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For 100 births, \(P\) (exactly 56 girls) \(=0.0390\) and \(P(56 \text { or more girls) }=0.136\) Is 56 girls in 100 births a significantly high number of girls? Which probability is relevant to answering that question?

Short Answer

Expert verified
56 girls is not a significantly high number, considering the relevant probability of 0.136.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

Determine whether having exactly 56 girls out of 100 births is significantly high by examining the given probabilities.
02

Identify Relevant Probability

To determine if 56 girls is significantly high, we need to look at the cumulative probability that considers 56 or more girls: \[P(56 \text{ or more girls}) = 0.136\]
03

Interpret the Cumulative Probability

A cumulative probability of 0.136 means that there's a 13.6% chance of having 56 or more girls in 100 births. This percentage is typically not considered significantly high.
04

Draw a Conclusion

Given the cumulative probability of 0.136, 56 girls in 100 births is not a significantly high number. The threshold for significance generally needs to be lower, such as 5% or 1%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Cumulative Probability
Cumulative probability is a key concept in statistics. It involves summing up the probabilities of all events up to a certain point. This helps us understand the likelihood of encountering a range of outcomes, rather than just one specific result. In the context of the original exercise, instead of focusing on the probability of exactly 56 girls out of 100 births, we consider the cumulative probability of having 56 or more girls. This cumulative approach provides a broader perspective. Specifically, the cumulative probability of having 56 or more girls is 0.136, or 13.6%. To calculate it, you sum up the probabilities of having 56, 57, 58 girls, and so on, up to 100. This method helps in making decisions where a range of outcomes is important.

If an event falls within this cumulative probability, it gives us an insight into its rarity or commonality.
Significance Level
The significance level is crucial in statistics to determine whether a result is statistically significant. It is often denoted by \(\backslash alpha\) and represents a threshold below which we consider the result unusual or surprising. Common significance levels are 0.05 (5%) and 0.01 (1%).

In the problem, determining if 56 girls out of 100 births is significantly high involves comparing its cumulative probability to a standard significance level. With a cumulative probability of 0.136 (13.6%), this value is much higher than the common significance thresholds. Therefore, we conclude that having 56 girls out of 100 is not statistically significant. If the probability had been under 5% or 1%, it would be deemed significant.
Statistical Interpretation
Statistical interpretation involves analyzing and making sense of data using statistical methods. It requires understanding the context and the significance of the outcomes.

In the provided exercise, interpreting the cumulative probability of 0.136 tells us that there's a 13.6% chance of having 56 or more girls in 100 births. This interpretation helps us conclude that 56 girls in 100 births isn't significantly high, as we compare this probability to standard significance levels. Essentially, statistical interpretation bridges raw probabilities to meaningful conclusions.

Better interpretation supports informed decision-making and helps avoid incorrect conclusions.
Birth Gender Probability
The probability of birth gender typically follows a binomial distribution, where the chances of having a boy or a girl are generally considered equal, i.e., 50% each. In statistical exercises like the one provided, this basic probability is expanded to larger sample sizes to study patterns and anomalies in birth gender outcomes.

For the exercise's 100 births, the theoretical expectation would be around 50 girls. Deviations from this, such as 56 girls, are analyzed to understand if they are statistically significant or just due to random variation. Here, the probability of getting exactly 56 girls is 0.039, but more critically, the cumulative probability of 56 or more girls being 0.136 shows that this outcome is not exceptionally rare.

Understanding these probabilities helps in fields like public health and demographics, where gender ratios can impact various policy and planning decisions.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Determine whether a probability distribution is given. If a probability distribution is given, find its mean and standard deviation. If a probability distribution is not given, identify the requirements that are not satisfied. Five males with an X-linked genetic disorder have one child each. The random variable \(x\) is the number of children among the five who inherit the X-linked genetic disorder. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline x & P(x) \\ \hline 0 & 0.031 \\ \hline 1 & 0.156 \\ \hline 2 & 0.313 \\ \hline 3 & 0.313 \\ \hline 4 & 0.156 \\ \hline 5 & 0.031 \\ \hline \end{array}$$

Determine whether a probability distribution is given. If a probability distribution is given, find its mean and standard deviation. If a probability distribution is not given, identify the requirements that are not satisfied. Groups of adults are randomly selected and arranged in groups of three. The random variable \(x\) is the number in the group who say that they would feel comfortable in a selfdriving vehicle (based on a TE Connectivity survey). $$\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline x & P(x) \\ \hline 0 & 0.358 \\ \hline 1 & 0.439 \\ \hline 2 & 0.179 \\ \hline 3 & 0.024 \\ \hline \end{array}$$

Refer to the accompanying table, which describes results from groups of 8 births from 8 different sets of parents. The random variable \(x\) represents the number of girls among 8 children. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline \begin{array}{c} \text { Number of } \\ \text { Girls } \boldsymbol{x} \end{array} & \boldsymbol{P}(\boldsymbol{x}) \\ \hline 0 & 0.004 \\ \hline 1 & 0.031 \\ \hline 2 & 0.109 \\ \hline 3 & 0.219 \\ \hline 4 & 0.273 \\ \hline 5 & 0.219 \\ \hline 6 & 0.109 \\ \hline 7 & 0.031 \\ \hline 8 & 0.004 \\ \hline \end{array}$$ Use the range rule of thumb to determine whether 6 girls in 8 births is a significantly high number of girls.

Refer to the accompanying table, which describes results from groups of 8 births from 8 different sets of parents. The random variable \(x\) represents the number of girls among 8 children. $$\begin{array}{|c|c|} \hline \begin{array}{c} \text { Number of } \\ \text { Girls } \boldsymbol{x} \end{array} & \boldsymbol{P}(\boldsymbol{x}) \\ \hline 0 & 0.004 \\ \hline 1 & 0.031 \\ \hline 2 & 0.109 \\ \hline 3 & 0.219 \\ \hline 4 & 0.273 \\ \hline 5 & 0.219 \\ \hline 6 & 0.109 \\ \hline 7 & 0.031 \\ \hline 8 & 0.004 \\ \hline \end{array}$$ a. Find the probability of getting exactly 6 girls in 8 births. b. Find the probability of getting 6 or more girls in 8 births. c. Which probability is relevant for determining whether 6 is a significantly high number of girls in 8 births: the result from part (a) or part (b)? d. Is 6 a significantly high number of girls in 8 births? Why or why not?

Assume that when adults with smartphones are randomly selected, \(54 \%\) use them in meetings or classes (based on data from an LG Smartphone survey). If 12 adult smartphone users are randomly selected, find the probability that fewer than 3 of them use their smartphones in meetings or classes.

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