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A sample of 2,000 licensed drivers revealed the following number of speeding violations. $$ \begin{array}{|cc|} \hline \text { Number of Violations } & \text { Number of Drivers } \\ \hline 0 & 1,910 \\ 1 & 46 \\ 2 & 18 \\ 3 & 12 \\ 4 & 9 \\ 5 \text { or more } & 5 \\ \hline \text { Total } & \frac{5}{2,000} \\ \hline \end{array} $$ a. What is the experiment? b. List one possible event. c. What is the probability that a particular driver had exactly two speeding violations? d. What concept of probability does this illustrate?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Experiment: Select and observe number of violations. Event: A driver has three violations. Probability of two violations: \( \frac{9}{1000} \). Concept: Empirical probability.

Step by step solution

01

Define the Experiment

The experiment consists of selecting one licensed driver at random from the sample of 2,000 drivers and observing the number of speeding violations they have.
02

Identify a Possible Event

An event is a specific outcome or set of outcomes from an experiment. One possible event in this scenario is that a driver has exactly three speeding violations. Other events could include a driver having no violations at all, or having five or more violations.
03

Determine Probability of Exactly Two Violations

To find this probability, use the formula for probability, which is the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes. Here, the number of drivers with exactly two violations is 18, and the total number of drivers is 2,000. Thus, the probability is: \[ P( ext{exactly two violations}) = \frac{18}{2000} \].
04

Simplify the Probability

Simplify the probability from the previous step: \[ \frac{18}{2000} = \frac{9}{1000} \]. This fraction represents the probability that a randomly selected driver had exactly two speeding violations.
05

Identify the Probability Concept

The concept illustrated here is empirical probability, which is based on observation and frequency of events. In this case, it uses the data from the sample to determine the likelihood of the number of violations.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Empirical Probability
Empirical probability is calculated based on observations from actual data, which makes it different from theoretical probability that relies on assumed possibilities. In the context of the given exercise, empirical probability helps us estimate the likelihood of events like the number of speeding violations among drivers. This type of probability considers available data from a sample group. For instance, the probability of a driver having exactly two violations is determined by comparing the frequency of this event with the total number of observations. By observing real-world outcomes, empirical probability provides a reliable estimate for decision-making based on past occurrences. It is a practical approach, especially when complete knowledge about the outcome is unavailable.
Probability Calculation
Understanding probability calculation requires knowing how to express the chance of an event occurring as a fraction or percentage. In our step-by-step solution, we calculate the probability as the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total possible outcomes. For example, determining the probability of a driver having exactly two speeding violations involves taking the number of such cases (18 drivers) and dividing it by the total sample size (2,000 drivers). This is expressed as \( P(\text{exactly two violations}) = \frac{18}{2000} \). Good probability calculations help predict outcomes based on observed data effectively. It's crucial to simplify these fractions, when possible, to make them more interpretable, as seen in the simplified form \( \frac{9}{1000} \).
Sample and Population
The concepts of sample and population are fundamental to understanding probability in statistics. A population includes all possible items of interest, whereas a sample is a smaller subset used for analysis. In our exercise, the population could be all licensed drivers, but due to practical constraints, we observe a sample of 2,000 drivers. The sample represents the population and allows us to make probabilistic statements about it.
  • A well-chosen sample should be representative to ensure the findings are accurate and reliable.
  • Statistics from samples are often used to infer information about the entire population.
Understanding the distinction between these two can help in designing experiments and interpreting results correctly.
Frequency of Events
Frequency of events refers to how often a particular outcome occurs within a dataset. This concept is a cornerstone in calculating empirical probabilities and understanding patterns. In the driver exercise, the frequency of each number of violations is counted. The frequency distribution table helps us see the spread and concentration of events. For example, the frequency of drivers with zero violations is 1,910.
  • A frequency count helps in identifying the most common events and any outliers.
  • This data can be visualized or tabulated to make comprehension easier.
By analyzing the frequency of events, we can determine which outcomes are likely or unlikely and use this information to make data-driven decisions.

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