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Identifying Binomial Distributions. In Exercises 5–12, determine whether the given procedure results in a binomial distribution (or a distribution that can be treated as binomial). For those that are not binomial, identify at least one requirement that is not satisfied.

Surveying Senators Ten different senators from the 113th Congress are randomly selected without replacement, and the numbers of terms that they have served are recorded.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The given situation cannot be approximated using the binomial distribution as it consists of the following features which violate the assumptions of the binomial distribution:

  • The number of terms that a senator has served has more than two possible outcomes.
  • The sample size is greater than 5% of the population size, and, hence, the selections cannot be considered independent.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A sample of 10 senators is selected randomly, and the number of terms they have served is recorded.

02

Assumptions of binomial distribution

The following assumptions of the binomial distribution should be satisfied:

  • The procedure should have a fixed number of trials.
  • The trials should be independent.
  • Each trial should have outcomes that are of exactly two kinds: success and failure.
  • The probability of success should be the same for all the trials.
03

Violation of Assumptions of binomial distribution

First violation:


One of the conditions that must be met for a procedure to follow the binomial distribution is that the outcomes of the event whose probability is to be estimated must be of exactly two types.

One of the outcomes is regarded as a success, while the other is considered a failure.

Here, the number of terms that a senator has served has more than two possible outcomes.

Therefore, the given situation cannot be modeled using the binomial distribution.

Second violation:

Another key assumption is that the trials should be independent of each other.

Here, 10 senators are selected without replacement. Thus, they cannot be considered independent unless they fulfill the 5% rule of cumbersome calculations, which says that the sample size should be no more than 5% of the population size.

It is given that the population size is equal to 100.

The sample size chosen is equal to 10.

It is known that

5%of100=5100×100=5

However,

10>5

Since the sample size is greater than 5% of the population size, the selections cannot be considered independent.

Therefore, the given situation cannot be modeled using the binomial distribution.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Multinomial Distribution The binomial distribution applies only to cases involving two types of outcomes, whereas the multinomial distribution involves more than two categories. Suppose we have three types of mutually exclusive outcomes denoted by A, B, and C. Let\(P\left( A \right) = {p_1}\),\(P\left( B \right) = {p_2}\)and\(P\left( C \right) = {p_3}\). In n independent trials, the probability of\({x_1}\)outcomes of type A,\({x_2}\)outcomes of type B, and\({x_3}\)outcomes of type C is given by

\[\frac{{n!}}{{\left( {{x_1}} \right)!\left( {{x_2}} \right)!\left( {{x_3}} \right)!}}{p_1}^{{x_1}} \times {p_2}^{{x_2}} \times {p_3}^{{x_3}}\]

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Identifying Binomial Distributions. In Exercises 5–12, determine whether the given procedure results in a binomial distribution (or a distribution that can be treated as binomial). For those that are not binomial, identify at least one requirement that is not satisfied.

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Too Young to Tat Based on a Harris poll, among adults who regret getting tattoos, 20% say that they were too young when they got their tattoos. Assume that five adults who regret getting tattoos are randomly selected, and find the indicated probability.

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In Exercises 6–10, use the following: Five American Airlines flights are randomly selected, and the table in the margin lists the probabilities for the number that arrive on time (based on data from the Department of Transportation). Assume that five flights are randomly selected.

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x

P(x)

0

0+

1

0.006

2

0.051

3

0.205

4

0.409

5

0.328

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If all five of the adults have credit cards, is five significantly high? Why or

why not?

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