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Dylan Jones kept careful records of the fuel efficiency of his new car. After the first nine times he filled up the tank, he found the mean was 23.4 miles per gallon (mpg) with a sample standard deviation of 0.9 mpg. a. Compute the \(95 \%\) confidence interval for his mpg. b. How many times should he fill his gas tank to obtain a margin of error below 0.1 mpg?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. Confidence interval is approximately [22.708, 24.092]. b. Dylan needs to fill the gas tank at least 312 times to have a margin of error below 0.1 mpg.

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Known Values

We have the mean \( \bar{x} = 23.4 \) mpg, the sample standard deviation \( s = 0.9 \) mpg, and the sample size \( n = 9 \).
02

Choose the Confidence Level

We need a \( 95\% \) confidence interval. The corresponding \( z \)-value is approximately \( 1.96 \). However, for a small sample size, we must use the t-distribution, so we find the \( t \)-value for \( 8 \) degrees of freedom (\( n-1 \)).
03

Find the t-value from the t-distribution

Using a t-distribution table or calculator for \( 95\% \) confidence and \( 8 \) degrees of freedom, the \( t \)-value is approximately \( 2.306 \).
04

Calculate the Margin of Error

The formula for the margin of error \( E \) is \( E = t \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \). Substituting the values, \( E = 2.306 \cdot \frac{0.9}{\sqrt{9}} = 2.306 \cdot 0.3 \approx 0.692 \).
05

Compute the Confidence Interval

The confidence interval is \( \bar{x} \pm E = 23.4 \pm 0.692 \). Thus, the interval is approximately \([22.708, 24.092]\).
06

Decide on the Margin of Error for Part b

We want a margin of error less than or equal to 0.1 mpg. Use the formula \( E = t \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \leq 0.1 \). Assuming \( t \approx 1.96 \) for larger \( n \).
07

Solve for the Required Sample Size

Rearrange to find \( n \): \( n \geq \left( \frac{t \cdot s}{0.1} \right)^2 = \left( \frac{1.96 \cdot 0.9}{0.1} \right)^2 \). Compute \( \left( \frac{1.96 \cdot 0.9}{0.1} \right)^2 \approx 311.17 \).
08

Round to the Nearest Whole Number

Since sample size must be whole, round up to \( 312 \). Dylan should fill the tank at least 312 times to get a margin of error below 0.1 mpg.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Margin of Error
The concept of Margin of Error helps us understand how precise our sample estimate is likely to be compared to the actual population parameter. In this context, it refers to the range within which we can expect the true mean fuel efficiency of Dylan's car to fall, based on his nine recorded measurements.

The Margin of Error (E) is calculated using the formula:
  • \( E = t \cdot \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \)
where \( t \) is the t-value from the t-distribution for a certain confidence level and degrees of freedom, \( s \) is the sample standard deviation, and \( n \) is the sample size.

In Dylan's case, the Margin of Error of approximately 0.692 mpg means we're confident the true average fuel efficiency is within 0.692 mpg of the sample mean of 23.4 mpg.
Sample Size
Sample Size refers to the number of observations or data points that Dylan recorded, which can significantly influence the accuracy of the confidence interval. In general, a larger sample size tends to provide a more accurate representation of the population mean by reducing the Margin of Error.

For Dylan's exercise, with an initial sample size of 9, the confidence interval wasn't as precise as he wanted, because the margin of error was 0.692 mpg. To refine this measurement to less than 0.1 mpg, a much larger sample size of 312 fuel entries was needed.

This demonstrates the inverse relationship between sample size and margin of error: as the sample size increases, the margin of error decreases, leading to a more reliable estimate of the population mean.
t-Distribution
When working with small sample sizes, like Dylan's 9 fill-ups, the t-Distribution becomes suitable. Unlike the normal distribution, which is used for larger sample sizes, the t-distribution accounts for the extra variability expected with fewer data points.

In the problem at hand, with a 95% confidence level and 8 degrees of freedom (one less than the sample size), the t-value was found to be approximately 2.306. This t-value reflects the extra "wiggle room" required to ensure that the actual mean falls within the calculated confidence interval.

Using the t-distribution rather than the z-distribution is crucial here because it helps accommodate the uncertainty that comes with estimating a population parameter from a limited data set.
Mean
The Mean refers to the average value derived from a set of data points. In Dylan's case, the mean fuel efficiency is 23.4 miles per gallon (mpg), calculated from his recorded fuel efficiency values after nine fill-ups.

This mean serves as an estimator for the true average fuel efficiency of his car across all potential fill-ups. Understanding the mean is important because it provides a central value around which the confidence interval is created.

In computing the confidence interval, the mean acts as the middle point with the margin of error extending to either side. This way, Dylan can be reasonably certain that the real average mpg will lie within the range created by this mean and its associated margin of error, providing valuable insight into the efficiency of his vehicle.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The National Collegiate Athletic Association (NCAA) reported that college football assistant coaches spend a mean of 70 hours per week on coaching and recruiting during the season. A random sample of 50 assistant coaches showed the sample mean to be 68.6 hours, with a standard deviation of 8.2 hours. a. Using the sample data, construct a \(99 \%\) confidence interval for the population mean. b. Does the \(99 \%\) confidence interval include the value suggested by the NCAA? Interpret this result. c. Suppose you decided to switch from a \(99 \%\) to a \(95 \%\) confidence interval. Without performing any calculations, will the interval increase, decrease, or stay the same? Which of the values in the formula will change?

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