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According to the Insurance Institute of America, a family of four spends between \(\$ 400\) and \(\$ 3,800\) per year on all types of insurance. Suppose the money spent is uniformly distributed between these amounts. a. What is the mean amount spent on insurance? b. What is the standard deviation of the amount spent? c. If we select a family at random, what is the probability they spend less than \(\$ 2,000\) per year on insurance per year? d. What is the probability a family spends more than \(\$ 3,000\) per year?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a) $2,100; b) $980.98; c) 47.06%; d) 23.53%.

Step by step solution

01

Determine the Distribution Type

The distribution of spending in this case is described as uniformly distributed between $400 and $3,800. This means each amount within this range is equally likely to be spent, forming a uniform distribution.
02

Calculate the Mean of the Uniform Distribution

For a uniform distribution, the mean can be calculated using the formula \[\text{Mean} = \frac{a + b}{2},\]where \(a\) and \(b\) are the minimum and maximum values of the distribution. So, \[\text{Mean} = \frac{400 + 3800}{2} = \frac{4200}{2} = 2100.\] Thus, the mean amount spent on insurance is $2,100.
03

Calculate the Standard Deviation

For a uniform distribution, the standard deviation is calculated using the formula \[\sigma = \frac{b-a}{\sqrt{12}},\]where \(a\) is the minimum and \(b\) is the maximum value. Thus, \[\sigma = \frac{3800-400}{\sqrt{12}} = \frac{3400}{\sqrt{12}} \approx 980.98.\]The standard deviation of the amount spent is approximately $980.98.
04

Calculate the Probability of Spending Less Than $2,000

In a uniform distribution, the probability of a random variable \(X\) being less than a certain value \(x\) is given by \[P(X < x) = \frac{x-a}{b-a},\]where \(a\) and \(b\) are the minimum and maximum of the distribution. For \(x = 2000\), \[P(X < 2000) = \frac{2000-400}{3800-400} = \frac{1600}{3400} \approx 0.4706.\]So, the probability that a family spends less than $2,000 is approximately 0.4706 or 47.06%.
05

Calculate the Probability of Spending More Than $3,000

For the probability of spending more than \(3,000, use \[P(X > x) = 1 - P(X < x).\]First calculate \(P(X < 3000)\):\[P(X < 3000) = \frac{3000-400}{3800-400} = \frac{2600}{3400} \approx 0.7647.\]Thus, \[P(X > 3000) = 1 - 0.7647 = 0.2353.\]Hence, the probability that a family spends more than \)3,000 per year is approximately 0.2353 or 23.53%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mean Calculation
Calculating the mean of a uniform distribution is a straightforward process that provides the average of all possible outcomes. In our example, this involves family insurance spending ranging uniformly from \(\\(400\) to \(\\)3,800\). To find the mean in a uniform distribution, you can use the formula: \[\text{Mean} = \frac{a + b}{2}\]where \(a\) is the minimum value and \(b\) is the maximum value in the distribution. Using the values from our example, we calculate: - \(a = 400\)- \(b = 3800\) Plug these into the formula: \[\text{Mean} = \frac{400 + 3800}{2} = 2100\] So, the average spending on insurance for a family of four is \(\$2,100\) per year. This mean shows the center point of our data range, giving us one measure of central tendency.
Whenever dealing with uniform distributions, calculating the mean helps you understand the expected outcome of a random draw from that distribution.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation in a uniform distribution helps quantify the amount of variation or dispersion in the spending data. For the insurance spending problem, the standard deviation provides insight into how spread out the amounts are around the mean. In a uniform distribution, this can be calculated using the formula: \[\sigma = \frac{b-a}{\sqrt{12}}\]where \(a\) and \(b\) represent the minimum and maximum values of the distribution.Using the given values:- \(a = 400\)- \(b = 3800\) Calculate it step-by-step:- Find the range: \(b-a = 3400\)- Divide by \(\sqrt{12}\) to adjust for uniform spread: \[\sigma = \frac{3400}{\sqrt{12}} \approx 980.98\]Hence, the standard deviation is approximately \(\$981\), indicating that the spending amounts typically vary this much from the mean.
Understanding standard deviation is crucial for assessing how much uncertainty there is in the spending amounts around the average, helping to gauge the consistency of spending habits among families.
Probability in Statistics
The concept of probability in uniform distributions describes how likely it is for a randomly chosen event to fall within a particular interval. For our insurance spending scenario, the probabilities of interest are how likely a family's spending is within specific bounds. Using this distribution:
**Probability of Spending Less Than \(\\(2,000\) Account:**- First, use: \[P(X < x) = \frac{x-a}{b-a}\]where: - \(x = 2000\) - \(a = 400\) - \(b = 3800\)By plugging in the values, you find:\[P(X < 2000) = \frac{1600}{3400} \approx 0.4706\] This indicates a probability of 47.06% that a family's spending will be less than \(\\)2,000\).
**Probability of Spending More Than \(\\(3,000\):**Similarly, calculate for spending more than \(\\)3,000\):- First, find \(P(X < 3000)\):\[P(X < 3000) = \frac{2600}{3400} \approx 0.7647\] Now use: \[P(X > 3000) = 1 - P(X < 3000) = 0.2353\] This suggests a 23.53% chance of spending above \(\$3,000\).
Understanding these probabilities aids decision-making by quantifying the likelihood of various spending outcomes.
Insurance Spending Analysis
Analyzing insurance spending involves understanding how families allocate their finances towards insurance policies on average and what variations exist. By observing these statistics, we can derive actionable insights into consumer behavior.1. **Average Spending Patterns** - With the calculated mean of \(\\(2,100\), you can see the typical family's insurance expenditure.
This serves as a benchmark for understanding average insurance budgets.2. **Variability in Spending** - The standard deviation of \(\\)981\) suggests notable variability, indicating that while many spend near the mean, there are also significant divergences.3. **Probabilistic Insights** - Knowing 47.06% of families spend less than \(\\(2,000\) helps in identifying lower-spending patterns. - The 23.53% chance of spending more than \(\\)3,000\) indicates fewer families engage in high insurance expenditures.Overall, this analysis assists in understanding the financial commitments families make towards insurance. % It supports policymakers and companies in crafting better, more targeted insurance products and services.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

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