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The June \(16,2009,\) issue of Democrat and Chronicle presented the article "For the most part, the kids are all right." According to information from the CDC (Centers for Disease Control) and Safe Kids USA, a nonprofit advocacy group, \(77 \%\) of children ages 19 to 35 months receive all recommended vaccinations. If three children ages 19 to 35 months are randomly selected, what is the probability that all three will have received all recommended vaccinations?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability that all three randomly selected children will have received all recommended vaccinations is approximately \(0.457\) or \(45.7\%\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

The problem tells that a child between the age of 19 to 35 months has a \(77\%\) chance to have received all recommended vaccinations. It needs to find the probability that all three randomly selected children will have received the vaccinations. This is a simple multiplication of probabilities as these are independent events.
02

Calculation of Individual Probability

Firstly assess the probability of one child having all the recommended vaccinations. As it is given as a percentage, convert into a probability by dividing by 100. Hence, the probability of one child between the ages of 19 and 35 months having all recommended vaccinations is \(\frac{77}{100} = 0.77\).
03

Calculation of Combined Probability

Since each child's vaccination status is individually determined and are independent events, the probabilities multiply together. So, the probability of all three children having all the required vaccinations is \(0.77 \times 0.77 \times 0.77 = 0.456533\) or approximately \(0.457\). Thus, there is about \(45.7\%\) chance that any three randomly chosen children between the ages of 19 and 35 months will all have received all necessary vaccinations.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Independent Events
In probability, independent events are scenarios where the occurrence of one event does not affect the outcome of another. This concept is crucial to understand when calculating probabilities involving multiple events.

In this exercise, the vaccination status of each child is considered an independent event. This means that whether or not one child has received all the recommended vaccinations does not influence whether another child in the group has. This independence allows us to use the multiplication rule for calculating the combined probability of all three children being vaccinated. Here, each child's vaccination event has the same probability, independently determined.

Remember, assessing independence is key because if events are not independent, we cannot simply multiply probabilities, and the calculation could become more complex. Independent events make such problems straightforward, which is why it's important to identify them correctly.
Vaccination Statistics
Vaccination statistics play a critical role in public health. They provide insight into how well a population is protected against certain diseases. For the age group of 19 to 35 months, a vaccination rate of 77% suggests a good level of coverage, although it points out that not all children in this group are protected. This figure is derived from data monitored by organizations such as the CDC and helps in policy-making and health campaigns.

When interpreting such statistics, consider:
  • The percentage represents the likelihood of a random child in this age group being fully vaccinated.
  • A higher percentage indicates better herd immunity, which protects even those who cannot be vaccinated due to medical reasons.
  • National averages can disguise local variations; some areas may have higher or lower vaccination rates.


Understanding and interpreting vaccination statistics is essential for evaluating public health strategies and ensuring the safety and well-being of children.
Multiplication Rule
The multiplication rule is a fundamental concept in probability that is used to find the joint probability of two or more independent events happening together. When events are independent, this rule is particularly simple to apply.

The rule states that the probability of all independent events occurring is the product of their individual probabilities. In the given exercise, we calculated the probability that all three children have their vaccinations by multiplying the probability of one child being vaccinated by itself three times. This is because:
  • Each child’s probability of being vaccinated is 0.77.
  • For all three children, the combined probability is given by: \( 0.77 \times 0.77 \times 0.77 \).
  • This calculation results in approximately 0.457, indicating a 45.7% chance that all three will be vaccinated.


The multiplication rule is widely used in statistics, enabling us to calculate probabilities efficiently when dealing with independent events. By understanding this rule, you can confidently tackle similar problems involving multiple independent probabilities.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Juan lives in a large city and commutes to work daily by subway or by taxi. He takes the subway \(80 \%\) of the time because it costs less, and he takes a taxi the other \(20 \%\) of the time. When taking the subway, he arrives at work on time \(70 \%\) of the time, whereas he makes it on time \(90 \%\) of the time when traveling by taxi. a. What is the probability that Juan took the subway and is at work on time on any given day? b. What is the probability that Juan took a taxi and is at work on time on any given day?

If \(P(\mathrm{A})=0.5, P(\mathrm{B})=0.3,\) and \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { and } \mathrm{B})=0.2\) find \(P(\mathrm{A} \text { or } \mathrm{B})\)

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a. If the probability that event A occurs during an experiment is \(0.7,\) what is the probability that event A does not occur during that experiment? b. If the results of a probability experiment can be any integer from 16 to 28 and the probability that the integer is less than 20 is 0.78 what is the probability that the integer will be 20 or more?

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