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91Ó°ÊÓ

Five years ago, during the first North American outbreak of the cattle disease \(\mathrm{CXC}\), the death rate from the disease was 5 percent of all reported cases, whereas today the corresponding figure is over 18 percent. It is clear, therefore, that during these past 5 years, \(\mathrm{CXC}\) has increased in virulence. Which one of the following, if true, most substantially weakens the argument? (A) Many recent cattle deaths that have actually been caused by \(\mathrm{CXC}\) have been mistakenly attributed to another disease that mimics the symptoms of \(\mathrm{CXC}\). (B) During the first North American outbreak of the disease, many of the deaths reported to have been caused by \(\mathrm{CXC}\) were actually due to other causes. (C) An inoculation program against \(\mathrm{CXC}\) was recently begun after controlled studies showed inoculation to be 70 percent effective in preventing serious cases of the illness. (D) Since the first outbreak, farmers have learned to treat mild cases of \(\mathrm{CXC}\) and no longer report them to veterinarians or authorities. (E) Cattle that have contracted and survived CXC rarely contract the disease a second time.

Short Answer

Expert verified
(B) During the first outbreak, deaths reported as CXC were due to other causes.

Step by step solution

01

Understand the Argument

The argument claims that the virulence of the cattle disease CXC has increased over the past five years because the death rate from the disease has increased from 5% to over 18%.
02

Identify the Assumption

The argument assumes that the increase in the death rate is due to an increase in the disease's virulence rather than other factors.
03

Determine How to Weaken the Argument

To weaken the argument, we need to find a reason for the increase in the death rate other than an increase in the disease's virulence.
04

Analyze Each Option

- **(A)**: Suggests misattribution of deaths due to similar symptoms from another disease, which does not affect the reported death rate of CXC. - **(B)**: Implies that initial death reports were inaccurately attributed to CXC; if true, this weakens the argument by suggesting an overcount of CXC-caused deaths in the past. - **(C)**: Inoculation might alter case numbers but does not directly address past death rate changes. - **(D)**: Implies that unreported mild cases could change the death rate by decreasing the number of total reported CXC cases today, potentially increasing the death rate due to fewer mild cases being counted. - **(E)**: Concerns disease reinfection but not relevant to the argument about current virulence vs. historical death rates.
05

Select the Best Option

Option **(B)** provides a potential reason for higher historical death rates unrelated to virulence increases by suggesting other causes, thereby weakening the claim that CXC's virulence increased.

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Key Concepts

These are the key concepts you need to understand to accurately answer the question.

Argument Evaluation
When you encounter an argument in a logical reasoning test, like the one analyzed in this exercise, it's essential to evaluate the argument effectively. Understanding how to dissect and evaluate an argument is at the heart of LSAT logical reasoning. Let's explore this process.

The exercise presents an argument stating that the increase in the death rate from a cattle disease, CXC, indicates a rise in its virulence. To evaluate this argument, we need to identify its components:
  • **Conclusion:** The argument concludes that the disease CXC has become more virulent.
  • **Premise:** The reason for the conclusion is that death rates have increased from 5% to over 18%.
  • **Assumption:** The argument assumes no other factors could account for the increased death rate.
Evaluating an argument involves scrutinizing whether the premises adequately support the conclusion and exploring potential assumptions. The key is to see if any hidden assumptions underpin the logic. This is crucial because assumptions are often where arguments can be weakened or disproven. Understanding these components helps you judge whether a conclusion follows logically from the premises given.
Critical Thinking
Critical thinking skills are vital in logical reasoning exercises on the LSAT. They allow us to question, analyze, and assess the validity of an argument thoroughly. Let's delve into how critical thinking aids in examining the argument presented in this LSAT exercise.

To think critically, it's important to ask questions like:
  • What is the argument trying to persuade us to believe?
  • What evidence is provided, and is it credible?
  • Are there alternative explanations or competing hypotheses?
In our exercise, the argument hinges on the link between rising death rates and disease virulence. A critical thinker would challenge this by considering alternative causes for the increased death rate, such as misdiagnosis or changes in reporting practices.

Being able to explore multiple perspectives and questioning underlying assumptions showcases solid critical thinking. It empowers you to break down the argument logically. This skill is invaluable, not only for exams but in everyday decision-making, as it fosters a mindset of sceptical inquiry rather than blind acceptance.
Logical Reasoning Strategies
Mastering logical reasoning strategies is crucial to tackling LSAT questions effectively. These strategies enable you to approach arguments analytically, identify flaws, and make informed conclusions. Now, let’s explore how to apply these strategies to the type of argument in our exercise.

### Strategy 1: Identify the Argument's Structure Begin by mapping out the argument's structure. Recognize what the premises and conclusions are and how they are connected. This understanding allows you to see where logical weaknesses may lie. ### Strategy 2: Spot the Assumptions Look for assumptions underpinning the argument's logic. These are unstated premises that may not hold under scrutiny. Identifying them can reveal where the argument might be flawed. ### Strategy 3: Consider Alternative Explanations Think of alternative reasons why the observed phenomena (e.g., the increased death rate) might occur. In this exercise, strategies like analyzing changes in disease identification or treatment methods are crucial for spotting logical gaps.
### Strategy 4: Evaluate the Evidence Assess whether the evidence truly supports the conclusion. In the given argument, this means scrutinizing whether the death rate data genuinely reflects the disease's virulence. Applying these strategies helps you grapple with LSAT logical reasoning questions more effectively. They empower you to dissect arguments critically and arrive at well-reasoned answers, enhancing your performance in logical reasoning sections of exams.

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