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LetX be a binomial random variable with parameters n and p. Show thatE1X+1=1-(1-p)n+1(n+1)p

Short Answer

Expert verified

Assume the Binomial with parameters n+1 and p.

Step by step solution

01

Given information

Let Xbe a binomial random variable with parameters n and p.

02

Computation

Using the theorem regarding the expectation of the function of the random variable, we have that

E11+X

=k=0n11+knkpk(1-p)n-k

=k=0n11+kn!k!(n-k)!pk(1-p)n-k

k=0nn!(k+1)!(n-k)!pk(1-p)n-k

03

Calculation

Multiply these terms in the sum with (n+1)and pand get that the expression from the above is equal to

1(n+1)pk=0n(n+1)!(k+1)!(n-k)!pk+1(1-p)n-k

Note this expression a bit more different to get

1(n+1)pk=0n(n+1)!(k+1)!((n+1)-(k+1))!pk+1(1-p)(n+1)-(k+1)

Change index in the summary that it can go from 1to n+1and we have that

1(n+1)pk=1n+1(n+1)!k!((n+1)-k)!pk(1-p)(n+1)-k

Now, evaluate the sum. It is exactly the probability that a Binomial with parameters pand n+1considers every other value instead of zero. So, that probability is 1-(1-p)n+1. Finally, we get that

E11+X=1(n+1)p1-(1-p)n+1

04

Final answer

Assume the Binomial with parameters n+1and p.

E11+X=1(n+1)p1-(1-p)n+1

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