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At Least One. In Exercises 5鈥12, find the probability.

At Least One Correct Answer If you make random guesses for 10 multiple choice SAT test questions (each with five possible answers), what is the probability of getting at least 1 correct? If these questions are part of a practice test and an instructor says that you must get at least one correct answer before continuing, is there a good chance you will continue?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of getting at least one correct answer out of 10 questions is equal to 0.893.

Yes, there is a good chance of continuing with the practice test as the probability of correctly answering at least one question is considerably high.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Ten multiple-choice questions need to be answered in an SAT.

Each question has five possible answers.

02

Probability of “at least one”

The probability of an event occurring 鈥渁t least once鈥 (once or more) is complementary to the probability that the event does not occur.

PoccurrenceofAatleastonce=1-PoccurrenceofnotA

03

Compute the probability that at least one question is answered correctly

Let A be the event of answering a question correctly.

The total number of choices for one question is five.

The number of correct choices for any given question is one.

The probability of answering one question correctly is:

PA=15=0.2

Thus, PAis 0.2.

The probability of answering a question incorrectly is:

PA=1-PA=1-0.2=0.8

Thus, PAis equal to 0.8.

04

Compute the probability that at least one of 10 questions is correctly answered

Ten questions are answered.

The probability of not answering any of the 10 questions correctly is given by:

Pallincorrect=0.80.8...0.8=0.810=0.107

The probability of answering at least one question correctly out of 10 is computed as follows:

Patleast1correctanswer=1-Pallincorrect=1-0.107=0.893

Therefore, the probability of answering at least one question correctly is equal to 0.893.

05

Interpret the value

The probability value of answering at least one question correctly is high(approximately 0.9).

Thus, there is a fair chance of continuing with the practice test.

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