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Computer keyboard failures are due to faulty electrical connects (12\%) or mechanical defects (88\%). Mechanical defects are related to loose keys \((27 \%)\) or improper assembly \((73 \%)\) Electrical connect defects are caused by defective wires (35\%), improper connections \((13 \%),\) or poorly welded wires \((52 \%)\) a. Find the probability that a failure is due to loose keys. b. Find the probability that a failure is due to improperly connected or poorly welded wires.

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 23.76% b. 7.8%

Step by step solution

01

Identify the Given Information

Understand the different types of failures and their probabilities:- Electrical Connect Failures: 12%\(\quad\) - Defective wires: 35% (of electrical)\(\quad\) - Improper connections: 13% (of electrical)\(\quad\) - Poorly welded wires: 52% (of electrical)- Mechanical Defects: 88%\(\quad\) - Loose keys: 27% (of mechanical)\(\quad\) - Improper assembly: 73% (of mechanical)
02

Calculate the Probability of Loose Keys

We need the probability that a failure is due to loose keys, a mechanical issue:\[ P(\text{Loose Keys}) = P(\text{Mechanical Defect}) \times P(\text{Loose Keys} | \text{Mechanical Defect}) \] \[ P(\text{Loose Keys}) = 0.88 \times 0.27 \] \[ P(\text{Loose Keys}) = 0.2376 \] Thus, the probability that a failure is due to loose keys is 23.76%.
03

Calculate the Probability of Improperly Connected Wires

Find the probability of failure due to improperly connected wires, an electrical issue:\[ P(\text{Improper Connections}) = P(\text{Electrical Failure}) \times P(\text{Improper Connections} | \text{Electrical Failure}) \] \[ P(\text{Improper Connections}) = 0.12 \times 0.13 \] \[ P(\text{Improper Connections}) = 0.0156 \] Thus, the probability that a failure is due to improperly connected wires is 1.56%.
04

Calculate the Probability of Poorly Welded Wires

Find the probability for poorly welded wires within electrical issues:\[ P(\text{Poorly Welded}) = P(\text{Electrical Failure}) \times P(\text{Poorly Welded} | \text{Electrical Failure}) \] \[ P(\text{Poorly Welded}) = 0.12 \times 0.52 \] \[ P(\text{Poorly Welded}) = 0.0624 \] Thus, the probability that a failure is due to poorly welded wires is 6.24%.
05

Sum the Probabilities for B

Now add the probabilities found for improperly connected and poorly welded wires:\[ P(\text{Improperly Connected or Poorly Welded}) = P(\text{Improper Connections}) + P(\text{Poorly Welded}) \] \[ P(\text{Improperly Connected or Poorly Welded}) = 0.0156 + 0.0624 \] \[ P(\text{Improperly Connected or Poorly Welded}) = 0.078 \] Thus, the total probability that a failure is due to improperly connected or poorly welded wires is 7.8%.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Mechanical Defects
Mechanical defects are a significant concern in the context of computer keyboard failures, accounting for a large proportion of all issues. Specifically, they make up 88% of failure instances.
These defects generally manifest as either loose keys or improper assembly. Loose keys themselves are a common scenario, occurring in 27% of cases where the failure is mechanical. This type of defect might happen when keys are not securely fastened to the keyboard base.
The other main type of mechanical defect is improper assembly, which accounts for 73% of the cases. This could mean that parts of the keyboard are not aligned correctly during manufacturing, leading to issues with keyboard function.
  • Loose Keys: 27% of mechanical defects
  • Improper Assembly: 73% of mechanical defects
Understanding these breakdowns is vital, as they highlight where maintenance or quality control should focus to reduce overall keyboard failures from a mechanical standpoint.
Electrical Connect Failures
Electrical connect failures constitute the remaining 12% of keyboard problems. These failures can be further categorized into three main types, each involving different aspects of the keyboard's electrical systems.
First, defective wires contribute to 35% of the electrical issues. This might occur due to broken or inferior-quality wires that poorly conduct electricity. Improper connections account for 13% of the issues; this could happen if wires are not correctly linked to connect with the keyboard’s circuit board.
Lastly, poorly welded wires are the largest single cause within electrical connect failures, making up 52%. This defect arises when the welding process doesn't effectively secure wires, leading to connectivity shortfalls under usage pressure.
  • Defective Wires: 35% of electrical issues
  • Improper Connections: 13% of electrical issues
  • Poorly Welded Wires: 52% of electrical issues
Devising solutions and improving production techniques in these areas can greatly reduce electrical failures.
Conditional Probability
Conditional probability plays a crucial role in determining specific likelihoods of failure origins. It helps in breaking down complex probabilities into more manageable parts. This concept allows us to compute the probability of an event based on the known outcome of another related event.
To illustrate, consider the probability that a failure is due to loose keys when it's known the problem is mechanical. Using conditional probability, the calculation is as follows: \[ P(\text{Loose Keys}) = P(\text{Mechanical Defect}) \times P(\text{Loose Keys} | \text{Mechanical Defect}) \]
Substituting the values, we get:\[ P(\text{Loose Keys}) = 0.88 \times 0.27 = 0.2376 \]
This result shows that there's a 23.76% chance a keyboard failure results from loose keys. This kind of calculation informs production and quality control decisions by identifying areas with higher risk.
Failure Analysis
Failure analysis involves systematically examining where and why failures occur, and in this case, helping determine probabilities for different types of failures. This analytic approach is essential for improving product reliability.
In the exercise, we used failure analysis by first identifying each component's failure rate, then applying probabilities to determine the likelihood of specific defect types. For instance, determining failures due to "improperly connected or poorly welded wires" required calculating individual probabilities and summing them:\[ P(\text{Improperly Connected}) = 0.12 \times 0.13 = 0.0156 \]\[ P(\text{Poorly Welded}) = 0.12 \times 0.52 = 0.0624 \]
Adding these yields a total probability of 7.8% that electrical failures are due to either improper connections or poor welding.
This analysis not only aids in pinpointing frequent issues but also helps prescribe targeted improvements, thus enhancing the durability and reliability of keyboards.

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