/*! This file is auto-generated */ .wp-block-button__link{color:#fff;background-color:#32373c;border-radius:9999px;box-shadow:none;text-decoration:none;padding:calc(.667em + 2px) calc(1.333em + 2px);font-size:1.125em}.wp-block-file__button{background:#32373c;color:#fff;text-decoration:none} Problem 19 Assume that the two samples are ... [FREE SOLUTION] | 91Ó°ÊÓ

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Assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9 - 1 along with "Table" answers based on Table \(A\) - 3 with df equal to the smaller of \(\boldsymbol{n}_{I}-\boldsymbol{I}\) and \(\boldsymbol{n}_{2}-\boldsymbol{I} .\) ) Is Old Faithful Not Quite So Faithful? Listed below are time intervals (min) between eruptions of the Old Faithful geyser. The "recent" times are within the past few years, and the "past" times are from 1995. Does it appear that the mean time interval has changed? Is the conclusion affected by whether the significance level is 0.05 or \(0.01 ?\) $$\begin{array}{l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l} \hline \text { Recent } & 78 & 91 & 89 & 79 & 57 & 100 & 62 & 87 & 70 & 88 & 82 & 83 & 56 & 81 & 74 & 102 & 61 \\ \hline \text { Past } & 89 & 88 & 97 & 98 & 64 & 85 & 85 & 96 & 87 & 95 & 90 & 95 & & & & & \\ \hline\end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
Calculate sample means, standard deviations, and the test statistic. Compare with critical t-value(s) to determine if \(H_0\) is rejected. Significance level affects the conclusion.

Step by step solution

01

Define the hypotheses

We want to test if the mean time interval between eruptions has changed. Define the null hypothesis as \(H_0: \mu_1 = \mu_2\) where \(\mu_1\) and \(\mu_2\) are the means of the recent and past times, respectively. The alternative hypothesis is \(H_1: \mu_1 eq \mu_2\).
02

Calculate the sample statistics

Compute the sample means and standard deviations for both recent and past times. Let\( n_1\) and \(n_2\) be the sample sizes for recent and past times, respectively. Use the following formulas for sample mean and sample standard deviation: \[\bar{x} = \frac{\sum x}{n}\] \[s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum(x - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}}\]
03

Find the test statistic

Use the formula for the test statistic for two independent means with unequal variances: \[t = \frac{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}{\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}}\] where \(\bar{x}_1\) and \(\bar{x}_2\) are the sample means, \(s_1\) and \(s_2\) are the sample standard deviations, and \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) are the sample sizes.
04

Determine the degrees of freedom

Using the formula for the degrees of freedom approximation: \[df = \frac{\left(\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{\frac{\left(\frac{s_1^2}{n_1}\right)^2}{n_1-1} + \frac{\left(\frac{s_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{n_2-1}}\] Alternatively, use the smaller of \(n_1-1\) and \(n_2-1\).
05

Find the critical t-value(s)

Determine the critical t-value(s) based on the chosen significance level (0.05 or 0.01) and the degrees of freedom calculated in Step 4. Use Table A-3 or a t-distribution calculator.
06

Make a decision

Compare the absolute value of the test statistic from Step 3 with the critical t-value(s) from Step 5. Reject the null hypothesis \(H_0\) if the test statistic is greater than the critical t-value(s).
07

State the conclusion

Based on the decision in Step 6, state whether there is enough evidence to conclude that the mean time interval between eruptions of Old Faithful has changed.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Independent Samples
In statistical hypothesis testing, we often encounter data from two distinct groups. These groups are referred to as 'independent samples' when the individuals or observations in one group do not influence or are not paired with the individuals in the other group. In the exercise regarding Old Faithful's eruption times, the 'recent' and 'past' eruption times are modeled as independent samples.

This concept is crucial because our tests assume that there’s no inherent connection between the data points of the two groups. For instance, an eruption time recorded in 1995 should not influence the eruption time recorded in recent years. By maintaining the independence of these samples, we can more accurately analyze whether a significant difference exists between the two sets of data.

When conducting hypothesis tests on independent samples, we assess the means, variances, and whether the differences observed are statistically significant. This independence simplifies our calculations and validates many of the assumptions we make during the test.
t-Test for Unequal Variances
A t-test is a type of inferential statistic used to determine if there is a significant difference between the means of two groups. In the exercise provided, we don't assume that the population standard deviations are equal. This leads us to use a specific type of t-test known as a 't-test for unequal variances.' This test is also called Welch’s t-test.

The formula for the test statistic in this case is:
\[ t = \frac{\bar{x}_1 - \bar{x}_2}{\sqrt{\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}}} \]
Here, \(\bar{x}_1\) and \(\bar{x}_2\) represent the sample means, \(s_1\) and \(s_2\) the sample standard deviations, and \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) the sample sizes of the two groups.
This type of t-test adjusts for the fact that the two samples might have different variances, making it more reliable under conditions where this discrepancy exists. It highlights whether the differences observed in sample means are genuine or likely due to random variation. Understanding this adjustment is crucial for accurate hypothesis testing when population variances are not equal.
Significance Level
The significance level, often denoted by \(\alpha\), is a threshold set by the researcher to determine if the results of a hypothesis test are statistically significant. It represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true.

Common significance levels include 0.05 (5%) and 0.01 (1%).
For the Old Faithful problem, we consider both these significance levels. A significance level of 0.05 means we are willing to accept a 5% chance of incorrectly rejecting the null hypothesis. With 0.01, this chance reduces to 1%.

The choice of significance level affects our conclusions. A lower significance level means stricter criteria for rejecting the null hypothesis, making it harder to conclude that there is a significant difference between the means unless the observed data strongly supports this. Hence, at \(\alpha = 0.05\) we might find significance, while at \(\alpha = 0.01\) we might not. The significance level thus dictates the robustness and confidence of our testing outcome.
Degrees of Freedom Calculation
Calculating degrees of freedom (df) is a critical step in performing a t-test for unequal variances as it impacts the determination of critical t-values.

The formula for degrees of freedom in our context is:
\[ df = \frac{\left(\frac{s_1^2}{n_1} + \frac{s_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{\frac{\left(\frac{s_1^2}{n_1}\right)^2}{n_1-1} + \frac{\left(\frac{s_2^2}{n_2}\right)^2}{n_2-1}} \]
This calculation considers both sample variances and sizes, providing an approximation that reflects the variability and structure of the data more accurately than the simpler formula used for equal variances.

Alternatively, when using a conservative approach, some prefer to take the smaller of \(n_1 - 1\) and \(n_2 - 1\). This simplified method ensures that the degrees of freedom aren't overestimated, thus providing a more stringent test.

Understanding degrees of freedom helps in selecting the correct t-distribution to use for determining critical values, ultimately affecting the hypothesis test's conclusions. Correctly calculated df ensures the reliability of statistical inferences drawn from the test.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Test the given claim. Identify the null hypothesis, alternative hypothesis, test statistic, P-value or critical value(s), then state the conclusion about the null hypothesis, as well as the final conclusion that addresses the original claim. Since the Hawk-Eye instant replay system for tennis was introduced at the U.S. Open in \(2006,\) men challenged 2441 referee calls, with the result that 1027 of the calls were overturned. Women challenged 1273 referee calls, and 509 of the calls were overturned. We want to use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that men and women have equal success in challenging calls. a. Test the claim using a hypothesis test. b. Test the claim by constructing an appropriate confidence interval. c. Based on the results, does it appear that men and women have equal success in challenging calls?

Assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9 - 1 along with "Table" answers based on Table \(A\) - 3 with df equal to the smaller of \(\boldsymbol{n}_{I}-\boldsymbol{I}\) and \(\boldsymbol{n}_{2}-\boldsymbol{I} .\) ) Car and taxi Ages When the author visited Dublin, Ireland (home of Guinness Brewery employee William Gosset, who first developed the \(t\) distribution), he recorded the ages of randomly selected passenger cars and randomly selected taxis. The ages can be found from the license plates. (There is no end to the fun of traveling with the author.) The ages (in years) are listed below. We might expect that taxis would be newer, so test the claim that the mean age of cars is greater than the mean age of taxis. $$\begin{array}{l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l|} \hline \text { Car Ages } & 4 & 0 & 8 & 11 & 14 & 3 & 4 & 4 & 3 & 5 & 8 & 3 & 3 & 7 & 4 & 6 & 6 & 1 & 8 & 2 & 15 & 11 & 4 & 1 & 6 & 1 & 8 \\ \hline \text { Taxi Ages } & 8 & 8 & 0 & 3 & 8 & 4 & 3 & 3 & 6 & 11 & 7 & 7 & 6 & 9 & 5 & 10 & 8 & 4 & 3 & 4 & & & & & & \\ \hline\end{array}$$

Use the listed paired sample data, and assume that the samples are simple random samples and that the differences have a distribution that is approximately normal. Listed below are brain volumes (cm \(^{3}\) ) of twins from Data Set 8 "IQ and Brain Size" in Appendix B. Construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the mean of the differences between brain volumes for the first-born and the second-born twins. What does the confidence interval suggest? $$\begin{array}{l|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r} \hline \text { First Born } & 1005 & 1035 & 1281 & 1051 & 1034 & 1079 & 1104 & 1439 & 1029 & 1160 \\ \hline \text { Second Born } & 963 & 1027 & 1272 & 1079 & 1070 & 1173 & 1067 & 1347 & 1100 & 1204 \\ \hline \end{array}$$

Assume that the two samples are independent simple random samples selected from normally distributed populations, and do not assume that the population standard deviations are equal. (Note: Answers in Appendix D include technology answers based on Formula 9 - 1 along with "Table" answers based on Table \(A\) - 3 with df equal to the smaller of \(\boldsymbol{n}_{I}-\boldsymbol{I}\) and \(\boldsymbol{n}_{2}-\boldsymbol{I} .\) ) Magnet Treatment of Pain People spend around \(\$ 5\) billion annually for the purchase of magnets used to treat a wide variety of pains. Researchers conducted a study to determine whether magnets are effective in treating back pain. Pain was measured using the visual analog scale, and the results given below are among the results obtained in the study (based on data from "Bipolar Permanent Magnets for the Treatment of Chronic Lower Back Pain: A Pilot Study", by Collacott, Zimmerman, White, and Rindone, Journal of the American Medical Association, Vol. \(283,\) No. 10). Higher scores correspond to greater pain levels. a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that those treated with magnets have a greater mean reduction in pain than those given a sham treatment (similar to a placebo). b. Construct the confidence interval appropriate for the hypothesis test in part (a). c. Does it appear that magnets are effective in treating back pain? Is it valid to argue that magnets might appear to be effective if the sample sizes are larger? Reduction in Pain Level After Magnet Treatment: \(\quad n=20, \bar{x}=0.49, s=0.96\) Reduction in Pain Level After Sham Treatment: \(n=20, \bar{x}=0.44, s=1.4\)

Use the listed paired sample data, and assume that the samples are simple random samples and that the differences have a distribution that is approximately normal. Listed below are body temperatures from seven different subjects measured at two different times in a day (from Data Set 3 "Body Temperatures" in Appendix B). a. Use a 0.05 significance level to test the claim that there is no difference between body temperatures measured at \(8 \mathrm{AM}\) and at \(12 \mathrm{AM}\). b. Construct the confidence interval that could be used for the hypothesis test described in part (a). What feature of the confidence interval leads to the same conclusion reached in part (a)? $$\begin{array}{l|l|l|l|l|l|l|l} \hline \text { Body Temperature ("F) at 8 AM } & 96.6 & 97.0 & 97.0 & 97.8 & 97.0 & 97.4 & 96.6 \\ \hline \text { Body Temperature ('F) at 12 AM } & 99.0 & 98.4 & 98.0 & 98.6 & 98.5 & 98.9 & 98.4 \\ \hline \end{array}$$

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