Chapter 4: Q. 4.3 (page 173)
A coin that when flipped comes up heads with probability is flipped until either heads or tails has occurred twice. Find the expected number of flips
Short Answer
The expected number of flipsis
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Chapter 4: Q. 4.3 (page 173)
A coin that when flipped comes up heads with probability is flipped until either heads or tails has occurred twice. Find the expected number of flips
The expected number of flipsis
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In some military courts, judges are appointed. However, both the prosecution and the defense attorneys are entitled to a peremptory challenge of any judge, in which case that judge is removed from the case and is not replaced. A defendant is declared guilty if the majority of judges cast votes of guilty, and he or she is declared innocent otherwise. Suppose that when the defendant is, in fact, guilty, each judge will (independently) vote guilty with probability .whereas when the defendant is, in fact, innocent, this probability drops to .
(a) What is the probability that a guilty defendant is declared guilty when there are (i) , (ii) , and (iii) judges?
(b) Repeat part (a) for an innocent defendant.
(c) If the prosecuting attorney does not exercise the right to a peremptory challenge of a judge, and if the defense is limited to at most two such challenges, how many challenges should the defense attorney make if he or she is percent certain that the client is guilty?
Suppose that balls are put into boxes, with each ball independently being put in box with probability
(a) Find the expected number of boxes that do not have any balls.
(b) Find the expected number of boxes that have exactly ball.
Compare the Poisson approximation with the correct binomial probability for the following cases:
when
when
when
when
Consider a random collection of individuals. In approximating the probability that no of these individuals share the same birthday, a better Poisson approximation than that obtained in the text (at least for values of between and ) is obtained by letting be the event that there are at least 3 birthdays on day
(a) Find .
(b) Give an approximation for the probability that noindividuals share the same birthday.
(c) Evaluate the preceding when (which can be shown to be the smallest value offor which the probability exceeds.).
A student is getting ready to take an important oral examination and is concerned about the possibility of having an 鈥渙n鈥 day or an 鈥渙ff鈥 day. He figures that if he has an on the day, then each of his examiners will pass him, independently of one another, with probability, whereas if he has an off day, this probability will be reduced to. Suppose that the student will pass the examination if a majority of the examiners pass him. If the student believes that he is twice as likely to have an off day as he is to have an on the day, should he request an examination withexaminers or withexaminers?
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