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The weights of canned hams processed at Henline Ham Company follow the normal distribution, with a mean of 9.20 pounds and a standard deviation of 0.25 pound. The label weight is given as 9.00 pounds. a. What proportion of the hams actually weigh less than the amount claimed on the label? b. The owner, Glen Henline, is considering two proposals to reduce the proportion of hams below label weight. He can increase the mean weight to 9.25 and leave the standard deviation the same, or he can leave the mean weight at 9.20 and reduce the standard deviation from 0.25 pound to \(0.15 .\) Which change would you recommend?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Reduce standard deviation to minimize underweight hams.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Problem

We have a normal distribution with a mean (\( \mu \)) of 9.20 pounds and a standard deviation (\( \sigma \)) of 0.25 pounds. We need to find the proportion of hams that weigh less than 9.00 pounds, which is the label weight.
02

Calculate the Z-score for Part (a)

To find the proportion of hams weighing less than 9.00 pounds, we need to calculate the Z-score. The Z-score is given by the formula:\[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \]where \( X \) is 9.00 pounds. Thus,\[ Z = \frac{9.00 - 9.20}{0.25} = \frac{-0.20}{0.25} = -0.80 \]
03

Use Z-table to Find Proportion for Part (a)

Now, we use the Z-table to find the proportion of hams weighing less than 9.00 pounds. A Z-score of -0.80 corresponds to a proportion of approximately 0.2119. Thus, about 21.19% of the hams weigh less than the label weight.
04

Calculate Z-score for Mean Increase

If the mean weight is increased to 9.25 with the same standard deviation (0.25), calculate the Z-score for 9.00 pounds:\[ Z = \frac{9.00 - 9.25}{0.25} = \frac{-0.25}{0.25} = -1.00 \]
05

Use Z-table for Mean Increase

A Z-score of -1.00 corresponds to a proportion of approximately 0.1587. So, if the mean is increased, about 15.87% of hams weigh less than the label weight.
06

Calculate Z-score for Standard Deviation Reduction

If the standard deviation is reduced to 0.15 with the mean remaining at 9.20, calculate the Z-score for 9.00 pounds:\[ Z = \frac{9.00 - 9.20}{0.15} = \frac{-0.20}{0.15} \approx -1.33 \]
07

Use Z-table for Standard Deviation Reduction

A Z-score of -1.33 corresponds to a proportion of approximately 0.0918. Thus, reducing the standard deviation results in about 9.18% of hams weighing less than the label weight.
08

Make a Recommendation

Comparing the proportions, reducing the standard deviation to 0.15 results in the lowest proportion of hams below the label weight. Therefore, reducing the standard deviation is the more effective proposal.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Standard Deviation
In the context of normal distribution, the standard deviation is a crucial measure. It indicates how much variation or spread exists from the mean in a set of data. A smaller standard deviation means that the data points tend to be close to the mean.

In the Henline Ham Company exercise, the initial standard deviation was 0.25 pounds. This meant that the weight of canned hams generally varied by 0.25 pounds from the mean of 9.20 pounds. Reducing the standard deviation to 0.15 pounds, as proposed, would cause the weights to cluster more tightly around the mean.

A lower standard deviation is often preferred because it reduces the likelihood of hams being significantly lighter or heavier than desired. This aligns with the company's goal of minimizing the number of hams weighing less than the label weight.
Z-score
The Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relationship to the mean of a group of values, expressed in terms of standard deviations from the mean. It is calculated as:
  • \( Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} \)
Where \( X \) is the value being standardized, \( \mu \) is the mean, and \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation.

In the given exercise, Z-scores were used to determine how far below the mean certain weights were. If the score is negative, it means the weight is less than the mean. For example, a Z-score of -0.80 was calculated for weights less than the label weight of 9.00 pounds, indicating they are significantly below the average weight.
Mean
The mean, often referred to as the average, is a measure of central tendency. It is calculated by summing all values and dividing by the number of values. In the Henline Ham case, the mean weight of the canned hams is 9.20 pounds.

This mean is significant because it serves as a benchmark for evaluating the standard deviation and determining how typical or unusual a particular weight is.
Adjusting the mean, as proposed in the exercise, directly impacts the Z-scores. Increasing the mean to 9.25 pounds results in a reduced number of hams weighing less than the label weight, changing the overall proportion.
Proportion
Proportion, in statistical terms, refers to a fraction or percentage of a whole. In the exercise, we needed to calculate the proportion of hams weighing less than 9.00 pounds. This was achieved by using the Z-score and a Z-table.

By determining the Z-score and matching it to the corresponding value in the Z-table, we found that approximately 21.19% of the hams were lighter than 9.00 pounds when the mean was 9.20 pounds. Adjustments to either the mean or the standard deviation altered these proportions.
Reducing the standard deviation to 0.15 altered the proportion of hams below the label weight to 9.18%, making it the better option for ensuring fewer hams weigh less than desired.

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