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In Exercises 5鈥20, conduct the hypothesis test and provide the test statistic and the P-value and, or critical value, and state the conclusion.

Baseball Player Births In his book Outliers, author Malcolm Gladwell argues that more baseball players have birth dates in the months immediately following July 31, because that was the age cutoff date for nonschool baseball leagues. Here is a sample of frequency counts of months of birth dates of American-born Major League Baseball players starting with January: 387, 329, 366, 344, 336, 313, 313, 503, 421, 434, 398, 371. Using a 0.05 significance level, is there sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that American-born Major League Baseball players are born in different months with the same frequency? Do the sample values appear to support Gladwell鈥檚 claim?

Short Answer

Expert verified

There is enough evidence to conclude thatbaseball players are not born with the same frequency in different months of the year.

Sample data does not support the author鈥檚 claim.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The frequencies of baseball players born in different months are provided.

02

Check the requirements

Let O denote the observed frequencies of the players born in the 12 months.

Jan\(\left( {{O_1}} \right)\)

Feb\(\left( {{O_2}} \right)\)

March\(\left( {{O_3}} \right)\)

April\(\left( {{O_4}} \right)\)

May\(\left( {{O_5}} \right)\)

June\(\left( {{O_6}} \right)\)

387

329

366

344

336

313

July\(\left( {{O_7}} \right)\)

Aug\(\left( {{O_8}} \right)\)

Sep\(\left( {{O_9}} \right)\)

OcT\(\left( {{O_{10}}} \right)\)

Nov\(\left( {{O_{11}}} \right)\)

Dec\(\left( {{O_{12}}} \right)\)

313

503

421

434

398

371

The sum of all observed frequencies is computed below:

\(\begin{aligned}{c}n = 387 + 329 + ...... + 371\\ = 4515\end{aligned}\)

Let E denote the expected frequencies.

It is given that the number of births is expected to occur with equal frequency in all of the 12 months.

The expected frequency for each of the 12 months is the same and is equal to:

\(\begin{aligned}{c}E = \frac{{4515}}{{12}}\\ = 376.25\end{aligned}\)

As the expected value is greater than 5, the requirements for the test are satisfied.

03

State the hypotheses

The null hypothesis for conducting the given test is as follows:

\({H_0}:\)The frequency of baseball players鈥 births is equal in different months of the year.

The alternative hypothesis is as follows:

\({H_a}:\)The frequency of baseball players鈥 births is not equal in different months of the year.

The test is right-tailed.

04

Conduct the test

The table below shows the necessary calculations:

Months

O

E

\(\left( {O - E} \right)\)

\({\left( {O - E} \right)^2}\)

\(\frac{{{{\left( {O - E} \right)}^2}}}{E}\)

January

387

376.25

10.75

115.5625

0.307143

February

329

376.25

-47.25

2232.563

5.933721

March

366

376.25

-10.25

105.0625

0.279236

April

344

376.25

-32.25

1040.063

2.764286

May

336

376.25

-40.25

1620.063

4.305814

June

313

376.25

-63.25

4000.563

10.63272

July

313

376.25

-63.25

4000.563

10.63272

August

503

376.25

126.75

16065.56

42.69917

September

421

376.25

44.75

2002.563

5.322425

October

434

376.25

57.75

3335.063

8.863953

November

398

376.25

21.75

473.0625

1.257309

December

371

376.25

-5.25

27.5625

0.073256

The value of the test statistic is equal to:

\[\begin{aligned}{c}{\chi ^2} = \sum {\frac{{{{\left( {O - E} \right)}^2}}}{E}} \\ = 0.307143 + 5.933721 + ... + 0.073256\\ = 93.07176\end{aligned}\]

Thus,\({\chi ^2} = 93.072\).

Let k be the number of months, which is 12.

The degrees of freedom for\({\chi ^2}\)is computed below:

\(\begin{aligned}{c}df = k - 1\\ = 12 - 1\\ = 11\end{aligned}\)

05

State the decision

The critical value of\({\chi ^2}\)at\(\alpha = 0.05\)with 11 degrees of freedom is equal to 19.675.

The p-value is equal to 0.000.

Since the test statistic value is greater than the critical value and the p-value is less than 0.05, the null hypothesis is rejected.

06

State the conclusion

There is enough evidence to conclude thatbaseball players are not born with the same frequency in different months of the year.

The sample data for verifying the author鈥檚 claim,

August

503

September

421

October

434

November

398

December

371

Total

2127

January

387

February

329

March

366

April

344

May

336

June

313

July

313

Total

2388

The sum is higher in case of births before july 31.

Thus, it does not support the claim of the author.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In his book Outliers,author Malcolm Gladwell argues that more

American-born baseball players have birth dates in the months immediately following July 31 because that was the age cutoff date for nonschool baseball leagues. The table below lists months of births for a sample of American-born baseball players and foreign-born baseball players. Using a 0.05 significance level, is there sufficient evidence to warrant rejection of the claim that months of births of baseball players are independent of whether they are born in America? Do the data appear to support Gladwell鈥檚 claim?


Born in America

Foreign Born

Jan.

387

101

Feb.

329

82

March

366

85

April

344

82

May

336

94

June

313

83

July

313

59

Aug.

503

91

Sept.

421

70

Oct.

434

100

Nov.

398

103

Dec.

371

82

In a study of high school students at least 16 years of age, researchers obtained survey results summarized in the accompanying table (based on data from 鈥淭exting While Driving and Other Risky Motor Vehicle Behaviors Among U.S. High School Students,鈥 by O鈥橫alley, Shults, and Eaton, Pediatrics,Vol. 131, No. 6). Use a 0.05 significance level to

test the claim of independence between texting while driving and driving when drinking alcohol. Are those two risky behaviors independent of each other?


Drove when drinking Alcohol?


Yes

No

Texted while driving

731

3054

No Texting while driving

156

4564

Do World War II Bomb Hits Fit a Poisson Distribution? In analyzing hits by V-1 buzz bombs in World War II, South London was subdivided into regions, each with an area of 0.25\(k{m^2}\). Shown below is a table of actual frequencies of hits and the frequencies expected with the Poisson distribution. (The Poisson distribution is described in Section 5-3.) Use the values listed and a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that the actual frequencies fit a Poisson distribution. Does the result prove that the data conform to the Poisson distribution?

Number of Bomb Hits

0

1

2

3

4

Actual Number of Regions

229

211

93

35

8

Expected Number of Regions

(from Poisson Distribution)

227.5

211.4

97.9

30.5

8.7

Benford鈥檚 Law. According to Benford鈥檚 law, a variety of different data sets include numbers with leading (first) digits that follow the distribution shown in the table below. In Exercises 21鈥24, test for goodness-of-fit with the distribution described by Benford鈥檚 law.

Leading Digits

Benford's Law: Distributuon of leading digits

1

30.10%

2

17.60%

3

12.50%

4

9.70%

5

7.90%

6

6.70%

7

5.80%

8

5.10%

9

4.60%

Author鈥檚 Computer Files The author recorded the leading digits of the sizes of the electronic document files for the current edition of this book. The leading digits have frequencies of 55, 25, 17, 24, 18, 12, 12, 3, and 4 (corresponding to the leading digits of 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, and 9, respectively). Using a 0.05 significance level, test for goodness-of-fit with Benford鈥檚 law.

Alert nurses at the Veteran鈥檚 Affairs Medical Center in Northampton, Massachusetts, noticed an unusually high number of deaths at times when another nurse, Kristen Gilbert, was working. Those same nurses later noticed missing supplies of the drug epinephrine, which is a synthetic adrenaline that stimulates the heart. Kristen Gilbert was arrested and charged with four counts of murder and two counts of attempted murder. When seeking a grand jury indictment, prosecutors provided a key piece of evidence consisting of the table below. Use a 0.01 significance level to test the defense claim that deaths on shifts are independent of whether Gilbert was working. What does the result suggest about the guilt or innocence of Gilbert?

Shifts With a Death

Shifts Without a Death

Gilbert Was Working

40

217

Gilbert Was Not Working

34

1350

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