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Nonconstant Growth and Quarterly Dividends Pasqually Mineral Water, Inc., will pay a quarterly dividend per share of \(\$ .75\) at the end of each of the next 12 quarters. Thereafter, the dividend will grow at a quarterly rate of 1 percent, forever. The appropriate rate of return on the stock is 10 percent, compounded quarterly. What is the current stock price?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The current stock price of Pasqually Mineral Water Inc. is approximately \(\$ 48.54\).

Step by step solution

01

Calculate the present value of dividends for the first 12 quarters

To find the present value of dividends for the first 12 quarters, we'll discount the dividends by the quarterly compounded rate of return. The present value of dividends (PV) can be given as: \[PV = \sum_{i=1}^{12} \frac{Dividend}{(1 + r)^i}\] Where: \(Dividend = \$ 0.75\) \(r = 0.10 / 4 = 0.025\)
02

Calculate the present value of dividends after the 12th quarter

Since the dividend will grow at a constant rate of 1% forever, we can use the growing perpetuity formula to find the present value of future dividends. The growing perpetuity formula is: \[PV_{g} = \frac{D_{1}}{r - g}\] Where: \(D_{1} = Dividend \times (1 + g) = \$ 0.75 \times (1 + 0.01) = \$ 0.7575\) \(g = 0.01\) (growth rate) \(r = 0.025\) (quarterly rate of return) Next, we need to discount this present value back to today. To find the present value of \(PV_{g}\) at time 0, we'll discount it by 12 quarters: \[PV_{g0} = \frac{PV_{g}}{(1 + r)^{12}}\]
03

Calculate the current stock price

Finally, we'll add the present values calculated in Step 1 and Step 2 to find the current stock price: \[Stock\_Price = PV + PV_{g0}\] Now, let's calculate the stock price using the provided information:
04

Calculations

1. Calculate the present value of dividends for the first 12 quarters (PV): \[PV = \sum_{i=1}^{12} \frac{0.75}{(1 + 0.025)^i} = \sum_{i=1}^{12} \frac{0.75}{(1.025)^i} = \$ 8.4943\] 2. Calculate the present value of dividends after the 12th quarter: \[PV_{g} = \frac{0.7575}{0.025 - 0.01} = \$ 50.5\] 3. Discount the present value of future dividends to today: \[PV_{g0} = \frac{50.5}{(1.025)^{12}} = \$ 40.0409\] 4. Calculate the current stock price: \[Stock\_Price = PV + PV_{g0} = \$8.4943 + \$40.0409 = \$ 48.5352\] Therefore, the current stock price of Pasqually Mineral Water Inc. is approximately \(\$ 48.54\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Nonconstant Growth
When dealing with dividend stocks, understanding growth patterns is crucial. Nonconstant growth refers to a period where dividends grow at varying rates before stabilizing at a constant growth rate. In our example of Pasqually Mineral Water, the company offers a steady dividend of $0.75 per quarter for the first 12 quarters. After this period, the dividend starts to grow at 1% each quarter. This kind of growth model demands a segmental analysis to evaluate the stock price. Initially, we calculate regular dividends without considering growth. Following the initial phase, the dividends grow consistently, simplifying the valuation with formulas suited for perpetual growth. This pattern is typical in young or fluctuating markets, where stability eventually unfolds.
Quarterly Dividends
Dividends are often distributed to shareholders as either quarterly or annual payments. Quarterly dividends mean that the company issues dividends every three months. In our scenario, Pasqually Mineral Water distributes $0.75 every quarter initially. Such a schedule ensures regular income for investors and necessitates calculations that consider quarterly time periods. The dividend discount model used to assess the present value adjusts the interest rate to a quarterly basis, which is crucial for accurately reflecting time value. When calculating returns, the annual rate is often divided by four (reflecting the four quarters in a year) to determine an appropriate quarterly rate.
Present Value
The concept of present value (PV) is central to financial calculations involving future cash flows like dividends. Present value determines how much future amounts are worth today, given a specific rate of return. In the Pasqually example, we need to calculate the present value of a series of future dividends using the given rate of return, adjusted to a quarterly rate of 2.5%. We apply the formula \(PV = \sum_{i=1}^{12} \frac{0.75}{(1 + 0.025)^i}\) to sum the present value of each quarterly payment. Then, for dividends growing perpetually, the present value is calculated differently, reflecting its constant growth starting the 13th quarter. Accurate PV estimation aids investors in determining the fair value of stocks based on expected future earnings.
Perpetuity Formula
The perpetuity formula becomes essential when calculating the present value of perpetual cash flows, particularly those with constant growth. In our exercise, once the initial 12-quarter phase concludes, dividends begin to grow indefinitely at 1% per quarter. This situation can be accurately modeled using the growing perpetuity formula: \(PV_{g} = \frac{D_{1}}{r - g}\), where \(D_{1}\) represents the dividend in the first growth period after initial payments, \(r\) is the quarterly return rate, and \(g\) is the growth rate. This formula simply and effectively evaluates stocks offering consistent growth in dividends, allowing for the streamlined calculation of long-term return scenarios. By further discounting to present value, investors can better understand the ongoing value propositions of stocks with predictable, perpetual growth patterns.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Nonconstant Dividends Bucksnort, Inc., has an odd dividend policy. The company has just paid a dividend of \(\$ 10\) per share and has announced that it will increase the dividend by \(\$ 3\) per share for each of the next five years, and then never pay another dividend. If you require an 11 percent return on the company's stock, how much will you pay for a share today?

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