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If 65percent of the population of a large community is in favor of a proposed rise in school taxes, approximate the probability that a random sample of 100people will contain

(a) at least 50who are in favor of the proposition;

(b) between 60and 70inclusive who are in favor;

(c) fewer than 75in favor.

Short Answer

Expert verified

(a) The probability that at least 50are in favor is 0.9994.

(b) The probability that between 60and 70inclusive are in favor is 0.7499.

(c) The probability that fewer than 75are in favor is 0.9767

Step by step solution

01

Part (a) Step 1. Given Information.

Here, it is given that 65%of population is in favor of proposed hike in school taxes.

02

Part (a) Step 2. Find μ and σ.

Let the sample size be n=100people.

Let the proportion of people in the favor of the proposed hike in the school taxes be p=0.65.

Requirements for the normal approximation to the binomial distribution.

localid="1646656701080" np=100×0.65=65>10Andn1-p=1001-0.65=0.35>10

Hence, both requirements are satisfied because npand np1-pare greater than 10.

The mean and standard deviation of the binomial distribution is,

μ=np=100×0.65=65And,σ=np1-p=100×0.65×1-0.65=4.769696

03

Part (a) Step 3. Find that at least 50 are in favor of the proposition.

Let Xbe the no of people who favor proposed rise in school taxes.

Using continuity correction, the required probability is,

localid="1646738909309" pX≥50=pX-0.5-npnp1-p≥50-0.5-654.769696=pZ≥50-0.5-654.769696=pZ≥-3.25=1-pZ≥-3.25=1-0.0006=0.9994

Therefore, the probability that at least 50are in favor of proposition is 0.9994.

04

Part (b) Step 1. Compute probability that X is between 60 and 70 inclusive who are in favor.

Using continuity correction, the required probability is,

p60≤X≤70=p60-0.5-654.77≤X-npnp1-p≤70+0.5-654.77=p-1.15<Z<-1.15=pZ≤1.15-pZ≤-1.15=0.8749-0.1251=0.7499

Therefore, the probability that Xis between 60and70inclusive who are in favor is 0.7499.

05

Step 5. Compute probability that X is fewer than 75 in favor

Using continuity correction the required probability is,

pX≤75=pX-npnp1-p<75-0.5-654.77=pZ≤1.99=0.9767

Therefore, the probability that Xis fewer than 75in favor is0.9767

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