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The following exercises are based on the following sample data consisting of numbers of enrolled students (in thousands) and numbers of burglaries for randomly selected large colleges in a recent year (based on data from the New York Times).

The sample data result in a linear correlation coefficient of r= 0.499 and the regression equation\(\hat y = 3.83 + 2.39x\). What is the best predicted number of burglaries, given an enrollment of 50 (thousand), and how was it found?

Short Answer

Expert verified

Thebest-predicted number of burglaries when the enrollment is 50 (thousand) is 92.6.

The predicted number of burglaries is computed as the mean sampled observation for all burglaries.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

The table represents the number of enrolled students (in thousands) and the number of burglaries for randomly selected large colleges in recent years.


Linear correlation coefficient,\(r = 0.499\)

The regression equation is

\(\hat y = 3.83 + 2.39x\).

02

Discuss the type of model

A model is categorized as good or bad based on the following criteria:

  • The fit of the observations is approximately linear.
  • The measure of the correlation coefficient is significant.
  • The observation at which the response is predicted is not extreme.

A bad model determines the prediction as the average of sample observations of response measures.

03

Compute the best-predicted number of burglaries

Here, the correlation coefficient is small which implies weak linear association; Thus, it is not significant.

Therefore,it is a bad model and the regression equation must not be used topredict the number of burglaries, given an enrollment of 50 (thousand).

Thus, the best-predicted number of burglaries, with an enrollment of 50 (thousand) is obtained by computing the mean of sampled burglaries.

Let y represent the number of burglaries.

The mean value is obtained as the average of five measures.

\(\begin{array}{c}\bar y = \frac{{\sum\limits_{i = 1}^n {{y_i}} }}{n}\\ = \frac{{86 + 57 + 32 + 131 + 157}}{5}\\ = 92.6\end{array}\)

Therefore, the best-predicted number of burglaries, with an enrollment of 50 (thousand), is 92.6.

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