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If \(A, B,\) and \(C\) are mutually exclusive events with \(P(A)=0.2, P(B)=0.3,\) and \(P(C)=0.4,\) determine the following probabilities: a. \(P(A \cup B \cup C)\) b. \(P(A \cap B \cap C)\) c. \(P(A \cap B)\) d. \(P[(A \cup B) \cap C]\) e. \(P\left(A^{\prime} \cap B^{\prime} \cap C^{\prime}\right)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 0.9, b. 0, c. 0, d. 0, e. 0.1

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Definition of Mutually Exclusive Events

Mutually exclusive events are events that cannot happen at the same time. This means that for any two events, say A and B, \(P(A \cap B) = 0\), and similarly for other pairs like B and C, and A and C, as well as all three together, \(P(A \cap B \cap C) = 0\).
02

Calculate \(P(A \cup B \cup C)\)

For mutually exclusive events, the probability of their union is the sum of their individual probabilities. Hence, \(P(A \cup B \cup C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) = 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.4 = 0.9\).
03

Calculate \(P(A \cap B \cap C)\)

Since A, B, and C are mutually exclusive, they cannot all occur at the same time. Therefore, \(P(A \cap B \cap C) = 0\).
04

Calculate \(P(A \cap B)\)

As A and B are mutually exclusive, they cannot occur simultaneously. Therefore, \(P(A \cap B) = 0\).
05

Calculate \(P[(A \cup B) \cap C]\)

First find \(P(A \cup B)\) which is \(P(A) + P(B) = 0.2 + 0.3 = 0.5\) since A and B are mutually exclusive. Since \((A \cup B)\) is mutually exclusive from C, \(P[(A \cup B) \cap C] = 0\).
06

Calculate \(P(A' \cap B' \cap C')\)

\(A'\), \(B'\), and \(C'\) are complements of A, B, and C, meaning they cover all outcomes not in A, B, or C. First calculate \(P(A' \cup B' \cup C')\), which is 1 minus the union of A, B, and C. From Step 2, \(P(A \cup B \cup C) = 0.9\). Therefore, \(P(A' \cap B' \cap C') = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability of Union of Events
When dealing with mutually exclusive events, calculating the probability of their union is straightforward. You simply add up the probabilities of each individual event. This is because the events do not overlap; if one happens, the others do not. For example, if events A, B, and C are mutually exclusive with probabilities 0.2, 0.3, and 0.4 respectively, the probability that at least one of them occurs, denoted as \( P(A \cup B \cup C) \), is found by summing these probabilities:
  • \( P(A \cup B \cup C) = P(A) + P(B) + P(C) \)
  • \( = 0.2 + 0.3 + 0.4 \)
  • \( = 0.9 \)
Understanding this concept is important because it simplifies calculations in scenarios where events cannot occur together. It highlights how the presence of mutual exclusivity affects outcomes, making it easier to determine the overarching probability of occurrence in a set of events that are distinct from one another.
Complement Rule in Probability
The complement rule in probability is a powerful tool to calculate probabilities of opposite events. The complement of an event \(A\), denoted as \(A'\), includes all outcomes that are not in \(A\). The probability of \(A'\) happening is determined as follows:
  • \( P(A') = 1 - P(A) \)
In situations involving multiple events, such as \(A, B,\) and \(C\), and their complements \(A', B',\) and \(C'\), understanding their union and intersection becomes crucial. If we need to calculate \(P(A' \cap B' \cap C')\), which is the probability that none of \(A, B,\) or \(C\) occurs, we can use the complement of their union:
  • First calculate \(P(A \cup B \cup C)\), as previously found to be \(0.9\).
  • Then use the complement rule: \(P(A' \cap B' \cap C') = 1 - P(A \cup B \cup C) = 1 - 0.9 = 0.1\).
The complement rule effectively shows how missing events combine, providing simplicity in finding probabilities of not occurring certain outcomes.
Intersection of Events
Intersection of events pertains to situations where two or more events happen simultaneously. For mutually exclusive events, the intersection is quite simple: it equals zero.

To understand this, consider that for two events, such as \(A\) and \(B\), to intersect, both would need to occur at the same time. However, because mutual exclusivity means that these events cannot happen concurrently, their intersection probability is:
  • \( P(A \cap B) = 0 \)
The concept extends similarly to more than two events, such as three mutually exclusive events \(A, B,\) and \(C\), where:
  • \( P(A \cap B \cap C) = 0 \)
Further, if events are not mutually exclusive, the computation involves more complex formulas taking into consideration overlapping probabilities. Thus, recognizing when events intersect becomes crucial in probability, as it directly affects how probabilities are calculated and interpreted.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Transactions to a computer database are either new items or changes to previous items. The addition of an item can be completed in less than 100 milliseconds \(90 \%\) of the time, but only \(20 \%\) of changes to a previous item can be completed in less than this time. If \(30 \%\) of transactions are changes, what is the probability that a transaction can be completed in less than 100 milliseconds?

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