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Let A and B be events having positive probability. State whether each of the following statements is (I) necessarily true, (ii) necessarily false, or (iii) possibly true.

(a) If A and B are mutually exclusive, then they are independent.

(b) If A and B are independent, then they are mutually exclusive.

(c)P(A)=P(B)=.6, and A and B are mutually exclusive.

(d) P(A)=P(B)=.6,and A and B are independent.

Short Answer

Expert verified

a)A and B are mutually exclusive, then they are independent is Necessarily false

b) Necessarily false - use the characterization of independence with probability of intersection

c) calculateP(A∪B)Necessarily false

d) P(A)=P(B)=.6A and B are independent is Possible

Step by step solution

01

A and B are mutually exclusive, then they are independent (part a)

P(A)>0,P(B)>0

a)AB=∅⇒Aand B are independent

Necessarily false

Because

A and B are independent ⇔P(AB)=P(A)P(B)

In this case

AB=∅⇒P(AB)=0≠P(A)P(B)Áåž>0

As a result, A and B are not necessarily independent.

02

A and B are independent, then they are mutually exclusive (part b)

b) If A and B are independent ⇒AB=∅

Necessarily false

Because

A and B are independent ⇔P(AB)=P(A)P(B)

In this case

A and B are independent ⇒P(AB)=P(A)P(B)>0⇒AB≠∅

As a result, A and B have a non-empty intersection.

03

Step3: AB=∅ and P(A)=P(B)=0.6 (part c)

c)AB=∅andP(A)=P(B)=0.6

Necessarily false

If A∩B=∅then:

P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)

This fact is stated in the third probability axiom.

Incorporating the second assumption would imply:

P(A∪B)=0.6+0.6=1.2

And it is well knownlocalid="1649651381942" A∪Bthat is an event, and the probability of any event should be consideredlocalid="1649651386336" <1

That's why there's a contradiction here.

d) A and B independent and localid="1649651391474" P(A)=P(B)=0.6

04

Find A and B independent  (part d)

Possible - this is demonstrated by an example in which the statement is true.

Choose two numbers at random in{1,2,3,4,5}, independently.

A - the first number is 1,2or3.

B - the second number is1,2or3.

Then

P(A)=P(B)=0.6

and

A and B are separate entities.

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