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One of the authors travels regularly to Seattle, Washington. He uses either Delta or Alaska airline. Flight delays are sometimes unavoidable, but he would be willing to give most of his business to the airline with the best on-time arrival record. The number of minutes that his flight arrived late for the last six trips on each airline follows. Is there evidence that either airline has superior on-time arrival performance? Use \(\alpha=0.01\) and the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. $$\begin{array}{l|l}\text { Delta: } & 13,10,1,-4,0,9 \text { (minutes late) } \\\\\hline \text { Alaska: } & 15,8,3,-1,-2,4 \text { (minutes late) }\end{array}$$

Short Answer

Expert verified
There is no significant evidence to suggest a difference in on-time performance between the airlines at \( \alpha = 0.01 \).

Step by step solution

01

Arrange the Data

First, arrange all the delay times from both Delta and Alaska in ascending order. These times are: -4, -2, -1, 0, 1, 3, 4, 8, 9, 10, 13, 15.
02

Assign Ranks

Assign ranks to each of the sorted delay times. Remember, if there are ties, assign the average rank. For example, -4 gets rank 1, -2 gets rank 2, and so on, up to 15 which gets rank 12.
03

Calculate Rank Sums

Calculate the sum of ranks for each airline. Delta's times are 13, 10, 1, -4, 0, 9, corresponding to ranks 11, 10, 5, 1, 4, and 9, respectively. Alaska's times are 15, 8, 3, -1, -2, 4, corresponding to ranks 12, 8, 6, 3, 2, and 7. Add these ranks to find the total rank sum for each airline.
04

Use Wilcoxon Rank-Sum Test Formula

Use the Wilcoxon rank-sum test statistic formula: \[ W = n_1 n_2 + \frac{n_1(n_1 + 1)}{2} - R_1 \] where \( n_1 \) and \( n_2 \) are the sample sizes (both 6), and \( R_1 \) is the rank sum for Delta. Calculate the test statistic value.
05

Find Critical Value

With \( \alpha = 0.01 \), look up the critical value for the Wilcoxon rank-sum test in the statistical tables for samples \( n_1 = n_2 = 6 \).
06

Compare Test Statistic with Critical Value

Compare the calculated test statistic with the critical value. If the test statistic is less than or equal to the critical value, there is evidence to suggest a significant difference between the airlines.
07

Interpret the Result

Based on the comparison, interpret whether or not there is sufficient evidence at \( \alpha = 0.01 \) to claim one airline has a better on-time arrival performance.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Non-Parametric Test
A non-parametric test is a type of statistic used when the data doesn't fit well into the normal distribution assumption. These tests are useful when data ranks are being compared rather than actual values. Unlike parametric tests which require interval or ratio scale data that follow a normal distribution, non-parametric tests make fewer assumptions about the data and can handle ordinal data or non-normal interval data effectively.
In the context of this exercise, we are using the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, a common non-parametric test that does not assume normal distribution of the data. This test is used to determine if there are differences in the ranks of two independent groups, in this case, the flight delay times from Delta and Alaska airlines. Hence, it is perfectly suited for rank-based comparisons and situations where sample sizes are small or the data contains outliers.
  • No assumptions about data distribution
  • Useful for ordinal or skewed data
  • Compares median values across groups
  • Appropriate for small sample sizes
On-Time Performance
On-time performance in aviation involves evaluating how efficiently an airline manages to adhere to its schedule, particularly its arrival and departure times. Travelers prefer on-time flights as it minimizes waiting time and delays, ensuring smoother travel experiences.
In this exercise, on-time performance is being assessed by looking at the delay times for each flight on Delta and Alaska airlines. Shorter delays suggest better on-time performance. By comparing the delay times of these airlines, the traveler aims to switch to the airline that consistently arrives on time or with the least amount of delay.
This assessment is essential for decision-making, especially for frequent travelers like in the given scenario, who may opt for the airline with the superior on-time performance.
  • Evaluates punctuality of flight schedules
  • Critical for customer satisfaction
  • Aids decision-making for frequent travelers
Statistical Significance
Statistical significance is used to determine if the observed effect or outcome seen in the data is likely due to something other than random chance. It helps confirm whether the findings from an experiment or study are reliable and not just happenstance.
In the Wilcoxon rank-sum test, statistical significance is evaluated by comparing the calculated test statistic to a critical value from statistical tables, which corresponds to the chosen significance level (alpha, \( \alpha \)). In this exercise, a significance level of \( \alpha = 0.01 \) indicates a 1% risk of concluding that there is a difference in on-time performance between the airlines when there is actually none.
If the test statistic is less than or equal to the critical value, the result is deemed statistically significant, suggesting a genuine difference in performance between Delta and Alaska, beyond random variation.
  • Determines reliability of study findings
  • Uses a significance level (alpha) to assess risk
  • 0.01 significance level in this context implies strong evidence needed to conclude a difference
Rank Assignment
Rank assignment is a key step in non-parametric testing where each observation in the combined dataset is given a rank based on its value, usually from smallest to largest. In the presence of ties, average ranks are assigned to each tied value.
In this exercise, the process involves ranking the combined flight delay times for Delta and Alaska airlines. Assigning ranks helps transform the data into an ordinal scale, which is suitable for non-parametric analysis. This method allows the reduction of the impact of outliers and focuses more on median values.
The ranks are then used to compute the rank sums for each group (Delta and Alaska), which are pivotal for conducting the Wilcoxon rank-sum test. These ranks determine the test statistic which is compared against critical values for assessing statistical significance.
  • Converts measurements to ordinal data
  • Focuses on data ranks rather than exact values
  • Handles ties by assigning average ranks
  • Enables calculation of rank sums for non-parametric testing

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Most popular questions from this chapter

A study was performed to determine whether men and women differ in repeatability in assembling components on printed circuit boards. Random samples of 25 men and 21 women were selected, and each subject assembled the units. The two sample standard deviations of assembly time were \(s_{\text {men }}=0.98\) minutes and \(s_{\text {wamen }}=1.02\) minutes. (a) Is there evidence to support the claim that men and women differ in repeatability for this assembly task? Use \(\alpha=0.02\) and state any necessary assumptions about the underlying distribution of the data. (b) Find a \(98 \%\) confidence interval on the ratio of the two variances. Provide an interpretation of the interval.

Consider the hypothesis test \(H_{0}: \mu_{1}=\mu_{2}\) against \(H_{1}: \mu_{1}>\mu_{2}\) with known variances \(\sigma_{1}=10\) and \(\sigma_{2}=5 .\) Suppose that sample sizes \(n_{1}=10\) and \(n_{2}=15\) and that \(\bar{x}_{1}=24.5\) and \(\bar{x}_{2}=21.3 .\) Use \(\alpha=0.01\) (a) Test the hypothesis and find the \(P\) -value. (b) Explain how the test could be conducted with a confidence interval. (c) What is the power of the test in part (a) if \(\mu_{1}\) is 2 units greater than \(\mu_{2} ?\) (d) Assume that sample sizes are equal. What sample size should be used to obtain \(\beta=0.05\) if \(\mu_{1}\) is 2 units greater than \(\mu_{2}\) ? Assume that \(\alpha=0.05\)

A polymer is manufactured in a batch chemical process. Viscosity measurements are normally made on each batch, and long experience with the process has indicated that the variability in the process is fairly stable with \(\sigma=20 .\) Fifteen batch viscosity measurements are given as follows: $$\begin{array}{l}724,718,776,760,745,759,795,756,742,740,761, \\\749,739,747,742\end{array}$$ A process change that involves switching the type of catalyst used in the process is made. Following the process change, eight batch viscosity measurements are taken: $$735,775,729,755,783,760,738,780$$ Assume that process variability is unaffected by the catalyst change. If the difference in mean batch viscosity is 10 or less, the manufacturer would like to detect it with a high probability. (a) Formulate and test an appropriate hypothesis using \(\alpha=0.10 .\) What are your conclusions? Find the \(P\) -value. (b) Find a \(90 \%\) confidence interval on the difference in mean batch viscosity resulting from the process change. (c) Compare the results of parts (a) and (b) and discuss your findings.

A photoconductor film is manufactured at a nominal thickness of 25 mils. The product engineer wishes to increase the mean speed of the film and believes that this can be achieved by reducing the thickness of the film to 20 mils. Eight samples of each film thickness are manufactured in a pilot production process, and the film speed (in microjoules per square inch) is measured. For the 25 -mil film, the sample data result is \(\bar{x}_{1}=1.15\) and \(s_{1}=0.11,\) and for the 20 -mil film the data yield \(\bar{x}_{2}=1.06\) and \(s_{2}=0.09 .\) Note that an increase in film speed would lower the value of the observation in microjoules per square inch. (a) Do the data support the claim that reducing the film thickness increases the mean speed of the film? Use \(\sigma=0.10\), and assume that the two population variances are equal and the underlying population of film speed is normally distributed. What is the \(P\) -value for this test? (b) Find a \(95 \%\) confidence interval on the difference in the two means that can be used to test the claim in part (a).

Air pollution has been linked to lower birthweight in babies. In a study reported in the Journal of the American Medical Association, researchers examined the proportion of low-weight babies born to mothers exposed to heavy doses of soot and ash during the World Trade Center attack of September \(11,2001 .\) Of the 182 babies born to these mothers, 15 were classified as having low weight. Of 2300 babies born in the same time period in New York in another hospital, 92 were classified as having low weight. Is there evidence to suggest that the exposed mothers had a higher incidence of low-weight babies?

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