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Finding the Dividend Briley, Inc., is expected to pay equal dividends at the end of each of the next two years. Thereafter, the dividend will grow at a constant annual rate of 5 percent, forever. The current stock price is \(\$ 38\). What is next year's dividend payment if the required rate of return is 11 percent?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The dividend payment for next year (D鈧) for Briley, Inc. is approximately $2.37.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the variables

In this problem, we are given the following information: - Current stock price (P鈧) = $38 - Dividend growth rate (g) = 5% = 0.05 - Required rate of return (r) = 11% = 0.11 - Dividends are equal for first two years and grow at 5% thereafter We need to find the dividend payment for next year (D鈧).
02

Apply the dividend discount model (DDM) for stocks with constant growth

The dividend discount model with constant growth is represented by the following formula: \[P_{0} = \frac{D_{1}}{r - g}\] Since the dividends are equal for the next two years, we have to modify the DDM formula to take this into account: \[P_{0} = \frac{D_{1}}{r} + \frac{D_{1}(1 + g)}{r(r - g)}\] Now, we can plug in the given values and solve for D鈧.
03

Plug in the given values and solve for D鈧

We have the equation: \[38 = \frac{D_{1}}{0.11} + \frac{D_{1}(1 + 0.05)}{0.11(0.11 - 0.05)}\] Simplify the equation: \[38 = \frac{D_{1}(1 + 0.05)}{0.11(0.11 - 0.05)} + \frac{D_{1}(1)}{(0.11)}\] Combine the terms with D鈧: \[38 = D_{1}\left(\frac{1 + 0.05}{0.11(0.11 - 0.05)} + \frac{1}{(0.11)}\right)\] Divide both sides by the term in the brackets: \[D_{1} = \frac{38}{\frac{1 + 0.05}{0.11(0.11 - 0.05)} + \frac{1}{0.11}}\]
04

Calculate D鈧

Now, we can calculate D鈧 using a calculator: \[D_{1} = \frac{38}{\frac{1.05}{0.11(0.06)} + \frac{1}{0.11}} \approx 2.36765\] So, the dividend payment for next year (D鈧) is approximately $2.37.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Dividend Growth Rate
The dividend growth rate is a key variable in valuing stocks through the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). It represents the annual rate at which a company's dividends are expected to increase over time. This growth rate is crucial because it has a direct impact on the future cash flows an investor can expect to receive. In simple terms, if a company grows its dividends consistently, it's a sign that the company is doing well and its future prospects are positive.

For instance, in our exercise, Briley, Inc. is expected to grow its dividends at a constant annual rate of 5 percent. This figure suggests that the company's management is confident in its ability to generate increased profits over time, leading to higher distributions to shareholders. It's important to note that the dividend growth rate should be realistically set based on the company's historical performance, industry averages, and future earnings potential.

When estimating a stock's value using the DDM, an unrealistic growth rate can significantly alter the outcome. Therefore, a measured and conservative estimate that reflects true potential is best for accurate valuation. One must also consider that high growth rates are difficult to sustain over a long period, as a company matures and market saturation occurs.
Required Rate of Return
The required rate of return is the minimum percentage return that an investor expects from an investment to compensate for the level of risk they are taking. When it comes to stocks, this rate not only reflects the time value of money but also compensates for the uncertainty and risk inherent to the market. It's a fundamentally critical concept in finance used to assess investment opportunities.

The required rate of return can be influenced by factors such as prevailing interest rates, the company's risk profile, the volatility of the stock, and investor's individual risk preferences. It acts as a hurdle rate in the DDM; only when a stock's valuation meets or exceeds this rate does it become an attractive investment option.

In the exercise, an 11 percent required rate of return is used to calculate the present value of Briley, Inc.鈥檚 stock. This relatively high rate implies a considerable risk expectation or a comparison to alternative investments with similar returns. The careful assessment of the required rate of return is essential, as setting it too high can undervalue a good stock, while setting it too low may lead to overvaluation and potential investment losses.
Constant Dividend Growth
The concept of constant dividend growth is integral to a specific type of DDM known as the Gordon Growth Model. This model applies when a company鈥檚 dividends are expected to grow at a fixed rate infinitely. Constant dividend growth is a simplifying assumption that provides a straightforward approach to valuing a stock when a company exhibits stable and sustainable growth characteristics.

Under this model, the value of a stock today can be seen as the present value of all future dividend payments, growing perpetually at a rate 'g'. When employing this model, as we do in our exercise for Briley, Inc., investors are counting on the company鈥檚 consistent performance and a stable economic environment that allows for this steady growth rate.

Though the model is powerful for its simplicity, it's also important to recognize its limitations, as not all companies will display constant growth over the long term. For such companies, alternate valuation methods may be more appropriate. Nonetheless, for companies with a long history of steady dividend growth, this model provides a useful tool for investors seeking to determine fair stock prices.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Growth Opportunities Burklin, Inc., has earnings of \(\$ 15\) million and is projected to grow at a constant rate of 5 percent forever because of the benefits gained from the learning curve. Currently, all earnings are paid out as dividends. The company plans to launch a new project two years from now which would be completely internally funded and require 30 percent of the earnings that year. The project would start generating revenues one year after the launch of the project and the earnings from the new project in any year are estimated to be constant at \(\$ 6.5\) million. The company has 10 million shares of stock outstanding. Estimate the value of the stock. The discount rate is 10 percent.

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Stock Valuation Suppose you know that a company's stock currently sells for \$64 per share and the required return on the stock is 13 percent. You also know that the total return on the stock is evenly divided between a capital gains yield and a dividend yield. If it's the company's policy to always maintain a constant growth rate in its dividends, what is the current dividend per share?

Nonconstant Dividends North Side Corporation is expected to pay the following dividends over the next four years: \(\$ 9, \$ 7, \$ 5\), and \(\$ 2.50\). Afterwards, the company pledges to maintain a constant 5 percent growth rate in dividends forever. If the required return on the stock is 13 percent, what is the current share price?

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