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Consider the one-sided confidence interval expressions for a mean of a normal population. (a) What value of \(z_{\alpha}\) would result in a \(90 \%\) CI? (b) What value of \(z_{\alpha}\) would result in a \(95 \%\) CI? (c) What value of \(z_{\alpha}\) would result in a \(99 \%\) CI?

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) \(z_{\alpha} = 1.28\), (b) \(z_{\alpha} = 1.645\), (c) \(z_{\alpha} = 2.33\).

Step by step solution

01

Understanding the Concept of One-Sided Confidence Interval

A one-sided confidence interval for a mean of a normal population involves a critical value, denoted as \(z_{\alpha}\), which corresponds to the desired confidence level. This value is determined from the standard normal distribution table and represents the number of standard deviations away from the mean.
02

Finding \(z_{\alpha}\) for 90% Confidence Interval

For a one-sided confidence interval, \(90\%\) of the distribution lies to one side, so \(z_{\alpha}\) corresponds to \(0.1\) on the opposite tail. From the standard normal distribution table, the value of \(z_{0.1}\) is approximately \(1.28\).
03

Finding \(z_{\alpha}\) for 95% Confidence Interval

In a similar manner, for a \(95\%\) confidence level, \(z_{\alpha}\) corresponds to a \(0.05\) on the opposite tail. From the standard normal distribution table, \(z_{0.05}\) is approximately \(1.645\).
04

Finding \(z_{\alpha}\) for 99% Confidence Interval

For a \(99\%\) confidence interval, \(z_{\alpha}\) corresponds to \(0.01\) on the opposite tail. Referring to the standard normal distribution table, \(z_{0.01}\) is approximately \(2.33\).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

One-Sided Confidence Interval
A one-sided confidence interval is different than the more common two-sided interval. It is used when someone is only interested in knowing a boundary in one direction - either above or below a certain point. If you think of a curve sitting on a number line, a one-sided confidence interval will be the section of the area under the curve from the mean in only one direction.

This type of interval assumes that the data follows a normal distribution and is useful when trying to determine if a population mean is greater or lesser than a specific value. In simple words, if you only care about limits going upwards or downwards, this is your go-to tool.

In practical applications, this type of interval is used in quality testing or setting safety limits, where a parameter should not exceed or fall below a specific value. The confidence level you choose, such as 90%, 95%, or 99%, vividly describes how sure you want to be about the interval containing the population parameter.
Standard Normal Distribution
The standard normal distribution is a foundational concept in statistics, representing a special kind of normal distribution. It is characterized by a mean of 0 and a standard deviation of 1. What makes it particularly noteworthy is its symmetric, bell-shaped curve.

This distribution is useful because any normal distribution can be transformed into a standard normal distribution through a process called standardization. This process involves subtracting the mean from the data point and then dividing by the standard deviation, rescaling the data to fit the standard normal curve.

The magic of the standard normal distribution lies in its standardized table, which allows statisticians and anyone else working with data to easily find probabilities and critical values, which are used in various calculations, like hypothesis testing and confidence intervals. These tables provide the probability that a value will fall below a specific point in a standard normal distribution.
Critical Value
The critical value is an essential component when designing confidence intervals and conducting hypothesis tests. It tells you how many standard deviations you must go from the mean along your standard normal distribution to achieve a specified confidence level.

For a given confidence level, say 95%, the critical value on a standard normal distribution is symbolized as \(z_{\alpha}\). This symbol represents the point on the distribution beyond which lies the specified portion of the area (the tail), usually designated for error probability. The higher the confidence level, the more stretched the interval becomes as it captures more area under the curve.

In our problem, specific critical values like \(z_{0.1} = 1.28\), \(z_{0.05} = 1.645\), and \(z_{0.01} = 2.33\) are derived for one-sided confidence intervals of 90%, 95%, and 99%, respectively. Each value is grabbed from standardized tables, allowing precise calculations involving normal populations. Knowing these values is instrumental in making statistically sound decisions about data and expected outcomes.

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