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Suppose that the population of a species of fish is controlled by the logistic equation $$ \frac{d P}{d t}=0.1 P(10-P) $$ where \(P\) is measured in thousands of fish and \(t\) is measured in years. a. What is the carrying capacity of this population? b. Suppose that a long time has passed and that the fish population is stable at the carrying capacity. At this time, humans begin harvesting \(20 \%\) of the fish every year. Modify the differential equation by adding a term to incorporate the harvesting of fish. c. What is the new carrying capacity? d. What will the fish population be one year after the harvesting begins? e. How long will it take for the population to be within \(10 \%\) of the carrying capacity?

Short Answer

Expert verified
a. 10 thousand fish. b. Modify to: \( \frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(8 - P) \). c. 8 thousand fish. d. \( P(1) \) approximates 8 thousand fish. e. Solve \( P(t) \approx 0.9 \times 8 \) or \( P(t) \approx 1.1 \times 8 \).

Step by step solution

01

Determining the Carrying Capacity

To find the carrying capacity, set the differential equation \([ \frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(10 - P) ] \) equal to zero and solve for \( P \). Therefore, the equilibrium points are found by solving \([ 0.1P(10 - P) = 0 ] \). The solutions are \( P = 0 \) and \( P = 10 \). Therefore, the carrying capacity is 10 thousand fish.
02

Modifying the Differential Equation for Harvesting

If 20% of the fish are harvested every year, an additional term accounting for this removal must be added. The harvesting term is \( -0.2P \). Therefore, the modified differential equation is: \([ \frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(10 - P) - 0.2P ] \). Simplify the equation: \([ \frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(10 - P) - 0.2P = 0.1P(10 - P - 2) = 0.1P(8 - P) ] \).
03

Determining the New Carrying Capacity

To find the new carrying capacity, set the modified differential equation \([ \frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(8 - P) ] \) equal to zero and solve for \( P \). Therefore, equilibrium points are found by solving \([ 0.1P(8 - P) = 0 ] \). The solutions are \( P = 0 \) and \( P = 8 \). Therefore, the new carrying capacity is 8 thousand fish.
04

Finding the Fish Population One Year After Harvesting

To find \( P(1) \), use the fact that the fish population initially stabilizes at the original carrying capacity \( P_0 = 10 \). After one year, the model can be approximated using the modified differential equation. Integration or another numerical method might be required to find the exact number. For simplicity and given the rate of removal, the fish population one year later can be approximated as \( P(1) \), considering one year is a small time increment. Therefore, analyze \( P(1) \approx 8 \) thousand fish as the population approaches the new carrying capacity.
05

Estimating Time to Be Within 10% of Carrying Capacity

The goal is to determine the time \( t \) when the population \( P(t) \) reaches 90% or 110% of the new carrying capacity \(8\). Therefore, solve for the time to reach \(P(t) = 0.9 \times 8 \) thousand fish or \(P(t) = 1.1 \times 8 \) thousand fish using the modified differential equation. This generally requires solving the logistic differential equation.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Carrying Capacity
In the context of ecology, the term 'carrying capacity' refers to the maximum population size of a species that an environment can sustain indefinitely. For our fish population, the carrying capacity is determined by analyzing the logistic differential equation given in the exercise. By setting the growth rate \(\frac{dP}{dt}\) to zero and solving for \(P\), we find the equilibrium points. In this case, \(0.1P(10 - P) = 0\) yields \(P = 0\) and \(P = 10\), suggesting that the environment can support up to 10 thousand fish without external interventions. Carrying capacity is crucial because it helps us understand the limitations of the environment in supporting the population long-term.

It incorporates various factors like food supply, habitat space, and climatic conditions. In nature, populations often fluctuate around this capacity due to factors such as seasonal changes and predation.
Population Dynamics
Population dynamics is the study of how populations change over time. It involves understanding the rates of birth, death, immigration, and emigration. In our exercise, the logistic differential equation \(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(10 - P)\) models the growth of the fish population.

This equation encapsulates essential aspects of population growth:
  • The term \(0.1P \) represents the growth rate proportional to the current population size \(P\).
  • The factor \((10 - P ) \) limits the population growth as it approaches the carrying capacity of 10 thousand fish.

The logistic model is crucial when considering real-world population growth, as it accounts for resource limitations and other environmental constraints. It gives us a more realistic picture compared to the exponential growth model, as it considers the deceleration of population growth as the population size increases.
To sum up, understanding population dynamics through such equations helps in making informed decisions for conservation and management efforts.
Harvesting Model
Harvesting models are important in managing natural resources and ensuring sustainability. In our problem, human intervention in the form of harvesting 20% of the fish annually necessitates modifying the original logistic equation.

By adding the harvesting term \(-0.2P\), we get a modified equation: \(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(10 - P) - 0.2P = 0.1P(8 - P)\). This modification changes the growth dynamics by reducing the effective carrying capacity.

Harvesting can be beneficial if managed well, as it prevents overpopulation and ensures resource availability. However, overexerting this method could lead to population decline or extinction. Therefore, it's crucial to strike a balance.
Effective harvesting models help us predict the population changes with interventions, aiding in sustainable management. By understanding these dynamics, policies can be designed to maintain the population at optimal levels, considering both ecological balance and human needs.
Equilibrium Points
Equilibrium points in differential equations signify where the population remains constant over time—they are crucial in understanding long-term population stability. For the unharvested fish population, the equilibrium points from \(0.1P(10 - P) = 0\) are at \(P = 0\) (extinction) and \(P = 10\) (carrying capacity).

After introducing harvesting, their modified equation \(\frac{dP}{dt} = 0.1P(8 - P)\) gives new equilibrium points at \(P = 0\) and \(P = 8\).

Equilibrium points help in predicting whether a population will approach a steady-state or fluctuate over time. These points mean that if a population starts at these values, it will remain there in the absence of other disturbances.
However, if the population starts away from these points, it will tend towards them over time, considering this logistic growth model.
Understanding equilibrium points helps in assessing the impact of various factors, including natural limits and human activities, on population sustainability.

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