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Balls are randomly withdrawn, one at a time without replacement, from an urn that initially has N white and M black balls. Find the probability that n white balls are drawn before m black balls,n≤N,m≤M

Short Answer

Expert verified

In the given information the required probability isP(X≥n)=∑k=nn+m-1NkMn+m-1-kN+Mn+m-1

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Consider this idea. There will be drawn nwhite balls before mblack balls if and only if there are at least nwhite balls within n+m-1drawn balls. This is because the fact that in that case, there is mor less black balls within n+m-1drawn balls, so we have satisfied our condition. If we mark with X the number of white balls drawn withinn+m-1drawn balls, we have that X has Hypergeometric distribution.

02

Step 2:Calculation

P(X≥n)=∑k=nn+m-1P(X=n)

= ∑k=nn+m-1NkMn+m-1-kN+Mn+m-1

03

Final answer

The required probability isPX≥n=∑k=nn+m-1NkMn+m-1-kN+Mn+m-1

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