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An insurance company has 10,000automobile policyholders. The expected yearly claim per policyholder is240a standard deviation of800. Approximate the probability that the total yearly claim exceeds 2.7a million.

Short Answer

Expert verified

Approximate the probability that the total yearly claim exceeds 2.7a million0.00008840.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information.

An insurance company has 10,000automobile policyholders. The expected yearly claim per policyholder is240, with a standard deviation of800.

02

Explanation.

Let Xirepresents the yearly claim perish policyholder,i=1,2,\dots,10,000It is given that and2=VarXi=8002=640,000.

Let's denote the total yearly claimX=110,000Xi.

Because of the independence of random variablesX-, using the corresponding properties of expectation and variance we getE[X]=(10,000)=2,400,000, Var(X)=(10,000)2=6,400,000,000

The probability that the total yearly claim exceeds 2.7million dollars is

P{X>2,700,000}.To approximate this probability we use the central limit theorem and in that case, we get:P{X>2,700,000}==1-P{X2,700,000}=1-PX-E[X]Var(X)2,700,000-E[X]Var(X)=1-PX-2,400,0006,400,000,0002,700,000-2,400,0006,400,000,0001-(3.75)software package1-.9999116=0.00008840

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