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The following hypotheses are given. $$\begin{array}{l}H_{0}: \pi \leq .70 \\\H_{1}: \pi>.70\end{array}$$ A sample of 100 observations revealed that \(p=.75 .\) At the .05 significance level, can the null hypothesis be rejected? a. State the decision rule. b. Compute the value of the test statistic. c. What is your decision regarding the null hypothesis?

Short Answer

Expert verified
The null hypothesis cannot be rejected at the 0.05 significance level.

Step by step solution

01

Define Decision Rule

We are testing the claims about a population proportion \( \pi \). The decision rule is based on the z-test for proportions. Given the significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \), we look in the z-table to find the critical value. For a one-sided test (because \( H_1: \pi > 0.70 \)), the critical value is at \( z_{0.05} = 1.645 \). The decision rule is: reject \( H_0 \) if the test statistic \( z > 1.645 \).
02

Calculate the Test Statistic

Use the formula for the test statistic for a proportion: \[ z = \frac{{\hat{p} - \pi_0}}{\sqrt{\frac{\pi_0(1-\pi_0)}{n}}}\] where \( \hat{p} = 0.75 \), \( \pi_0 = 0.70 \), and \( n = 100 \). Substitute these into the formula: \[ z = \frac{0.75 - 0.70}{\sqrt{\frac{0.70 \times 0.30}{100}}} = \frac{0.05}{\sqrt{0.0021}} = \frac{0.05}{0.0458} \approx 1.091\]
03

Decision Regarding Null Hypothesis

Compare the calculated test statistic \( z \approx 1.091 \) to the critical value \( 1.645 \). Since \( 1.091 \) is less than \( 1.645 \), we do not reject the null hypothesis \( H_0: \pi \leq 0.70 \) at the 0.05 significance level.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Population Proportion
When we conduct hypothesis testing involving proportions, one important concept is the population proportion, denoted as \( \pi \). The population proportion \( \pi \) represents the fraction of individuals in a population that hold a particular trait or characteristic. In our exercise, the hypothesis is focused on whether the proportion \( \pi \) is less than or equal to 0.70. This means we are assessing if a significant number of individuals in the sample population possess or exhibit this characteristic to a degree greater than 70%.

Understanding population proportion through a sample helps us draw conclusions about a larger group based on observed data. In our case, the sample statistic \( \hat{p} = 0.75 \) indicates the observed proportion of individuals that have the characteristic in a sample of size 100. Such measurements help form the basis for decisions in hypothesis testing.
Test Statistic
The test statistic is a crucial calculation in hypothesis testing. It helps us measure how far our sample statistic is from the hypothesized population parameter. For population proportions, the z-test is typically used.

In the context of the exercise, the test statistic formula is: \[z = \frac{{\hat{p} - \pi_0}}{\sqrt{\frac{\pi_0(1-\pi_0)}{n}}}\]
Where:
  • \( \hat{p} \) is the sample proportion.
  • \( \pi_0 \) is the population proportion in the null hypothesis.
  • n is the sample size.
In this specific case, our sample test provided a z-score of approximately 1.091 after applying the values (\( \hat{p} = 0.75 \), \( \pi_0 = 0.70 \), and \( n = 100 \)) into the formula. The z-value tells us how many standard deviations away the sample proportion is from the null hypothesis' proportion.
Significance Level
The significance level, denoted as \( \alpha \), is a threshold that helps us decide whether to reject the null hypothesis. It is usually set by the researcher before analyzing the data. This level represents the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true, often set at 0.05 (5%).

In the exercise, the significance level is 0.05, indicating a 5% risk of concluding that the population proportion is different from what is stated in the null hypothesis when in fact it is not. Using this significance level allows for a clear decision rule. It balances the risk of making a Type I error (incorrectly rejecting a true null hypothesis) with the power to detect a real effect.
Decision Rule
The decision rule is a structured plan for deciding whether to reject the null hypothesis. It depends heavily on the calculated test statistic and the predetermined significance level. In one-tailed tests, like the one in our example, the decision rule is based on whether the test statistic falls in a critical region.

For our exercise, with a significance level \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the critical z-value from the z-table is 1.645 for a one-tailed test. Therefore, the decision rule is:
  • Reject the null hypothesis if the calculated z-value is greater than 1.645.
  • Do not reject the null hypothesis if the z-value is less or equal to 1.645.
Since the calculated z-value (1.091) is not greater than the critical value, we stick to the null hypothesis. The decision rule provides a straightforward guide on which conclusion to reach based on your computations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The Rutter Nursery Company packages their pine bark mulch in 50 -pound bags. From a long history, the production department reports that the distribution of the bag weights follows the normal distribution and the standard deviation of this process is 3 pounds per bag. At the end of each day, Jeff Rutter, the production manager, weighs 10 bags and computes the mean weight of the sample. Below are the weights of 10 bags from today's production. $$\begin{array}{|lllllllll|}\hline 45.6 & 47.7 & 47.6 & 46.3 & 46.2 & 47.4 & 49.2 & 55.8 & 47.5 & 48.5 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ a. Can Mr. Rutter conclude that the mean weight of the bags is less than 50 pounds? Use the .01 significance level. b. In a brief report, tell why Mr. Rutter can use the \(z\) distribution as the test statistic. c. Compute the \(p\) -value.

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NBC TV news, in a segment on the price of gasoline, reported last evening that the mean price nationwide is \(\$ 2.10\) per gallon for self-serve regular unleaded. A random sample of 35 stations in the Milwaukee, Wisconsin, area revealed that the mean price was \(\$ 2.12\) per gallon and that the standard deviation was \(\$ 0.05\) per gallon. At the .05 significance level, can we conclude that the price of gasoline is higher in the Milwaukee area? Determine the \(p\) -value.

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