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Bank of America customers select their own four-digit personal identification number (PIN) for use at ATMs. a. Think of this as an experiment and list four possible outcomes. b. What is the probability that a customer will pick 2591 as their PIN? c. Which concept of probability did you use to answer (b)?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) 1234, 7777, 0000, 2591; b) \( \frac{1}{10000} \); c) Classical probability.

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the scenario

A four-digit personal identification number (PIN) is chosen out of a possible range from 0000 to 9999. Therefore, there are 10,000 possible different PINs a customer can select.
02

Listing Possible Outcomes

Randomly select four possible outcomes (four-digit PINs): 1234, 7777, 0000, 2591. These are just examples among the 10,000 possible PINs.
03

Calculating the Probability of Picking a Specific PIN

Since each of the 10,000 possible PIN combinations is equally likely, the probability of selecting any single PIN, such as 2591, is calculated as: \( P(\text{Picking 2591}) = \frac{1}{10000} \).
04

Determining the Concept of Probability

Here, we used the classical concept of probability, which considers all outcomes as equally likely and calculates probability based on the ratio of successful outcomes to the total number of possible outcomes.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Classical Probability
Classical Probability is one of the most fundamental concepts in the study of probability. It is based on the assumption that all outcomes of an experiment are equally likely. This means that when an event occurs, each specific outcome has the same chance of being selected as any other. It is often used in scenarios where the number of outcomes is finite and can be listed or counted. This concept is especially useful in games of chance, such as rolling dice or drawing cards, where each outcome is considered to have an equal probability. In the context of PIN selection, where a bank customer chooses a four-digit number, classical probability treats each possible PIN, from 0000 to 9999, as equally likely to be chosen.
Experiment Outcomes
In probability, an outcome is any possible result that can arise from performing an experiment. When considering the task of selecting a four-digit PIN, the entire set of potential outcomes ranges from 0000 to 9999. This means there are a total of 10,000 possible outcomes. If we think about these outcomes, they are essentially all the different combinations that can be formed by a four-digit sequence where each digit can be any number between 0 and 9. Examples of such outcomes include 1234, 7777, 0000, and 2591. These represent just a tiny sample of the entire space of possible outcomes one might get when choosing a PIN randomly. Understanding the concept of experiment outcomes is crucial for calculating probabilities, as it helps in defining the total number of possible results against which specific events are compared.
Probability Calculation
Calculating the probability of a specific event is a central task in probability theory. The formula used in classical probability is simple yet powerful:\[ P( ext{Event}) = \frac{\text{Number of successful outcomes}}{\text{Total number of possible outcomes}} \]In the case of choosing a specific PIN, such as 2591, we are interested in finding the probability of this particular event. There is only 1 successful outcome if we're picking the PIN 2591 itself, and since there are 10,000 possible PINs, the probability becomes:\[ P( ext{Picking 2591}) = \frac{1}{10000} \]This calculation shows that each PIN has a very small chance of being selected because the pool of possible PINs is quite large. The probability calculation thus provides a quantitative measure of how likely a specific outcome is, which is immensely useful in both theoretical and practical applications.
PIN Selection
Choosing a four-digit Personal Identification Number (PIN) can be thought of as conducting an experiment with 10,000 possible outcomes. Each PIN is composed of four digits, and each of these digits can independently be any number from 0 to 9. The process of PIN selection is random in many cases, allowing for each combination from 0000 to 9999 to be equally likely. In practical terms, this randomness ensures that no single combination is more predictable than another, enhancing security features in ATM or online banking usage. To improve understanding, think of the selection of a PIN as blindly picking a combination from an overwhelmingly vast array of options. This insight into the range of possibilities clarifies why remembering specific PINs and treating them confidentially is crucial for maintaining security.

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