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Find the \(90 \%\) confidence interval for the difference between two means based on this information about two samples. Assume independent samples from normal populations.$$\begin{array}{lccc}\text { Sample } & \text { Number } & \text { Mean } & \text { Std. Dev. } \\\\\hline 1 & 20 & 35 & 22 \\\2 & 15 & 30 & 16 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
The 90% confidence interval for the difference between the two means lies within the calculated confidence interval CI.

Step by step solution

01

- Calculation of the Mean Difference

First, calculate the difference between the sample means. Given sample mean1 as 35 and sample mean2 as 30, the mean difference \(\Delta M = M_1 - M_2 = 35 - 30 = 5 \)
02

- Calculation of the Standard Error

Next, compute the standard error (SE) of the difference. Standard error can be calculated using the formula: \[ SE = \sqrt{\frac{{SD^2_1}}{n_1} + \frac{{SD^2_2}}{n_2}} \] where \(SD_1\) and \(SD_2\) are the standard deviations of the two samples and \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) are the sizes of the two samples. Substituting the given values, we get: \[SE= \sqrt{\frac{{22^2}}{20} + \frac{{16^2}}{15}}\]
03

- Calculation of the Confidence Interval

Lastly, calculate the confidence interval. For the 90% confidence interval, and given we're dealing with a large sample size, we consult the z-table and find the z-score for 90% confidence as 1.645 (approximately). We then use the formula for the confidence interval: \[CI = M \pm Z \times SE\] Substituting the values we calculated, we get: \[ CI = 5 \pm 1.645 \times SE \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Error Calculation
Understanding the computation of the standard error (SE) is key to establishing how accurate your sample mean difference is in representing the population. The SE measures the amount of variation in the sampling distribution of a statistic, which in our case, is the difference between two sample means.

The formula for the standard error of the difference between two independent means is: \begin{align*}SE &= \biggl(\sqrt{\frac{{SD_1^2}}{n_1} + \frac{{SD_2^2}}{n_2}}\biggr),\end{align*}where:\begin{itemize}\item \(SD_1\) and \(SD_2\) are the standard deviations of sample 1 and sample 2, respectively.\item \(n_1\) and \(n_2\) are the sample sizes of sample 1 and sample 2, respectively.\end{itemize}The lower the standard error, the more precise the estimate. Hence, increasing the sample size or having lower variability (standard deviation) within samples will result in a smaller SE, pointing to a more precise estimate of the population mean difference.
Sample Mean Difference
A crucial component in analyzing the difference between two groups is the sample mean difference. It is simply the subtraction of one sample mean from another. In mathematical terms, for two samples, 1 and 2, with means \(M_1\) and \(M_2\) respectively, the sample mean difference \(\Delta M\) is given by:\[\Delta M = M_1 - M_2\]In the context of our problem, with sample means of 35 and 30, the mean difference becomes 5. This number represents the central estimate around which we build our confidence interval. The accuracy of this estimate depends largely on the sample size and variability within each sample, which is further refined by calculating the standard error.
Normal Populations Assumption
When finding a confidence interval for the difference between two means, one assumption we often rely on is that the populations from which the samples are drawn are normally distributed. This assumption is crucial because it allows us to use specific distribution-related properties for our calculations, particularly when using the Z-score in the case of large samples.

If the two populations follow a normal distribution, we can be more confident that our sample means and computed confidence intervals are accurate representations of the true population parameters. Furthermore, this normality assumption is necessary for the Central Limit Theorem to hold, which states that regardless of population distribution, the sampling distribution of the mean will tend to be normal or approximately normal if the sample size is large enough.

This assumption is particularly important when dealing with smaller sample sizes. For larger sample sizes, the Central Limit Theorem tends to 'shield' the results even if the original populations are not perfectly normal. However, for our example with sample sizes 20 and 15, this is a borderline scenario, and assuming normality gains more significance.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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