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Exercises 13鈥28 use the same data sets as Exercises 13鈥28

in Section 10-1. In each case, find the regression equation, letting the first variable be the predictor (x) variable. Find the indicated predicted value by following the prediction procedure summarized in Figure 10-5 on page 493.

Find the best predicted temperature at a time when a cricket

chirps 3000 times in 1 minute. What is wrong with this predicted temperature?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The regression equation is\(\hat y = 27.6 + 0.052x\).

The best predicted temperature at a time when a cricket chirps 3000 times in 1 minute is 183.6 F.

The predicted temperature is extreme and unreliable as the chirps of 3000 are extreme as compared to other sampled measures.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Values of two variables are given namely, chirps in 1 min and temperature.

02

Calculate the mean values

Let x represent the chirps in 1 min.

Let y represent the temperature

Themean value of xis given as,

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar x = \frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{x_i}} }}{n}\\ = \frac{{882 + 1188 + .... + 900}}{8}\\ = 1016.25\end{array}\)

Therefore, the mean value of x is 1016.25.

Themean value of yis given as,

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar y = \frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{y_i}} }}{n}\\ = \frac{{69.7 + 93.3 + .... + 79.6}}{{12}}\\ = 80.75\end{array}\)

Therefore, the mean value of y is 80.75.

03

Calculate the standard deviation of x and y

The standard deviation of x is given as,

\(\begin{array}{c}{s_x} = \sqrt {\frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{{({x_i} - \bar x)}^2}} }}{{n - 1}}} \\ = \sqrt {\frac{{{{\left( {882 - 1016.25} \right)}^2} + {{\left( {1188 - 1016.25} \right)}^2} + ..... + {{\left( {900 - 1016.25} \right)}^2}}}{{8 - 1}}} \\ = 135.8\end{array}\)

Therefore, the standard deviation of x is 135.8.

The standard deviation of y is given as,

\(\begin{array}{c}{s_y} = \sqrt {\frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{{({y_i} - \bar y)}^2}} }}{{n - 1}}} \\ = \sqrt {\frac{{{{\left( {69.7 - 80.75} \right)}^2} + {{\left( {93.3 - 80.75} \right)}^2} + ..... + {{\left( {79.6 - 80.75} \right)}^2}}}{{8 - 1}}} \\ = 8.125\end{array}\)

Therefore, the standard deviation of yis 8.125.

04

Calculate the correlation coefficient

The correlation coefficient is given as,

\(r = \frac{{n\left( {\sum {xy} } \right) - \left( {\sum x } \right)\left( {\sum y } \right)}}{{\sqrt {\left( {\left( {n\sum {{x^2}} } \right) - {{\left( {\sum x } \right)}^2}} \right)\left( {\left( {n\sum {{y^2}} } \right) - {{\left( {\sum y } \right)}^2}} \right)} }}\)

The calculations required to compute the correlation coefficient are as follows:

The correlation coefficient is given as,

\(\begin{array}{l}r = \frac{{n\left( {\sum {xy} } \right) - \left( {\sum x } \right)\left( {\sum y } \right)}}{{\sqrt {\left( {\left( {n\sum {{x^2}} } \right) - {{\left( {\sum x } \right)}^2}} \right)\left( {\left( {n\sum {{y^2}} } \right) - {{\left( {\sum y } \right)}^2}} \right)} }}\\ = \frac{{8\left( {663245.4} \right) - \left( {8130} \right)\left( {646} \right)}}{{\sqrt {\left( {\left( {8 \times 8391204} \right) - {{\left( {8130} \right)}^2}} \right)\left( {\left( {8 \times 52626.6} \right) - {{\left( {646} \right)}^2}} \right)} }}\\ = 0.8737\end{array}\)

Therefore, the correlation coefficient is 0.8737.

05

Calculate the slope of the regression line

The slopeof the regression line is given as,

\(\begin{array}{c}{b_1} = r\frac{{{s_Y}}}{{{s_X}}}\\ = 0.8737 \times \frac{{8.125}}{{135.8}}\\ = 0.0523\end{array}\)

Therefore, the value of slope is 0.052.

06

Calculate the intercept of the regression line

The interceptis computed as,

\(\begin{array}{c}{b_0} = \bar y - {b_1}\bar x\\ = 80.75 - \left( {0.0523 \times 1016.25} \right)\\ = 27.6\end{array}\)

Therefore, the value of intercept is 27.6.

07

Form a regression equation

Theregression equationis given as,

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat y = {b_0} + {b_1}x\\ = 27.6 + 0.052x\end{array}\)

Thus, the regression equation is \(\hat y = 27.6 + 0.052x\).

08

Analyze the model

Referring to exercise 22 of section 10-1,

1)The scatter plot shows an approximate linear relationship between the variables.

2)The P-value is 0.005.

As the P-value is less than the level of significance (0.05), this implies the null hypothesis is rejected.

Therefore, the correlation is significant.

Referring to figure 10-5, the criteria for a good regression model are satisfied.

09

Predict the temperature

The best predicted temperature at a time when a cricket chirps 3000 times in 1 minute is computed as,

\(\begin{array}{c}\hat y = 27.6 + 0.052\left( {3000} \right)\\ = 183.6\end{array}\)

Therefore, the best predicted temperature at a time when a cricket chirps 3000 times in 1 minute is 183.6 F.

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