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a. If the probability that you will pass the next exam in statistics is accurately assessed at 0.75 what is the probability that you will not pass the next statistics exam? b. The weather forecaster predicts that there is \(\mathrm{a}^{*} 70\) percent" chance of less than 1 inch of rain during the next 30 -day period. What is the probability of at least 1 inch of rain in the next 30 days?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. The probability that you will not pass the next statistics exam is 0.25. b. The probability of at least 1 inch of rain in the next 30 days is 0.30.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the probability of not passing the exam

Given the probability of passing the exam is 0.75, the probability of not passing it is given by \(1 - P(passing)\). In this case, it is \(1 - 0.75 = 0.25\)
02

Determine the probability of at least 1 inch of rain

Similarly, given the probability of there being less than 1 inch of rain is 0.70, the probability of there being at least 1 inch of rain is given by \(1 - P(<1 inch of rain)\). In this case, it is \(1 - 0.70 = 0.30\)

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability of Complementary Events
Understanding the concept of complementary events is essential when solving probability problems. Complementary events are pairs of events in which one event happening means the other cannot happen. Think of it like flipping a coin; if you get heads, you cannot also get tails on the same flip. They're opposites, and together, they cover all possible outcomes of a scenario.

When you calculate the probability of an event, it's straightforward to find the probability of its complement. Simply subtract the event's probability from 1. Remember, the sum of the probabilities of an event and its complement is always 1, as there are no other possible outcomes. For example, if the probability of passing an exam is 0.75, the probability of the complementary event, not passing, is simply 1 - 0.75, which equals 0.25. This is a fundamental concept in probability theory that makes many calculations easier.
Statistical Probability
Statistical probability refers to the measure of the likeliness that an event will occur, based on statistics and quantifiable measures from past data. It's the kind of probability we encounter in everyday life, like weather forecasts or sports analytics. When a weather forecaster says there's a 70% chance of less than 1 inch of rain, they're using statistical probability. This figure is derived from historical weather patterns and data analysis.

Statistical probability can be expressed in percentages, as in the weather example, or in decimal form, like the probability of passing an exam being 0.75. This method of probability is immensely useful in making informed predictions and decisions because it relies on actual data rather than theoretical outcomes. It's important to keep in mind that statistical probability deals with real-world events and, as such, can be subject to inaccuracies due to unexpected factors or incomplete data.
Probability Calculation
Probability calculation is the process of quantifying the chance of an event occurring. This involves applying probability formulas to various scenarios to determine likely outcomes. The most basic calculation is the probability of an event 'A', given by the formula 'P(A) = number of favorable outcomes / total number of possible outcomes'. This notion can be expanded upon with more complex formulas considering multiple events, independent or dependent probabilities, and more.

When it comes to calculations involving complementary events, we often use subtraction from the total probability, as illustrated in the exercise examples. If you know the chance of something happening, calculating the chance of it not happening is as simple as subtracting that probability from one. Mastering these basic probability calculations is not only crucial for academic success in statistics but also valuable for practical decision-making in uncertain situations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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A bowl contains 100 identical-looking, foil wrapped, chocolate egg-shaped candies of four kinds. The candies are either milk or dark chocolate with either a nut or a raisin filling. All but 40 of them are milk chocolate, all but 56 are nut, and all but 29 are nut-filled or milk chocolate. a. How many of each kind of chocolate are in the bowl? b. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is milk chocolate? c. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is dark or raisin? d. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is dark and raisin? e. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is neither dark nor raisin? f. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is not dark but is nut? g. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is milk or nut?

A bowl contains four kinds of identical-looking, foilwrapped, chocolate egg- shaped candies. All but 50 of them are milk chocolate, all but 50 are dark chocolate, all but 50 are semi-sweet chocolate, and all but 60 are white chocolate. a. How many candies are there in the bowl? b. How many of each kind of chocolate are in the bowl? c. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is white chocolate? d. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is white or milk chocolate? e. If one chocolate is selected at random, what is the probability that it is milk and dark chocolate? f. If two chocolates are selected at random, what is the probability that both are white chocolate? g. If two chocolates are selected at random, what is the probability that one is dark and one is semisweet chocolate? h. If two chocolates are selected at random, what is the probability that neither is milk chocolate?

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