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Testing Claims About Proportions. In Exercises 9鈥32, test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value, or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Use the P-value method unless your instructor specifies otherwise. Use the normal distribution as an approximation to the binomial distribution, as described in Part 1 of this section.

Births A random sample of 860 births in New York State included 426 boys. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that 51.2% of newborn babies are boys. Do the results support the belief that 51.2% of newborn babies are boys?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Null hypothesis: The proportion of babies that are boys is equal to 51.2%.

Alternative hypothesis:The proportion of babies that are boys is not equal to 51.2%.

Test statistic: -0.977

Critical value: 1.96

P-value: 0.3286

The null hypothesis is failed to reject.

There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the proportion of babies that are boys is equal to 51.2%.

Yes, the results support the belief that 51.2% of the babies born are boys.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A sample of 860 births is selected, out of which 426 areboys. It is claimed that 51.2% of newborn babies are boys.

02

Hypotheses

The null hypothesis is written as follows.

The proportion of newborn babies that are boys is equal to 51.2%.

\({H_0}:p = 0.512\)

The alternative hypothesis is written as follows.

The proportion of newborn babies that are boys is not equal to 51.2%.

\({H_1}:p \ne 0.512\)

The test is two-tailed.

03

Sample size, sample proportion,and population proportion

The sample size is n=860.

The sample proportion of babies that are boys is computed below.

\[\begin{array}{c}\hat p = \frac{{{\rm{Number}}\;{\rm{of}}\;{\rm{boys}}}}{{{\rm{Total}}\;{\rm{number}}\;{\rm{of}}\;{\rm{babies}}\;}}\\ = \frac{{426}}{{860}}\\ = 0.495\end{array}\].

The population proportion of babies that are boys is equal to 0.512.

04

Test statistic

The value of the test statistic is computed below.

\(\begin{array}{c}z = \frac{{\hat p - p}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{pq}}{n}} }}\\ = \frac{{0.495 - 0.512}}{{\sqrt {\frac{{0.512\left( {1 - 0.512} \right)}}{{860}}} }}\\ = - 0.977\end{array}\).

Thus, z=-0.977.

05

Critical value and p-value

Referring to the standard normal table, the critical value of z at\(\alpha = 0.05\)for a two-tailed test is equal to 1.96.

Referring to the standard normal table, the p-value for the test statistic value of -0.977 is equal to 0.3286.

Asthe p-value is greater than 0.05, the null hypothesis is failed to reject.

06

Conclusion of the test

There is not enough evidence to reject the claim that the proportion of babies that are boys is equal to 51.2%.

The results support the belief that 51.2% of the babies born are boys.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Identifying H0 and H1 . In Exercises 5鈥8, do the following:

a. Express the original claim in symbolic form.

b. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses.

Online Data Claim: Most adults would erase all of their personal information online if they could. A GFI Software survey of 565 randomly selected adults showed that 59% of them would erase all of their personal information online if they could.

PowerFor a hypothesis test with a specified significance level , the probability of a type I error is, whereas the probability of a type II error depends on the particular value ofpthat is used as an alternative to the null hypothesis.

a.Using an alternative hypothesis ofp< 0.4, using a sample size ofn= 50, and assumingthat the true value ofpis 0.25, find the power of the test. See Exercise 34 鈥淐alculating Power鈥漣n Section 8-1. [Hint:Use the valuesp= 0.25 andpq/n= (0.25)(0.75)/50.]

b.Find the value of , the probability of making a type II error.

c.Given the conditions cited in part (a), find the power of the test. What does the power tell us about the effectiveness of the test?

P-Values. In Exercises 17鈥20, do the following:

a. Identify the hypothesis test as being two-tailed, left-tailed, or right-tailed.

b. Find the P-value. (See Figure 8-3 on page 364.)

c. Using a significance level of = 0.05, should we reject or should we fail to reject ?

The test statistic of z = 1.00 is obtained when testing the claim that p>0.3.

Testing Hypotheses. In Exercises 13鈥24, assume that a simple random sample has been selected and test the given claim. Unless specified by your instructor, use either the P-value method or the critical value method for testing hypotheses. Identify the null and alternative hypotheses, test statistic, P-value (or range of P-values), or critical value(s), and state the final conclusion that addresses the original claim.

Cans of Coke Data Set 26 鈥淐ola Weights and Volumes鈥 in Appendix B includes volumes (ounces) of a sample of cans of regular Coke. The summary statistics are n = 36, x = 12.19 oz, s = 0.11 oz. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that cans of Coke have a mean volume of 12.00 ounces. Does it appear that consumers are being cheated?

In Exercises 1鈥4, use these results from a USA Today survey in which 510 people chose to respond to this question that was posted on the USA Today website: 鈥淪hould Americans replace passwords with biometric security (fingerprints, etc)?鈥 Among the respondents, 53% said 鈥測es.鈥 We want to test the claim that more than half of the population believes that passwords should be replaced with biometric security.

Requirements and Conclusions

a. Are any of the three requirements violated? Can the methods of this section be used to test the claim?

b. It was stated that we can easily remember how to interpret P-values with this: 鈥淚f the P is low, the null must go.鈥 What does this mean?

c. Another memory trick commonly used is this: 鈥淚f the P is high, the null will fly.鈥 Given that a hypothesis test never results in a conclusion of proving or supporting a null hypothesis, how is this memory trick misleading?

d. Common significance levels are 0.01 and 0.05. Why would it be unwise to use a significance level with a number like 0.0483?

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