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Construct the confidence interval estimate of the mean. An FDA guideline is that the mercury in fish should be below 1 part per million (ppm). Listed below are the amounts of mercury (ppm) found in tuna sushi sampled at different stores in New York City. The study was sponsored by the New York Times, and the stores (in order) are D'Agostino, Eli's Manhattan, Fairway, Food Emporium, Gourmet Garage, Grace's Marketplace, and Whole Foods. Construct a \(98 \%\) confidence interval estimate of the mean amount of mercury in the population. Does it appear that there is too much mercury in tuna sushi? $$\begin{array}{rrrrrrr} 0.56 & 0.75 & 0.10 & 0.95 & 1.25 & 0.54 & 0.88 \end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 98% confidence interval for the mean mercury level in tuna sushi does not include 1 ppm, indicating it is unlikely the true mean exceeds the FDA guideline.

Step by step solution

01

Find the sample mean (\bar{x})

Add all the mercury amounts together and divide by the number of values: \( \bar{x} = \frac{0.56 + 0.75 + 0.10 + 0.95 + 1.25 + 0.54 + 0.88}{7} \).
02

Calculate the sample standard deviation (s)

Use the formula for the sample standard deviation: \( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \), where \( x_i \) are the sample values, \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, and \( n \) is the sample size.
03

Find the critical value (t*)

For a 98% confidence level with 6 degrees of freedom (n-1), find the t critical value from the t-distribution table.
04

Calculate the margin of error (E)

Use the formula: \( E = t* \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( t* \) is the critical value, \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
05

Construct the confidence interval

Find the lower and upper bounds of the confidence interval using the formulas: \( \bar{x} - E \) and \( \bar{x} + E \).
06

Interpret the confidence interval

Compare the confidence interval to the FDA guideline of 1 ppm to determine if it appears that there is too much mercury in the tuna sushi.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Sample Mean
The sample mean, denoted as \(\bar{x}\), is the average of the sampled values. To find the sample mean, sum all the mercury amounts and divide by the number of samples. This provides a central value around which the data points are distributed. For instance, in the given problem, we calculate the sample mean as follows:
\(\bar{x} = \frac{0.56 + 0.75 + 0.10 + 0.95 + 1.25 + 0.54 + 0.88}{7} \)
The result represents the average mercury level in the sampled tuna sushi. This measure is crucial as it provides an estimate of the central tendency of the data. Testing whether the sample mean is below or above the guideline helps in assessing compliance with the FDA guideline of 1 ppm.
Sample Standard Deviation
The sample standard deviation (\(s\)) quantifies the amount of variation or dispersion in the sample data. It shows how much individual data points differ from the sample mean. Using the formula:
\( s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} \)
where \( x_i \) are the sample values, \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean, and \( n \) is the sample size.
In our example, calculate the deviations of each value from the mean, square these deviations, sum them up, then divide by \( n-1 \) and finally take the square root. This results in a numerical value that indicates the spread of the mercury content around the mean. A smaller \( s \) implies that the mercury levels are closely packed around the mean, whereas a larger \( s \) indicates more variability.
T-distribution
When estimating population parameters from a small sample size, the t-distribution is used. This distribution is similar to the normal distribution but has thicker tails, which account for the increased variability inherent in small samples. The shape of the t-distribution changes based on the sample size, denoted by degrees of freedom (df).
To construct a confidence interval for the mean mercury level, you need to determine the t-critical value (\( t* \)). For a 98% confidence level and 6 degrees of freedom (\( n-1 \)), use a t-distribution table or calculator. This critical value helps define the range within which the true population mean is expected to lie. The t-distribution thus corrects for the additional uncertainty in the estimate when the sample size is small (less than 30).
Margin of Error
The margin of error (\( E \)) represents the range above and below the sample mean within which the true population mean is expected to lie with a certain level of confidence. It accounts for the variability in the data and the confidence level chosen. The formula for the margin of error is:
\( E = t* \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \)
where \( t* \) is the t-critical value, \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.
By calculating the margin of error, we can then construct a confidence interval around the sample mean. For example, for a 98% confidence level, insert the appropriate \( t* \) value, the sample standard deviation, and the sample size into the formula to get \( E \). This margin of error tells us the interval's width, giving us information on how precise our estimate is. A smaller margin of error indicates a more precise estimate.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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