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91Ó°ÊÓ

There are only two possible decisions that can result from a hypothesis test. a. State the two possible decisions. b. Describe the conditions that will lead to each of the two decisions identified in part a.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The two possible decisions that can result from a hypothesis test are: a. Reject the null hypothesis, which happens when the p-value is less than the significance level (\(\alpha\)). b. Do not reject the null hypothesis, which happens when the p-value is greater than or equal to the significance level.

Step by step solution

01

Identify Possible Decisions

The two possible decisions that can result from a hypothesis test are: \n1. Reject the null hypothesis \n2. Do not reject (or retain) the null hypothesis.
02

Describe Conditions for Each Decision

a. Reject the null hypothesis: This decision is made when there is enough evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. In statistical terms, this is when the p-value is less than the significance level (\(\alpha\)), usually taken as 0.05. That is \(p \lt \alpha\). \nb. Do not reject the null hypothesis: This decision is made when there is insufficient evidence to support the alternative hypothesis. In statistical terms, this is when the p-value is greater than or equal to the significance level. That is \(p \geq \alpha\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
Understanding the null hypothesis is key to grasping the fundamentals of hypothesis testing in statistics. The null hypothesis, denoted as \(H_0\), represents a default position that there is no change, no effect, or no difference in the general case. It's a premise that suggests no significant statistical relationship exists in a set of given observations.

For instance, if we are testing a new drug's effect on blood pressure, the null hypothesis would state that there is no difference in blood pressure between those who received the drug and those who did not. Essentially, it articulates a hypothesis of no effect or no difference. To move away from this hypothesis, compelling evidence to the contrary must be provided.
Alternative Hypothesis
The alternative hypothesis, represented as \(H_a\) or \(H_1\), is the statement we hope to support with evidence from our data. It contradicts the null hypothesis and asserts that there is a statistically significant effect, relationship, or difference.

Following the previous example of the new drug, the alternative hypothesis would assert that there is a change in blood pressure for individuals who received the drug compared to those who did not. The alternative hypothesis is what researchers typically want to prove, representing a new theory or discovery.
P-value
The p-value in hypothesis testing is a crucial concept denoting the probability of obtaining test results at least as extreme as the ones observed during the test, assuming that the null hypothesis is correct. It provides a measure of the evidence against the null hypothesis provided by the data.

Lower p-values suggest that the observed data is unlikely if the null hypothesis were true, thereby providing evidence in favor of the alternative hypothesis. Various thresholds, or significance levels, are used to decide if a p-value is low enough to reject the null hypothesis, with 0.05 being one of the most common benchmarks.
Significance Level
The significance level, often denoted by \(\alpha\), is the threshold against which the p-value is compared to determine whether the null hypothesis can be rejected. It represents the risk of concluding that a difference exists when there is, in fact, no real difference - a type I error.

To decide on the balance between the risk of a type I error and the need to detect real differences, scientists and researchers choose an \(\alpha\) level, typically 0.05 for a 5% risk, before conducting the test. If the p-value is lower than the chosen significance level, the null hypothesis is rejected, suggesting that the observed effect or difference is statistically significant.
Statistical Evidence
Statistical evidence refers to the objective information provided by data analysis, which is used to support or refute claims based on statistical hypothesis testing. To evaluate if the results are statistically significant, p-values are compared with the significance level.

The strength of the statistical evidence is inversely related to the p-value: a smaller p-value means stronger evidence against the null hypothesis and in favor of the alternative hypothesis. Statistical evidence allows researchers to make informed decisions about the validity of their hypotheses with a known degree of risk.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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