Chapter 8: Problem 36
A particular brand of diet margarine was analyzed to determine the level of polyunsaturated fatty acid (in percentages). A sample of six packages resulted in the following data: 16.8,17.2,17.4,16.9,16.5,17.1 (a) Check the assumption that the level of polyunsaturated fatty acid is normally distributed. (b) Calculate a \(99 \%\) confidence interval on the mean \(\mu\). Provide a practical interpretation of this interval. (c) Calculate a \(99 \%\) lower confidence bound on the mean. Compare this bound with the lower bound of the two-sided confidence interval and discuss why they are different.
Short Answer
Step by step solution
Check Normality Assumption
Calculate Sample Mean and Standard Deviation
Calculate 99% Confidence Interval for Mean
Interpretation of Confidence Interval
Calculate 99% Lower Confidence Bound
Compare Bounds and Discuss Differences
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Key Concepts
These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.
Normality Test
Alongside statistical tests, a Q-Q plot is another graphical tool that can help visualize if data is normally distributed. If the data points align closely with the line on a Q-Q plot, it indicates normal distribution.
- A Q-Q plot visually compares the order statistics of the sample against the order statistics of a normal distribution.
- A Shapiro-Wilk test gives a p-value; if the p-value is high, we can’t reject normality.
Sample Mean
For the dataset provided (16.8, 17.2, 17.4, 16.9, 16.5, and 17.1), the sample mean is calculated as follows:
\[ \bar{x} = \frac{16.8 + 17.2 + 17.4 + 16.9 + 16.5 + 17.1}{6} = 17.0 \]
- The sample mean is a measure of the center of the data.
- It provides a quick glimpse into the dataset but does not inform about the spread.
T-Distribution
In this exercise, the t-distribution is used to compute a 99% confidence interval due to the small sample size (n=6).
A critical t-value is derived based on the degrees of freedom, which in this case is \(n-1 = 5\).
- The t-value acts as a multiplier to standard error to construct confidence intervals.
- Heavier tails of the t-distribution provide wider intervals reflecting higher uncertainty from small samples.
Lower Confidence Bound
It provides a one-sided interval, focusing all of the confidence towards ensuring the parameter is above this bound.
The calculation relies on the same principles as a two-sided confidence interval but only looks at one side.
The formula for the lower bound is:
\[ \bar{x} - t_{\alpha, n-1} \frac{s}{\sqrt{n}} \]
There's no addition component to include the upper side, which makes it a more strict and narrower bound on the lower side.
By focusing on just the lower bound, decision-makers can feel confident that the true parameter value won’t fall below the calculated boundary. Comparatively, the lower confidence bound matches the lower limit of a two-sided interval but shifts all the assurance to preventing values below this threshold.
- Useful when only concerned with minimum standard or limit.
- Balances benefits of confidence on the downside, sacrificing upper bound concerns.