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a. If the probability that event A occurs during an experiment is \(0.7,\) what is the probability that event A does not occur during that experiment? b. If the results of a probability experiment can be any integer from 16 to 28 and the probability that the integer is less than 20 is 0.78 what is the probability that the integer will be 20 or more?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) The probability that event A does not occur during that experiment is 0.3. (b) The probability that the integer will be 20 or more is 0.22.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Rule of Complementary Events

Complementary events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, which means they cannot both occur and that one of these must occur. So, the sum of their probabilities should always be equal to 1. Mathematically, if the probability of an event A is denoted as P(A), then the probability of its complementary event A' is given by P(A')=1-P(A).
02

Calculate the probability that event A does not occur

Given that the probability that event A occurs, P(A) = 0.7. Therefore, the complementary event that A does not occur, P(A') can be calculated as P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3
03

Identify the number of possible outcomes in question (b)

The possible outcomes of the probability experiment question (b) are any integer from 16 to 28. Therefore, the total number of outcomes \(n(S) = 28 - 16 + 1 = 13\), where \(S\) is the sample space.
04

Calculate the complement probability that the integer is 20 or more

The probability that the integer is less than 20, P(X<20) = 0.78. Therefore, the complement probability that the integer is 20 or more, P(X>=20), is equal to 1 - P(X<20) = 1 - 0.78 = 0.22

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Complementary Events
Understanding the concept of complementary events is fundamental in probability theory. Complementary events are two outcomes of an experiment that are mutually exclusive and exhaustive. This means that they cannot both happen at the same time, and one of the events must occur whenever the experiment is performed. A common example of complementary events is flipping a coin: the coin will either land on heads or tails, not both, and there is no third possible outcome.

For any event A, the complementary event is often denoted as A'. If the probability of A occurring is P(A), then the probability of A not occurring - that is, A' happening - will be 1 minus P(A), or P(A') = 1 - P(A). This rule must always be true, as the sum of the probabilities of complementary events always equals one. Understanding this relationship is crucial when a question asks for the probability of an event not happening, as seen in the exercise above where calculating that event A does not occur is as simple as subtracting P(A) from 1.
Sample Space
The sample space is another key concept in probability. It represents all possible outcomes of a random experiment, and is often denoted by the symbol S. Determining the sample space is an essential first step in any probability calculation because it sets the foundation for determining the likelihood of various events. For instance, when rolling a six-sided die, the sample space includes the set {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}, as these are all the potential outcomes.

In the context of the exercise, the sample space is defined by the inclusive range of integers from 16 to 28. Counting inclusively means that both 16 and 28 are part of the sample space, hence there are 28 - 16 + 1 = 13 possible outcomes. In probability calculations, a well-defined sample space ensures that all possible outcomes are accounted for when determining probabilities.
Probability Calculation
Finally, we have probability calculation, which involves using the principles of probability to determine the likelihood of different events. Probabilities are always expressed as numbers between 0 and 1, where 0 indicates impossibility and 1 indicates certainty. To calculate the probability of an event, one typically divides the number of ways an event can occur by the total number of possible outcomes in the sample space.

For example, let's consider the probability of rolling a 3 on a standard die. There is one way to get a 3 among the six possible outcomes, so the probability is 1/6. In the second part of the exercise, we use the rule of complementary events for probability calculation. Given that the probability of selecting an integer less than 20 is 0.78, we subtract this from 1 to find the probability of selecting 20 or more. This is a critical skill in probability - using known probabilities to calculate unknown ones, particularly with complementary events. This type of reasoning helps solve a variety of real-world and mathematical problems.

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