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In Exercises 9–16, use the Poisson distribution to find the indicated probabilities.

Checks In a recent year, the author wrote 181 checks. Find the probability that on a randomly selected day, he wrote at least one check.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that the author wrote at least 1 check per day is equal to 0.3935.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

It is given that the author wrote 181 checks in a year.

02

Mean

The number of checks that the author wrote is equal to 181.

The number of days in a year is equal to 365.

The mean number of checks per year is computed below:

\(\begin{aligned}{c}\mu = \frac{{{\rm{Number}}\;{\rm{of}}\,{\rm{checks}}}}{{{\rm{Number}}\;{\rm{of}}\;{\rm{days}}}}\\ = \frac{{181}}{{365}}\\ = 0.49589\\ \approx 0.50\end{aligned}\)

Thus, the mean number of checks per day is equal to 0.50.

03

Required probability

Let X be the number of checks written in a day.

Here, X follows a Poisson distribution with mean equal to\({\kern 1pt} \mu = 0.50\).

The formula of Poisson distribution is:

\[P\left( {X = x} \right) = \frac{{{\mu ^x}{e^{ - \mu }}}}{{x!}}\]

The probability that the author wrote at least 1 check per day is computed below:

\[\begin{aligned}{c}P\left( {X \ge 1} \right) = 1 - P\left( {X < 1} \right)\\ = 1 - P\left( {X = 0} \right)\\ = 1 - \frac{{{{\left( {0.50} \right)}^0}{{\left( {2.71828} \right)}^{ - 0.50}}}}{{0!}}\\ = 1 - 0.6065\end{aligned}\]

\[ = 0.3935\]

Therefore, the probability that the author wrote at least 1 check per day is equal to 0.3935.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

In Exercises 6–10, use the following: Five American Airlines flights are randomly selected, and the table in the margin lists the probabilities for the number that arrive on time (based on data from the Department of Transportation). Assume that five flights are randomly selected.

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