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A newsboy purchases papers at 10 cents and sells them at 15 cents. However, he is not allowed to return unsold papers. If his daily demand is a binomial random variable with n=10,p=13, approximately how many papers should he purchase so as to maximize his expected profit?

Short Answer

Expert verified

The newspaper boy should need3 more to maximize the profit.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

A newsboy purchases papers at 10 cents and sells them at 15 cents. However, he is not allowed to return unsold papers.

02

Solution

Let,

m=Paper purchased by newsboy

n=10

m10

p=profit

D=demand of the day

So,

E(P)=k=01015Min{k,m}P(D=k)10m

=15k=0m1kP(D=k)+15mk=m10P(D=k)10m

Let f(m)be right hand side of above equation.

Therefore,

f(m+1)f(m)=15k=0mkP(D=k)15k=0m1kP(D=k)+15(m+1)k=m+110P(D=k)15mk=m10P(D=k)10

=15k=m+110P(D=k)10

=151k=0mP(D=k)10

=515k=0mP(D=k)

03

Final solution

Now we need to find the maximum value m

FD(m)=k=0mP(D=k)

=k=0m10k13k2310k13

If m=2

FD(2)=k=0210k13k2310k

=10013023100+10113123101+10213223102

=0.01735+0.08674+0.19513

=0.2992<13

If m=3

FD(3)=k=0310k13k2310k

=10013023100+10113123101+10213223102+10313323103

=0.01735+0.08674+0.19513+0.26014

=0.5594>13

Since FDis an increasing function we concluded that FD(m)<13for all m2and FD(m)>13for all m3.

If, f(m+1)-f(m)>0for all m=0,1,2and f(m+1)-f(m)<0for all m=3,.,9

This means fgets its maximum when m=3

So, the newspaper boy should need3more to maximize the profit.

04

Final answer

The newspaper boy should need 3more to maximize the profit.

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