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Using Confidence Intervals

a. Assume that we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2. Which is better: A hypothesis test or a confidence interval?

b. In general, when dealing with inferences for two population proportions, which two of the following are equivalent: confidence interval method; P-value method; critical value method?

c. If we want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that p1 < p2, what confidence level should we use?

d. If we test the claim in part (c) using the sample data in Exercise 1, we get this confidence interval: -0.000508 < p1 - p2 < - 0.000309. What does this confidence interval suggest about the claim?

Short Answer

Expert verified

a. A hypothesis test is better than a confidence interval.

b. The p-value method and critical value method are equivalent.

c. The 90% confidence interval to test the claim is made about the difference between two population proportion \({p_1}{\rm{ and }}{p_2}\).

d. The given confidence interval suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that \({p_1} < {p_2}\).

Step by step solution

01

Describe the methods of Inferences about two proportion.

a.The following methods can be used for comparing two population proportion:

1. Hypothesis test

2. Confidence Interval

The hypothesis test is used to test the claims about two population proportions. The confidence interval is used when estimating about the differences between two population proportions.

A hypothesis test is recommended for testing a claim at 0.05 level of significance.

Hence, in this case hypothesis test is better than confidence interval.

02

Check equivalency of three methods

b.In a hypothesis test, there are two methods to test the claims about population proportion,

1. P-value method

2. Critical value method

Both methods are used to test the claim made about two proportions. In p-value method, a probability value is compared to a significance level to make a decision while in critical value method, the test statistic is compared to critical value(s) to make a decision about hypotheses.

The method of confidence interval is used primarily to estimate the difference between two population proportions.

Thus, the P-value method and critical value method are equivalent.

03

State the confidence level

c. As per the table 8-1, for one tailed significance test at 0.05 level of significance, 90% confidence level is recommended.

04

Step 4:Make conclusion about the claim

d. Refer to exercise 1 for the claim stated as,

\(\begin{array}{l}{H_o}:{p_1} = {p_2}\\{H_a}:{p_1} < {p_2}\end{array}\)

Where \({p_1},{p_2}\) are population proportion of children who developed polio after vaccine and in control group respectively.

The given confidence interval is\( - 0.000508 < {p_1} - {p_2} < - 0.000309\).

This confidence does not contain zero. Thus, there is significant difference between two proportion\({{\rm{p}}_{\rm{1}}}{\rm{ and }}{{\rm{p}}_{\rm{2}}}\).

Therefore, the given confidence interval suggests that there is sufficient evidence to support the claim that \({p_1}{\rm{ }}\)is less that \({p_2}\).

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Most popular questions from this chapter

True?For the methods of this section, which of the following statements are true?

a.When testing a claim with ten matched pairs of heights, hypothesis tests using the P-valuemethod, critical value method, and confidence interval method will all result in the same conclusion.

b.The methods of this section are robustagainst departures from normality, which means that the distribution of sample differences must be very close to a normal distribution.

c.If we want to use a confidence interval to test the claim that\({{\bf{\mu }}_{\bf{d}}}{\bf{ < 0}}\)with a 0.01 significancelevel, the confidence interval should have a confidence level of 98%.

d.The methods of this section can be used with annual incomes of 50 randomly selected attorneysin North Carolina and 50 randomly selected attorneys in South Carolina.

e.With ten matched pairs of heights, the methods of this section require that we use n= 20.

In Exercises 5鈥20, assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9-1 along with 鈥淭able鈥 answers based on Table A-3 with df equal to the smaller of n1鈭1 and n2鈭1.)Coke and Pepsi Data Set 26 鈥淐ola Weights and Volumes鈥 in Appendix B includes volumes of the contents of cans of regular Coke (n = 36, x = 12.19 oz, s = 0.11 oz) and volumes of the contents of cans of regular Pepsi (n = 36, x = 12.29 oz, s = 0.09 oz).

a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that cans of regular Coke and regular Pepsi have the same mean volume.

b. Construct the confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a).

c. What do you conclude? Does there appear to be a difference? Is there practical significance?

Before/After Treatment Results Captopril is a drug designed to lower systolic blood pressure. When subjects were treated with this drug, their systolic blood pressure readings (in mm Hg) were measured before and after the drug was taken. Results are given in the accompanying table (based on data from 鈥淓ssential Hypertension: Effect of an Oral Inhibitor of Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme,鈥 by MacGregor et al., British Medical Journal, Vol. 2). Using a 0.01 significance level, is there sufficient evidence to support the claim that captopril is effective in lowering systolic blood pressure?

Subject

A

B

C

D

E

F

G

H

I

J

K

L

Before

200

174

198

170

179

182

193

209

185

155

169

210

After

191

170

177

167

159

151

176

183

159

145

146

177

Robust What does it mean when we say that the F test described in this section is not robust against departures from normality?

Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 7鈥22, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Cell Phones and Handedness A study was conducted to investigate the association between cell phone use and hemispheric brain dominance. Among 216 subjects who prefer to use their left ear for cell phones, 166 were right-handed. Among 452 subjects who prefer to use their right ear for cell phones, 436 were right-handed (based on data from 鈥淗emi- spheric Dominance and Cell Phone Use,鈥 by Seidman et al., JAMA Otolaryngology鈥擧ead & Neck Surgery, Vol. 139, No. 5). We want to use a 0.01 significance level to test the claim that the rate of right-handedness for those who prefer to use their left ear for cell phones is less than the rate of right-handedness for those who prefer to use their right ear for cell phones. (Try not to get too confused here.)

a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test.

b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval.

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