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In Exercises 15–20, assume that random guesses are made for eight multiple choice questions on an SAT test, so that there are n = 8 trials, each with probability of success (correct) given by p = 0.20. Find the indicated probability for the number of correct answers.

Find the probability that the number x of correct answers is at least 4.

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability of getting at least four correct answers is equal to 0.056282.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A set of eight multiple-choice questions are answered in the SAT. The probability of a correct answer is given to be equal to 0.20.

02

Calculate the required probability

Let X denote the number of correct answers.

Let success be defined as getting a correct answer.

Thus, the number of trials (n) is given to be equal to eight.

The probability of success (getting a correct answer) is p= 0.20.

The probability of failure (getting a wrong answer) is calculated below:

q=1-p=1-0.20=0.80

The number of successes required in eight trials should be at least four.

The binomial probability formula is as follows:

PX=x=nCxpxqn-x

By using the binomial probability formula, the probability of getting seven correct answers is computed below:

PX⩾4=1-PX<4=1-PX=0+PX=1+PX=2+PX=3=1-C080.2000.808+8C10.2010.807+8C20.2020.806+8C30.2030.805=1-0.943718

=0.056282

Therefore, the probability of getting at least four correct answers is equal to 0.056282.

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