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In a certain section of Southern California, the distribution of monthly rent for a one-bedroom apartment has a mean of \(\$ 2,200\) and a standard deviation of \(\$ 250 .\) The distribution of the monthly rent does not follow the normal distribution. In fact, it is positively skewed. What is the probability of selecting a sample of 50 one-bedroom apartments and finding the mean to be at least \(\$ 1,950\) per month?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The probability is nearly 1.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Problem

We're asked to find the probability that the sample mean of 50 one-bedroom apartments is at least $1950. We know the population mean is $2200 and the standard deviation is $250.
02

Apply Central Limit Theorem

Even though the distribution is positively skewed, we can apply the Central Limit Theorem here because the sample size is large (n=50). This allows us to approximate the sampling distribution of the sample mean as normal.
03

Find Standard Error of the Mean

The standard error of the mean (SEM) is calculated using the formula: \( SEM = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \), where \( \sigma \) is the population standard deviation and \( n \) is the sample size. Plugging in the numbers: \( SEM = \frac{250}{\sqrt{50}} \approx 35.36 \).
04

Calculate Z-score for Sample Mean

Convert the sample mean ($1950) into a standard normal z-score using the formula: \( z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SEM} \), where \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean we're interested in, and \( \mu \) is the population mean. For this problem: \( z = \frac{1950 - 2200}{35.36} \approx -7.07 \).
05

Find Probability Using Z-table

The z-score of -7.07 is extremely low, indicating that \( \bar{x} = 1950 \) is very far from the mean. Using a standard normal distribution table, the probability of a z-score less than -7.07 is practically 0. Since we want the probability that the sample mean is at least $1950, we consider the complementary probability which is essentially 1.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Error of the Mean
The Standard Error of the Mean (SEM) is a key statistical concept that helps us understand the variability of sample means around the population mean. When you take a sample from a population, each sample mean can slightly differ from the true population mean. The SEM measures how much these sample means tend to vary.To calculate the SEM, use the formula: \[ SEM = \frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}} \] where:
  • \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation of the population
  • \( n \) is the size of the sample
As the sample size increases, the SEM decreases, indicating that the sample mean is likely to be closer to the population mean. In practical terms, for a large enough sample size, like 50 in this exercise, the SEM becomes small and thus makes our estimated mean more reliable.
For our exercise, with a population standard deviation of \( \$250 \) and a sample size of 50, the SEM is calculated as approximately \( 35.36 \). This value quantifies the expected deviation of the sample mean from the population mean, thus enabling us to conduct further probability calculations.
Normal Distribution
In statistics, the Normal Distribution is a crucial concept used for probability and inferential statistics. It's a symmetric, bell-shaped distribution where most of the data points tend to cluster around the mean.The significance of the Normal Distribution becomes apparent when applying the Central Limit Theorem (CLT), which allows us to use normal distribution properties even when the underlying data is not normally distributed.
The CLT tells us that the sampling distribution of the sample mean will be approximately normally distributed if the sample size is large enough (usually \( n \geq 30 \)).In this particular exercise, the original distribution of monthly rents is positively skewed. Despite this skewness, because we are working with a sample size of 50, the CLT assures us that we can approximate the sampling distribution of the mean as normal. This justifies the use of the normal z-score in our next steps to calculate probability.
Z-score
A Z-score, or standard score, indicates how many standard deviations an element is from the mean. It is used to determine the probability of a statistic occurring within a normal distribution and to compare different data points in a dataset.The formula for the Z-score is:\[ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{SEM} \]where:
  • \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean
  • \( \mu \) is the population mean
  • SEM is the standard error of the mean
In our exercise, the Z-score tells us how unusual or usual our sample mean is in the context of the population mean. A Z-score of -7.07, as calculated, suggests that the sample mean of \( \\(1950 \) is extremely rare and significantly lower than the mean. In practical terms, this means the probability of observing such a low sample mean is nearly zero. However, since we need the probability of finding the mean to be at least \( \\)1950 \), we look at the complementary probability given that Z-scores take into account cumulative probabilities.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Answer the following questions in one or two well-constructed sentences. a. What happens to the standard error of the mean if the sample size is increased? b. What happens to the distribution of the sample means if the sample size is increased? c. When using sample means to estimate the population mean, what is the benefit of using larger sample sizes?

At the downtown office of First National Bank, there are five tellers. Last week, the tellers made the following number of errors each: \(2,3,5,3,\) and \(5 .\) a. How many different samples of two tellers are possible? b. List all possible samples of size 2 and compute the mean of each. c. Compute the mean of the sample means and compare it to the population mean.

In the United States, the mean age of men when they marry for the first time follows the normal distribution with a mean of 29 years. The standard deviation of the distribution is 2.5 years. For a random sample of 60 men, what is the likelihood that the age when they were first married is less than 29.3 years?

The mean performance score on a physical fitness test for Division I student- athletes is 947 with a standard deviation of \(205 .\) If you select a random sample of 60 of these students, what is the probability the mean is below \(900 ?\)

A normal population has a mean of 60 and a standard deviation of \(12 .\) You select a random sample of \(9 .\) Compute the probability the sample mean is: a. Greater than \(63 .\) b. Less than 56 . c. Between 56 and \(63 .\)

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