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The diameter of the dot produced by a printer is normally distributed with a mean diameter of 0.002 inch and a standard deviation of 0.0004 inch. a. What is the probability that the diameter of a dot exceeds \(0.0026 ?\) b. What is the probability that a diameter is between 0.0014 and \(0.0026 ?\) c. What standard deviation of diameters is needed so that the probability in part (b) is \(0.995 ?\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.0668 b. 0.8664 c. New standard deviation \( \approx 0.000214 \)

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Normal Distribution

The diameter of the dot produced by the printer follows a normal distribution with mean \( \mu = 0.002 \) and standard deviation \( \sigma = 0.0004 \). We are tasked to find probabilities related to this normal distribution.
02

Calculate Z-score for Question (a)

To find the probability that the diameter exceeds 0.0026, first calculate the Z-score using the formula: \[ Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma} = \frac{0.0026 - 0.002}{0.0004} = \frac{0.0006}{0.0004} = 1.5 \]
03

Find Probability using the Z-score for Question (a)

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator, find the probability for \( Z = 1.5 \) which is approximately 0.9332. The probability that the diameter exceeds 0.0026 is the complement of this value: \[ P(X > 0.0026) = 1 - P(Z < 1.5) = 1 - 0.9332 = 0.0668 \]
04

Calculate Z-scores for Question (b)

For the probability that the diameter is between 0.0014 and 0.0026, calculate the Z-scores for both:\[ Z_{0.0014} = \frac{0.0014 - 0.002}{0.0004} = -1.5 \] \[ Z_{0.0026} = \frac{0.0026 - 0.002}{0.0004} = 1.5 \]
05

Find Probability using Z-scores for Question (b)

Using standard normal distribution tables or a calculator:\( P(Z > -1.5) \) is approximately 0.9332.\( P(Z < 1.5) \) is approximately 0.9332.The probability that the diameter is between 0.0014 and 0.0026 is: \[ P(-1.5 < Z < 1.5) = P(Z < 1.5) - P(Z < -1.5) = 0.9332 - (1 - 0.9332) = 0.9332 - 0.0668 = 0.8664 \]
06

Find New Standard Deviation for Question (c)

We need the probability of the diameter being between 0.0014 and 0.0026 to be 0.995. Using the Z-table, find the Z-scores corresponding to a right-tail probability of 0.0025 (half of 0.005 for both ends of the distribution), which is approximately 2.807. The calculated Z is 1.5 for the conditions in part (b). To satisfy the condition, we need:\[ 1.5 \times \sigma' = 2.807 \] Thus, find \( \sigma' \) by:\[ \sigma' = \frac{0.0026 - 0.0014}{2 \times 2.807} \approx \frac{0.0012}{5.614} = 0.000214 \]

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Normal Distribution
Normal distribution is a foundational concept in statistics. It's often referred to as a "bell curve" because of its symmetric shape, peaking at the mean with progressively decreasing tails. This distribution is characterized by its mean and standard deviation. The mean (\(\mu\)) represents the average of all data points, while the standard deviation (\(\sigma\)) measures the spread or variability of the data. Most data in a normal distribution falls within three standard deviations of the mean. This property is critical in various fields, including quality control, finance, and environmental studies. In this exercise, the printer dot diameter is normally distributed with a mean of 0.002 inches and a standard deviation of 0.0004 inches.
Z-score Calculation
A Z-score is a statistical measurement that describes a value's relation to the mean of a group of values. It is expressed in terms of a number of standard deviations from the mean. Calculating the Z-score helps us understand how far or how close a particular data point is to the average.

To calculate a Z-score, use the formula:
  • \[Z = \frac{X - \mu}{\sigma}\]
Where:
  • \(X\) is the value to be standardized,
  • \(\mu\) is the mean,
  • \(\sigma\) is the standard deviation.
For example, to calculate the Z-score for a dot diameter of 0.0026 inches:
  • \[Z = \frac{0.0026 - 0.002}{0.0004} = 1.5\]
The Z-score of 1.5 signifies that 0.0026 inches is 1.5 standard deviations above the mean. Calculating Z-scores enables us to find probabilities using the standard normal distribution tables or a calculator.
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is a measure of how spread out numbers are around the mean. A smaller standard deviation indicates that the data points are close to the mean, whereas a larger standard deviation signifies more dispersed data. This measure is crucial when comparing variability between datasets that might have different averages.

To find a new standard deviation that changes the probability as needed, adjustments are made using the Z-score relationships and desired probabilities. In the exercise, we sought a situation where the probability of the diameter falling between 0.0014 and 0.0026 inches is 0.995.

To accomplish this, the approach is to use the existing normal distribution mechanics, determining \(\sigma'\), the adjusted standard deviation, as follows:
  • Find the necessary Z-score for the target probability, e.g., for a right tail probability of 0.0025 leads to Z = 2.807.
Then use the desired range:
  • \[\sigma' = \frac{0.0026 - 0.0014}{2 \times Z}\]
  • \[\sigma' \approx 0.000214\]
This adjustment ensures the data conforms to the confidence levels required by the setting, which is a key use of standard deviation in statistical assessments.

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