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The MacBurger restaurant chain claims that the waiting time of customers for service is normally distributed, with a mean of 3 minutes and a standard deviation of 1 minute. The quality-assurance department found in a sample of 50 customers at the Warren Road MacBurger that the mean waiting time was 2.75 minutes. At the .05 significance level, can we conclude that the mean waiting time is less than 3 minutes?

Short Answer

Expert verified
Yes, the mean waiting time is less than 3 minutes.

Step by step solution

01

State the Hypotheses

We begin with stating the null and alternative hypotheses. The null hypothesis \( H_0 \) is that the mean waiting time of customers is equal to 3 minutes, i.e., \( \mu = 3 \). The alternative hypothesis \( H_a \) is that the mean waiting time is less than 3 minutes, i.e., \( \mu < 3 \).
02

Identify the Significance Level

The significance level is given as \( \alpha = 0.05 \). This means there is a 5% risk of concluding that the mean waiting time is less than 3 minutes when, in fact, it is not.
03

Calculate the Test Statistic

We will use the formula for the Z-test statistic for the sample mean: \[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \]Where \( \bar{x} = 2.75 \), \( \mu = 3 \), \( \sigma = 1 \), and \( n = 50 \). Substituting in these values gives:\[ Z = \frac{2.75 - 3}{\frac{1}{\sqrt{50}}} \approx -1.77 \]
04

Determine the Critical Value

Now we find the critical value for \( \alpha = 0.05 \) in a one-tailed test (left-tailed). For a Z-distribution, the critical value is approximately \(-1.645\).
05

Make the Decision

Since the calculated Z-value of \(-1.77\) is less than the critical value of \(-1.645\), we reject the null hypothesis \( H_0 \). This suggests that the evidence is strong enough to conclude that the mean waiting time is less than 3 minutes at the 0.05 significance level.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Null Hypothesis
In hypothesis testing, the null hypothesis (\( H_0 \)) is a statement that there is no effect or difference between groups or variables. It suggests a default position that any kind of difference or effect you see in a set of data is not significant and could be due to chance. In our case, the null hypothesis claims that the average waiting time at MacBurger is exactly 3 minutes. The null hypothesis is critical because it provides a benchmark against which we can measure our evidence. If our data are inconsistent with the null hypothesis, we can reject it in favor of the alternative hypothesis. This forms the foundational step in hypothesis testing and directs subsequent analysis. Remember, rejecting the null hypothesis does not prove the alternative hypothesis is true, but rather that it is a better explanation based on the evidence.
Significance Level
The significance level, commonly denoted as \( \alpha \), is the probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when it is actually true. It represents a threshold of risk that researchers are willing to take. In our scenario, the significance level is set at 0.05, meaning there is a 5% chance of wrongly concluding that the average waiting time is less than 3 minutes when it is not.A lower significance level means stricter criteria for rejecting the null hypothesis, while a higher significance level is more lenient. Choosing an appropriate significance level is essential in balancing the risk of making Type I errors (false positives) and Type II errors (false negatives). Usually, 0.05 is a conventional choice in many fields, indicating a moderate balance between caution and discovery.
Z-test
The Z-test is a statistical tool used to determine whether there is a significant difference between the means of a sample and a population. It is applicable when the sample size is large (\( n > 30 \)), and the data are approximately normally distributed.For the MacBurger case, we apply the Z-test to assess whether the average waiting time of 2.75 minutes in a sample of 50 customers truly reflects a general reduction from the claimed 3 minutes. The Z-test formula is:\[ Z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu}{\frac{\sigma}{\sqrt{n}}} \]Where:
  • \( \bar{x} \) is the sample mean (2.75 minutes).
  • \( \mu \) is the population mean (3 minutes).
  • \( \sigma \) is the standard deviation (1 minute).
  • \( n \) is the sample size (50).
By calculating the Z-value, we determine how many standard deviations away the sample mean is from the population mean. A significant Z-value indicates evidence against the null hypothesis.
Critical Value
The critical value is a threshold that determines the boundary between the acceptance region and the rejection region of the null hypothesis. It is derived based on the significance level and the nature of the test (one-tailed or two-tailed). For a one-tailed test with \( \alpha = 0.05 \), the critical value is \(-1.645\).In our test of the MacBurger waiting time, we compare the calculated Z-value with this critical value. If the Z-value is less than the critical value (in the case of a left-tailed test), then we have sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis. Here, since our Z-value is \(-1.77\), which is less than \(-1.645\), we confidently reject the null hypothesis, indicating that the mean waiting time is statistically less than 3 minutes at this significance level.Understanding critical values helps in making informed decisions based on statistical evidence and the predefined risk level.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

The Rutter Nursery Company packages their pine bark mulch in 50 -pound bags. From a long history, the production department reports that the distribution of the bag weights follows the normal distribution and the standard deviation of this process is 3 pounds per bag. At the end of each day, Jeff Rutter, the production manager, weighs 10 bags and computes the mean weight of the sample. Below are the weights of 10 bags from today's production. $$\begin{array}{|lllllllll|}\hline 45.6 & 47.7 & 47.6 & 46.3 & 46.2 & 47.4 & 49.2 & 55.8 & 47.5 & 48.5 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ a. Can Mr. Rutter conclude that the mean weight of the bags is less than 50 pounds? Use the .01 significance level. b. In a brief report, tell why Mr. Rutter can use the \(z\) distribution as the test statistic. c. Compute the \(p\) -value.

NBC TV news, in a segment on the price of gasoline, reported last evening that the mean price nationwide is \(\$ 2.10\) per gallon for self-serve regular unleaded. A random sample of 35 stations in the Milwaukee, Wisconsin, area revealed that the mean price was \(\$ 2.12\) per gallon and that the standard deviation was \(\$ 0.05\) per gallon. At the .05 significance level, can we conclude that the price of gasoline is higher in the Milwaukee area? Determine the \(p\) -value.

Hugger Polls contends that an agent conducts a mean of 53 in-depth home surveys every week. A streamlined survey form has been introduced, and Hugger wants to evaluate its effectiveness. The number of in-depth surveys conducted during a week by a random sample of agents are: $$\begin{array}{|lllllllllllllll|}\hline 53 & 57 & 50 & 55 & 58 & 54 & 60 & 52 & 59 & 62 & 60 & 60 & 51 & 59 & 56 \\\\\hline\end{array}$$ At the .05 level of significance, can we conclude that the mean number of interviews conducted by the agents is more than 53 per week? Estimate the \(p\) -value.

A spark plug manufacturer claimed that its plugs have a mean life in excess of 22,100 miles. Assume the life of the spark plugs follows the normal distribution. A fleet owner purchased a large number of sets. A sample of 18 sets revealed that the mean life was 23,400 miles and the standard deviation was 1,500 miles. Is there enough evidence to substantiate the manufacturer's claim at the .05 significance level?

The National Safety Council reported that 52 percent of American turnpike drivers are men. A sample of 300 cars traveling southbound on the New Jersey Turnpike yesterday revealed that 170 were driven by men. At the .01 significance level, can we conclude that a larger proportion of men were driving on the New Jersey Turnpike than the national statistics indicate?

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