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Let \(S=\\{1,2, \ldots, n\\}\) and suppose that \(A\) and \(B\) are, independently, equally likely to be any of the \(2^{n}\) subsets (including the null set and \(S\) itself) of \(S\). (a) Show that $$ P\\{A \subset B\\}=\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{n} $$ HINT: Let \(N(B)\) denote the number of elements in \(B\). Use $$ P\\{A \subset B\\}=\sum_{t=0}^{n} P\\{A \subset B \mid N(B)=i\\} P\\{N(B)=i\\} $$ (b) Show that \(P\\{A B=\varnothing\\}=\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{n}\).

Short Answer

Expert verified
To show that \(P\{A \subset B\}=\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{n}\), we can use the conditional probability formula and calculate the sum of probabilities for each possible number of elements in \(B\) from \(0\) to \(n\). By calculating the binomial expansion, we get \(\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^n\). Similarly, to show that \(P\{A B=\varnothing\}=\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{n}\), we use the relation \(P\{A B=\varnothing\} = P\{A \subset \overline{B}\}\) and follow the same approach as in the first part. Calculating the sum of probabilities, we again get \(\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^n\).

Step by step solution

01

Part (a): Show that \(P\{A \subset B\}=\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{n}\)

In order to calculate the probability that \(A\) is a subset of \(B\), we can use the conditional probability given in the hint. We have: $$ P\{A \subset B\}=\sum_{i=0}^{n} P\{A \subset B \mid N(B)=i\} P\{N(B)=i\} $$ First, let's calculate \(P\{N(B)=i\}\). For any \(i\), there are \(\binom{n}{i}\) ways to form a subset with \(i\) elements. Since the total number of subsets is \(2^n\), the probability of picking a subset with \(i\) elements is: $$ P\{N(B)=i\} = \frac{\binom{n}{i}}{2^n} $$ Next, let's calculate \(P\{A \subset B \mid N(B)=i\}\). Given \(B\) has \(i\) elements, there are \(2^i\) possible subsets of \(B\). Moreover, in this case, \(A\) can be any of these \(2^i\) subsets since \(B\) already has \(i\) elements. Therefore, the probability that \(A\) is a subset of \(B\) given \(N(B)=i\) is: $$ P\{A \subset B \mid N(B)=i\} = \frac{2^i}{2^n} $$ Now we can use these probabilities to calculate the overall probability of \(A\) being a subset of \(B\): $$ P\{A \subset B\} = \sum_{i=0}^{n} P\{A \subset B \mid N(B)=i\} P\{N(B)=i\} = \sum_{i=0}^{n} \frac{2^i}{2^n} \cdot\frac{\binom{n}{i}}{2^n} $$ Notice that this sum looks like a binomial expansion with the base \(\frac{1}{2}\) and \(\frac{2}{2}\). Therefore, we can rewrite it as: $$ P\{A \subset B\} = \sum_{i=0}^{n} \binom{n}{i} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^i \left(\frac{2}{2}\right)^{n-i} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^n $$ which proves part (a).
02

Part (b): Show that \(P\{A B=\varnothing\}=\left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^{n}\)

To calculate the probability of \(A\) and \(B\) having an empty intersection, we can use the following relation: $$ P\{A B=\varnothing\} = P\{A \subset \overline{B}\} $$ In this case, we want to find the probability that \(A\) is a subset of the complement of \(B\). So, we can follow the same steps as in part (a), but with \(\overline{B}\) instead of \(B\). Let's first calculate \(P\{N(\overline{B})=i\}\). Since \(\overline{B}\) has \(n-i\) elements, \(P\{N(\overline{B})=i\}\) is the same as \(P\{N(B)=n-i\}\): $$ P\{N(\overline{B})=i\} = \frac{\binom{n}{n-i}}{2^n} $$ Now let's calculate the probability \(P\{A \subset \overline{B} \mid N(\overline{B})=i\}\). Given that \(\overline{B}\) has \(i\) elements, \(A\) can be any of the \(2^i\) subsets of \(\overline{B}\), and the probability is: $$ P\{A \subset \overline{B} \mid N(\overline{B})=i\} = \frac{2^{i}}{2^n} $$ Now, we can use the conditional probability formula and calculate the overall probability: $$ P\{A B=\varnothing\} = \sum_{i=0}^{n} P\{A \subset \overline{B} \mid N(\overline{B})=i\} P\{N(\overline{B})=i\} = \sum_{i=0}^{n} \frac{2^i}{2^n} \cdot \frac{\binom{n}{n-i}}{2^n} $$ By substituting \(j=n-i\) and noticing that this sum also looks like a binomial expansion with the base \(\frac{1}{2}\) and \(\frac{2}{2}\), we can rewrite it as: $$ P\{A B=\varnothing\} = \sum_{j=0}^{n} \binom{n}{j} \left(\frac{1}{2}\right)^j \left(\frac{2}{2}\right)^{n-j} = \left(\frac{3}{4}\right)^n $$ which proves part (b).

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Probability Theory
Probability theory is a branch of mathematics that deals with the analysis of random events. It provides a mathematical framework for quantifying uncertainty and predicting the likelihood of various outcomes. In probability theory, we often work with a 'probability space' that includes a sample space of all possible outcomes, events which are subsets of the sample space, and a probability measure that assigns a value between 0 and 1 to each event.

Understanding conditional probability is fundamental in this realm. It's the probability of an event occurring given that another event has already occurred. The exercise we are discussing revolves around this concept, where we are trying to find the probability that one event (a subset 'A' being included in another subset 'B') occurs under the condition that another event concerning 'B' has taken place.

The key takeaway here is that conditional probabilities help us manage and understand dependencies between events. When events are independent, as in the given exercise, the calculation simplifies greatly, which is an important aspect of probability theory.
Combinatorics
Combinatorics is an area of mathematics focused on counting, arrangement, and combination of elements within sets according to defined rules. Problems in combinatorics typically involve finding the number of ways certain patterns can be formed. Fundamental combinatorial concepts include permutations (arrangements of objects in a specific order), combinations (selection of objects without regard to order), and the binomial theorem, which plays a pivotal role in the given exercise.

To calculate probabilities involving subsets, like in the exercise problem, we use combinatorial concepts to determine the number of favorable outcomes. Here, understanding how to calculate the number of subsets (using combinations) and recognizing patterns, such as binomial expansions, is crucial. The exercise makes use of the binomial coefficients \( \binom{n}{i} \) to calculate the probability distributions needed for conditional probability. Dive into combinatorics enables students to approach complex problems with a structured counting strategy, significantly simplifying the process.
Probability of Subsets
In the context of probability, subsets represent events, and calculating the probability of subsets can sometimes mean finding the chance of an event within another event—as explored in our exercise. When we talk about the 'probability of subsets,' we are often looking at the likelihood of one subset being contained within another when we draw them at random. These concepts are closely tied with combinatorics, as seen by our use of binomial coefficients for counting subsets.

The exercise exemplifies computing probabilities by considering all subsets of a set 'S'. Notably, we deal with the powerset of 'S', which includes all possible subsets, from the null set to 'S' itself. This powerset has \(2^n\) elements, mirroring the number of outcomes in a sample space. Effectively calculating the probability of subsets requires understanding these combinatorial structures and how they influence the total number of outcomes versus the number of favorable outcomes—the essence of probability calculations.

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Most popular questions from this chapter

Consider two boxes, one containing 1 black and 1 white marble, the other 2 black and 1 white marble. A box is selected at random, and a marble is drawn at random from the selected box. What is the probability that the marble is black? What is the probability that the first box was the one selected, given that the marble is white?

Consider two ums, each containing both white and black balls. The probabilities of drawing white balls from the first and second urns are, respectively, \(p\) and \(p^{\prime}\). Balls are sequentially selected with replacement as follows: With probability \(\alpha\) a ball is initially chosen from the first urn, and with probability \(1-\alpha\) it is chosen from the second urn. The subsequent selections are then made according to the rule that whenever a white ball is drawn (and replaced), the next ball is drawn from the same urn; but when a black ball is drawn, the next ball is taken from the other urn. Let \(\alpha_{n}\) denote the probability that the \(n\)th ball is chosen from the first urn. Show that $$ \alpha_{n+1}=\alpha_{n}\left(p+p^{\prime}-1\right)+1-p^{\prime} \quad n \geq 1 $$ and use this to prove that $$ \alpha_{n}=\frac{1-p^{\prime}}{2-p-p^{\prime}}+\left(\alpha-\frac{1-p^{\prime}}{2-p-p^{\prime}}\right)\left(p+p^{\prime}-1\right)^{n-1} $$ Let \(P_{n}\) denote the probability that the \(n\)th ball selected is white. Find \(P_{n}\). Also compute \(\lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} \alpha_{n}\) and \(\lim _{n \rightarrow \infty} P_{n}\).

Um \(A\) has 5 white and 7 black balls. \(\operatorname{Urn} B\) has 3 white and 12 black balls. We flip a fair coin. If the outcome is heads, then a ball from urn \(A\) is selected, whereas if the outcome is tails, then a ball from urn \(B\) is selected. Suppose that a white ball is selected. What is the probability that the coin landed tails?

When \(A\) and \(B\) flip coins, the one coming closest to a given line wins 1 penny from the other. If \(A\) starts with 3 and \(B\) with 7 pennies, what is the probability that \(A\) winds up with all of the money if both players are equally skilled? What if \(A\) were a better player who won 60 percent of the time?

The color of a person's eyes is determined by a single pair of genes. If they are both blue-eyed genes, then the person will have blue eyes; if they are both brown-eyed genes, then the person will. have brown eyes; and if one of them is a blue-eyed gene and the other a brown-eyed gene, then the person. will have brown eyes. (Because of the latter fact we say that the brown-eyed gene is dominant over the blue-eyed one.) A newborn child independently receives one eye gene from each of its parents and the gene it receives from a parent is equally likely to be either of the two eye genes of that parent. Suppose that Smith and both of his parents have brown eyes, but Smith's sister has blue eyes. (a) What is the probability that Smith possesses a blue-eyed gene? Suppose that Smith's wife has blue eyes. (b) What is the probability that their first child will have blue eyes? (c) If their first child has brown eyes, what is the probability that their next child will also have brown eyes?

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