probability of failure is 90%.

06

Part(c) Step 2: Explanation

The One-Proportion z-interval Procedure is applicable, as shown in section (b).

The 90%confidence interval is as follows:

The formula for calculating the confidence interval for pis as follows:

p∧is0.25 based on component (a).

In the formula, replace αwith 0.10and nwith 40.

07

Part(c) Step 3: Calculation

The value z0.05=1.645.

p^±za2·p^(1-p^)/n=0.25±1.645·0.25(0.75)/40

=0.25±1.645·0.1875/40

=0.25±1.645·0.0046875

=0.25±1.645·(0.0685)

=0.25±0.1127

=(0.25-0.1127,0.25+0.1127)

=(0.1373,0.3627)

≈(0.137,0.363)

Thus, the 90%confidence interval is (0.137,0.363).

08

Part(d) Step 1: Given Information

The probability of success is x=10, the sample size of a basic random sampling from a population is 40, and the probability of failure is 90%.

09

Part(d) Step 2: Explanation

The One-Proportion z-interval Procedure is applicable, as shown in section (b).

The confidence interval is 90%, α=0.10, and the sample percentage is 0.25from component (a).

In the formula, replace αwith 0.10, p∧with 0.25, and nwith 40.

E=z0.192·0.25(1-0.25)40

=z0.05·0.25(0.75)40

=z0.05·0.187540

=z0.05·0.0046875

From the bottom of Table IV: Values oftα

The value z0.05=1.645.

E=1.645·0.0685=0.1127

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