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Verify that the following functions are probability mass functions, and determine the requested probabilities. $$ \begin{array}{cc|c|c|c|c} x & -2 & -1 & 0 & 1 & 2 \\ \hline f(x) & 0.2 & 0.4 & 0.1 & 0.2 & 0.1 \end{array} $$ (a) \(P(X \leq 2)\) (b) \(P(X>-2)\) (c) \(P(-1 \leq X \leq 1)\) (d) \(P(X \leq-1\) or \(X=2)\)

Short Answer

Expert verified
(a) 1.0, (b) 0.8, (c) 0.7, (d) 0.7

Step by step solution

01

Verify Probability Mass Function

To ensure that the given function is a probability mass function, we need to check that the sum of all probabilities equals 1. Calculate the sum: \[0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 = 1.0\]. Since the total probability is 1, the function is a valid probability mass function.
02

Calculate \(P(X \leq 2)\)

To find \(P(X \leq 2)\), sum all probabilities for \(x = -2, -1, 0, 1, 2\): \[P(X \leq 2) = f(-2) + f(-1) + f(0) + f(1) + f(2) = 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 = 1.0\].
03

Calculate \(P(X > -2)\)

For \(P(X > -2)\), sum the probabilities where \(x = -1, 0, 1, 2\): \[P(X > -2) = f(-1) + f(0) + f(1) + f(2) = 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 = 0.8\].
04

Calculate \(P(-1 \leq X \leq 1)\)

For \(P(-1 \leq X \leq 1)\), sum the probabilities \(x = -1, 0, 1\): \[P(-1 \leq X \leq 1) = f(-1) + f(0) + f(1) = 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.7\].
05

Calculate \(P(X \leq -1 \text{ or } X = 2)\)

This is the sum of probabilities for \(x = -2, -1, 2\): \[P(X \leq -1 \text{ or } X = 2) = f(-2) + f(-1) + f(2) = 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 = 0.7\].

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Discrete Probability
Discrete probability deals with situations where outcomes are distinct and countable, making it applicable in many real-world scenarios. In our problem, the random variable \(X\) can take specific values, namely \(-2, -1, 0, 1,\) and \(2\). These are discrete values, which means each can be distinctly separated from the others.

In a discrete probability distribution, the function that assigns probabilities to each outcome is called a Probability Mass Function (PMF). The key point here is that the probabilities of all possible outcomes must sum up to 1. This reflects the certainty that one of the possible outcomes will happen.

Understanding discrete probability is crucial for solving problems where decisions, events, or measurements occur in intervals or units instead of continuously. The notion of a PMF helps demystify how probabilities distribute across these discrete outcomes, providing clarity and enabling us to make precise probability calculations.
Step-by-Step Solution
In probability problems, a step-by-step solution provides clarity on how to approach and solve a problem methodically.

Our given problem involves verifying and calculating probabilities using a probability mass function. First, we ensure the PMF is valid by checking that all probabilities sum to 1. This foundational step confirms that we’re dealing with a correct distribution.

Once verified, we calculate specific probabilities by adding relevant values from the PMF:
  • For \(P(X \leq 2)\), all probabilities are summed since \(2\) is the highest discrete value.
  • For \(P(X > -2)\), we exclude the probability at \(-2\) and sum the rest.
  • For \(P(-1 \leq X \leq 1)\), only the probabilities within this range are considered.
  • For \(P(X \leq -1 \text{ or } X = 2)\), include both events, resulting in a sum of corresponding probabilities.
By following each step diligently, one can ensure that calculations are accurate and logical, making it easier to tackle similar problems in the future.
Cumulative Probability
Cumulative probability refers to the probability that a random variable is less than or equal to a particular value. In other terms, it's the sum of probabilities for all outcomes up to and including that value.

For example, when computing \(P(X \leq 2)\), as seen in our exercise, we look at all values \(-2, -1, 0, 1,\) and \(2\). We add their respective probabilities together. Cumulative probability is especially useful when you need to know the probability of a value being within a range or up to a point rather than at a specific spot.

Learning to calculate cumulative probabilities helps in understanding the distribution of data. It is a fundamental concept for various applications such as determining the likelihood of a process exceeding certain thresholds or assessing risk over time.
Probability Verification
Verifying a probability mass function is a crucial step in any probability problem. This verification ensures that the sum of all probabilities equals 1, guaranteeing that we're working with a realistic model.

In our problem, this step involved adding up all the given probabilities: \(0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.2 + 0.1 = 1.0\). This confirms that the distribution adheres to the principles of a PMF.

Probability verification helps prevent errors in interpretation and analysis. It confirms that any subsequent calculations based on this data, such as finding cumulative probabilities or specific ranges, are done within a valid framework.
  • Start any probability analysis by verifying your PMF.
  • This practice instills trust in the data and confidence in the results.
  • Ensures all probabilities are accounted for correctly.
Implementing verification as a primary step in probability challenges allows for accurate results and builds a solid foundation for further analysis.

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