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If A flips n+1 and B flips n fair coins, show that the probability that A gets more heads than B is 12 . Hint: Condition on which player has more heads after each has flipped n coins. (There are three possibilities.)

Short Answer

Expert verified

The probability that Ahas more heads is equal to the probability that Bhas more tails up to n-th flip.

Step by step solution

01

Given Information

HA - the number of heads by A

HA' - the number of heads by A in the first n flips

HB- the number of heads by B(in nflips)

H- event that Aflips head in the . flip

02

Explanation

Event HA'>HBis that after nflips, Ahas more heads.

Regarding the result after nflips there are three mutually exclusive events: HA'>HB,HA'=HBand HA'<HBand those events make up the whole outcome space (0).

The formula of total probability,

PHA>HB=PHA>HBHA'>HBPHA'>HB

+PHA>HBHA'<HBPHA'<HB

+PHA>HBHA'=HBPHA'=HB

03

Explanation

After both flipped n times, the situation is symmetrical, the probability that A has more heads is equal to the probability that B has more heads, that is:

PHA'>HB=PHA'<HB

PHA>HBHA'>HB=1

PHA>HBHA'=HB=P(H)=12

PHA>HBHA'<HB=0

04

Explanation

Equation becomes:

PHA>HB=1PHA'>HB+0PHA'<HB+12PHA'=HB

=122PHA'>HB+PHA'=HB

=(1)12PHA'>HB+PHA'<HB+PHA'=HB

=(0)12

The equality is proven,

05

Final Answer

The probability that A has more heads is equal to the probability that B has more tails up to n-th flip.

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