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An important factor in selling a residential property is the number of times real estate agents show a home. A sample of 15 homes recently sold in the Buffalo, New York, area revealed the mean number of times a home was shown was 24 and the standard deviation of the sample was 5 people. Develop a \(98 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean.

Short Answer

Expert verified
The \(98\%\) confidence interval for the population mean is (20.16, 27.84).

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Given Information

The problem provides these details:- Sample size, \( n = 15 \)- Sample mean, \( \bar{x} = 24 \)- Standard deviation of the sample, \( s = 5 \)- Confidence level: \( 98\% \)
02

Determine the Critical Value

Since the sample size is smaller than 30, we use the t-distribution. For a \(98\%\) confidence interval and degrees of freedom \(df = n - 1 = 14\), the critical value \( t^* \) can be found using a t-table or calculator which is approximately \( t^* = 2.977 \).
03

Calculate the Margin of Error

The margin of error (ME) is calculated using the formula:\[ ME = t^* \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]Substituting the values:\[ ME = 2.977 \times \frac{5}{\sqrt{15}} \approx 3.84 \]
04

Compute the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval is found using:\[ \bar{x} \pm ME \]Substituting the values:\[ 24 \pm 3.84 \]This results in the interval:\( 20.16 \text{ to } 27.84 \).
05

Interpret the Results

We can say with \(98\%\) confidence that the true mean number of times homes are shown in this population is between 20.16 and 27.84.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Understanding the t-distribution
When dealing with confidence intervals, particularly with small sample sizes (typically less than 30), the t-distribution is the go-to method. Unlike the normal distribution, which uses the same standard curve regardless of sample size, the t-distribution adjusts its shape depending on the size of the sample. This flexibility makes it more accurate for small sample sizes.
The t-distribution is similar to the normal distribution; however, it has thicker tails. This means that it tends to spread out more, allowing for more variability and helping to account for the greater uncertainty found in smaller samples.
  • The thicker tails mean that the standard deviation of the t-distribution is wider.
  • This is why we use a t-distribution when finding confidence intervals for small sample sizes.
  • As the sample size increases, the t-distribution approaches the normal distribution.
Sample Mean Explained
In statistics, the sample mean is a crucial element when estimating population parameters. It represents the average value of a sample taken from a larger population. The sample mean is denoted as \( \bar{x} \), and in this exercise, it was given as 24.
  • The sample mean serves as an unbiased estimator of the population mean due to the Central Limit Theorem.
  • It provides a point estimate for the average number of times houses were shown in our exercise scenario.
By using the sample mean, we are making an assumption that it reflects the central tendency of the entire population, even though we only examined a small part of it.
What is the Margin of Error?
The margin of error (ME) helps us understand the potential error in our estimate of a population parameter. It is an indication of how much we can expect the sample estimate to differ from the true population value. In this context, it's calculated using the t-distribution critical value and the sample's standard deviation. To calculate the margin of error, use:\[ ME = t^* \times \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]Where:\( t^* \) is the critical value from the t-distribution (in this case, approximately 2.977),
\( s \) is the sample standard deviation (here, 5),
\( n \) is the sample size (15 houses in this example).The margin of error results in a numeric range around the sample mean, which is added and subtracted to form the confidence interval.
Explaining Degrees of Freedom
Degrees of freedom (df) play a critical role in statistical calculations. They represent the number of values that have the freedom to vary within a statistical calculation. For confidence intervals using t-distribution, the degrees of freedom are calculated as \( n - 1 \).
  • In our particular exercise, with a sample size of 15, the degrees of freedom are \( 15 - 1 = 14 \).
  • Degrees of freedom affect the critical value \( t^* \) used in forming confidence intervals.
  • A higher number of degrees of freedom results in a t-distribution that more closely resembles a normal distribution.
Understanding degrees of freedom is essential since they help determine the shape of the t-distribution, which aids in calculating an accurate confidence interval.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Dylan Jones kept careful records of the fuel efficiency of his new car. After the first nine times he filled up the tank, he found the mean was 23.4 miles per gallon (mpg) with a sample standard deviation of 0.9 mpg. a. Compute the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for his mpg. b. How many times should he fill his gas tank to obtain a margin of error below 0.1 mpg?

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A study of 25 graduates of four-year public colleges revealed the mean amount owed by a student in student loans was 55,051. The standard deviation of the sample was 7,568. Construct a 90 % confidence interval for the population mean. Is it reasonable to conclude that the mean of the population is actually 55,000 ? Explain why or why not.

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