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It is reported that \(41 \%\) of American households use a cell phone exclusively for their telephone service. In a sample of eight households: a. Find the probability that no household uses a cell phone as their exclusive telephone service. b. Find the probability that exactly 5 households exclusively use a cell phone for telephone service. c. Find the mean number of households exclusively using cell phones.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.0075; b. 0.1267; c. 3.28

Step by step solution

01

Define the Problem

We are dealing with a binomial distribution where each household can either use a cell phone exclusively or not use it exclusively. The problem involves identifying the probability of certain outcomes in a sample of 8 households. Here, the probability of a household using a cell phone exclusively, denoted as \( p \), is 0.41, and \( n \), the total number of trials, is 8.
02

Find the Probability of No Household Using a Cell Phone Exclusively

We use the binomial probability formula: \[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k} \]For part a, we set \( k = 0 \): \[ P(X = 0) = \binom{8}{0} \cdot (0.41)^0 \cdot (0.59)^8 \]Calculating this, we get:\[ P(X = 0) = 1 \cdot 1 \cdot 0.59^8 = 0.0075 \]
03

Find the Probability of Exactly 5 Households Using a Cell Phone Exclusively

Again, using the binomial probability formula with \( k = 5 \): \[ P(X = 5) = \binom{8}{5} \cdot (0.41)^5 \cdot (0.59)^3 \]Calculate the combination and probability: \[ P(X = 5) = 56 \cdot (0.41)^5 \cdot (0.59)^3 = 56 \cdot 0.011 \cdot 0.205 = 0.1267 \]
04

Calculate the Mean Number of Households Using Cell Phones Exclusively

The mean of a binomial distribution is given by \( \mu = n \cdot p \). Substitute \( n = 8 \) and \( p = 0.41 \):\[ \mu = 8 \cdot 0.41 = 3.28 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Calculation
When dealing with probability calculation in the context of a binomial distribution, you are assessing the likelihood of a given outcome across multiple trials or experiments. Here, the scenario involves figuring out how many households exclusively use cell phones based on the provided probability.

In our example, we have a sample of 8 households and the probability that a single household uses only a cell phone is 41% or 0.41. To calculate the probability for different numbers of households, we place each household into one of two categories: either they use a cell phone exclusively, or they do not.

This process involves computing probabilities for specific outcomes using the binomial formula. You can consider it as figuring out which 'winning numbers' appear when you have a bag with black and white balls, where each color represents a choice of usage.
  • Calculate the probability for a specific number of households (like none or five using only cell phones) by plugging numbers into the binomial formula.
  • Use combinations to determine how the outcomes arrange among households.
Mean of a Distribution
In distributions, the mean often indicates the 'center' of your data set—a key number that gives a sense of the overall trend. In the case of binomial distributions, the mean tells us the average number of successes over several trials.

For our scenario with households, the mean (\( \mu \)) is calculated using the formula:\[ \mu = n \cdot p \]where \( n \) is the total number of households, and \( p \) is the probability of success (a household using a cell phone exclusively).
  • Here, \( n = 8 \) and \( p = 0.41 \). Thus, \( \mu = 8 \times 0.41 = 3.28 \).
  • This tells us that on average, around 3.28 households out of 8 would use a cell phone exclusively.
These average values help guide expectations towards general usage behavior instead of focussing on exact numbers.
Binomial Probability Formula
The binomial probability formula is at the heart of calculating the likelihood of different outcomes in a binomial distributed scenario. It's a critical tool used when outcomes have two possible results (e.g., using a cell phone exclusively or not).

Here's the formula:\[ P(X = k) = \binom{n}{k} \cdot p^k \cdot (1-p)^{n-k} \]where:
  • \( P(X = k) \) is the probability of getting exactly \( k \) successes in \( n \) trials.
  • \( \binom{n}{k} \) is the number of combinations of \( n \) items taken \( k \) at a time.
  • \( p \) is the probability of a success on an individual trial, and \( (1-p) \) represents the probability of failure.

This formula allows us to calculate the exact probability of any given number of households using cell phones exclusively in our sample of 8, such as none or exactly five, as shown in the original problem solutions.

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